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Yorktown, VA Patriots (16-3)

Region: VA Natl

State: VA

Coach: Robin Steinberg

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	T.C. WILLIAMS (8-7)	VA Pat	71.9		W	15-	1		0.025
3/15	at McLean, VA (4-7)	VA Lbrty	70.6		W	16-	2		0.050
3/19	HAYFIELD (1-10)	VA Pat	67.9		W	18-	4		0.000
3/21	W.T. WOODSON (14-7)	VA Lbrty	83.9	6	W	14-	11		0.275
3/23	at Herndon (6-6)	VA Cncrd	75.2		W	13-	6		0.175
3/26	at Washington-Lee (4-10)	VA Natl	69.4		W	14-	1		0.000
3/28	at Loudoun Valley (17-3)	VA Natl	83.5	9	L	7-	8		-0.200
4/03	THOMAS ALVA EDISON (1-5)	VA Natl	68.1		W	16-	2		0.000
4/10	at Langley (11-5)	VA Lbrty	80.5		W	14-	13	2ot	0.275
4/13	at Mt. Vernon (3-7)	VA Natl	69.8		W	13-	3		0.000
4/16	CHANTILLY (13-5)	VA Cncrd	83.7	7	W	11-	10		0.275
4/19	J.E.B. STUART (1-8)	VA Natl	61.9		W	17-	2		0.000
4/23	FALLS CHURCH (7-7)	VA Natl	70.2		W	16-	0		0.000
4/27	at Wakefield HS, VA (0-13)	VA Natl	62.5		W	16-	2		0.000
5/07	WAKEFIELD HS, VA (0-13)	VA Natl	62.5		W	14-	0		0.000
5/10	vs. Mt. Vernon # (3-7)	VA Natl	69.8		W	13-	5		0.000
5/11	vs. Loudoun Valley # (17-3)	VA Natl	83.5	9	L	6-	10		-0.225
5/15	STONE BRIDGE (9-5)	VA Lbrty	78.3		W	10-	9		0.200
5/17	at Oakton (17-1)	VA Cncrd	91.8	1	L	10-	17		0.000
# Neutral site			75.5						0.85

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	T.C. Williams	15-	1	14	9	++	-1.07	5.24
3/15	A	McLean, VA	16-	2	14	8	+++	1.07	6.03
3/19	H	Hayfield	18-	4	14	16		-1.07	-1.60
3/21	H	W.T. Woodson	14-	11	3	-1	++	-1.07	4.47
3/23	A	Herndon	13-	6	7	3	+	1.07	3.88
3/26	A	Washington-Lee	14-	1	13	12		1.07	1.12
3/28	A	Loudoun Valley	7-	8	-1	-2		1.07	1.48
4/03	H	Thomas Alva Edison	16-	2	14	16		-1.07	-1.57
4/10	A	Langley	14-	13	1	-1		1.07	1.97
4/13	A	Mt. Vernon	13-	3	10	10		1.07	0.16
4/16	H	Chantilly	11-	10	1	-1	+	-1.07	2.29
4/19	H	J.E.B. Stuart	17-	2	15	25	–––	-1.07	-9.68
4/23	H	Falls Church	16-	0	16	11	++	-1.07	5.41
4/27	A	Wakefield HS, VA	16-	2	14	21	–––	1.07	-6.57
5/07	H	Wakefield HS, VA	14-	0	14	23	–––	-1.07	-8.70
5/10	N	Mt. Vernon	13-	5	8	11	–	0.00	-2.90
5/11	N	Loudoun Valley	6-	10	-4	-1	–	0.00	-2.59
5/15	H	Stone Bridge	10-	9	1	2		-1.07	-1.05
5/17	A	Oakton	10-	17	-7	-10	+	1.07	2.62
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	T.C. Williams	15-	1	-4.00
3/15	A	McLean, VA	16-	2	-4.00
3/19	H	Hayfield	18-	4	1.60
3/26	A	Washington-Lee	14-	1	-1.12
4/03	H	Thomas Alva Edison	16-	2	1.57
4/13	A	Mt. Vernon	13-	3	-0.16
4/19	H	J.E.B. Stuart	17-	2	9.68
4/23	H	Falls Church	16-	0	-5.41
4/27	A	Wakefield HS, VA	16-	2	6.57
5/07	H	Wakefield HS, VA	14-	0	8.70
10-goal correction: 0.71

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	263
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.42		Natl Power Rank	263
Natl SOS Rating	64.95		Natl SOS Rank	705
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.85		Natl Quality Win Rank	195
W-L Pct Rating	0.84		W-L Pct Rank	166
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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