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Watertown, NY Cyclones (8-6)

Conference: Ftr

Region: NY B Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Nunzio Fazio

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	HEUVELTON (1-13)	NY C Sec 10	69.0		W	19-	7		0.000
4/02	SOUTH JEFFERSON (5-9)	NY C Sec 3	74.8		W	14-	4		0.100
4/04	FULTON (2-16)	NY B Sec 3	71.5		W	14-	4		0.100
4/05	at Heuvelton (1-13)	NY C Sec 10	69.0		W	23-	1		0.025
4/07	HENNINGER-NOTTINGHAM (5-10)	NY A Sec 3	80.9		L	6-	15		-0.100
4/12	CARTHAGE (20-3)	NY B Sec 3	86.7	3	L	4-	19		0.000
4/23	CORCORAN-FOWLER (11-6)	NY A Sec 3	81.3	10	L	3-	12		-0.050
4/25	at General Brown (3-10)	NY C Sec 3	72.2		W	10-	1		0.150
4/27	CANTON, NY (6-4)	NY C Sec 10	76.9		W	17-	9		0.125
4/30	at Indian River (1-8)	NY C Sec 3	65.8			-
5/02	at South Jefferson (5-9)	NY C Sec 3	74.8		W	12-	10		0.200
5/07	IMMACULATE HEART CNTRL (10-7)	NY C Sec 3	78.9		L	10-	11	3ot	-0.350
5/08	at Carthage (20-3)	NY B Sec 3	86.7	3	L	6-	26		0.000
5/10	GENERAL BROWN (3-10)	NY C Sec 3	72.2		W	9-	8	ot	0.075
5/14	at Canton, NY (6-4)	NY C Sec 10	76.9			-
5/16	INDIAN RIVER (1-8)	NY C Sec 3	65.8			-
5/17	ROME FREE ACADEMY (3-12)	NY A Sec 3	78.8			-
5/22	at Carthage (20-3)	NY B Sec 3	86.7	3	L	12-	20		0.000
			78.6						0.28

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Heuvelton	19-	7	12	13		-2.21		-1.23
4/02	H	South Jefferson	14-	4	10	6	++	-1.72	4.16
4/04	H	Fulton	14-	4	10	6	+	-1.72	3.67
4/05	A	Heuvelton	23-	1	22	9	+++	2.21		13.18
4/07	H	Henninger-Nottingham	6-	15	-9	-6	–	-1.72	-2.68
4/12	H	Carthage	4-	19	-15	-13	–	-1.72	-2.39
4/23	H	Corcoran-Fowler	3-	12	-9	-8		-1.72	-1.19
4/25	A	General Brown	10-	1	9	4	++	1.72	5.41
4/27	H	Canton, NY	17-	9	8	5	+	-2.21		2.63
5/02	A	South Jefferson	12-	10	2	2		1.72	-0.41
5/07	H	Immaculate Heart Cntrl	10-	11	-1	4	––	-1.72	-4.63
5/08	A	Carthage	6-	26	-20	-16	–	1.72	-3.96
5/10	H	General Brown	9-	8	1	7	–––	-1.72	-6.02
5/22	A	Carthage	12-	20	-8	-16	+++	1.72	8.04
									0.00	14.58

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Heuvelton	19-	7	1.23
4/02	H	South Jefferson	14-	4	0.00
4/04	H	Fulton	14-	4	0.00
4/05	A	Heuvelton	23-	1	12.00
4/12	H	Carthage	4-	19	2.39
5/08	A	Carthage	6-	26	3.96
10-goal correction: -0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	398
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.07		Natl Power Rank	398
Natl SOS Rating	70.53		Natl SOS Rank	399
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.28		Natl Quality Win Rank	632
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	771
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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