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Sun Jun 24 15:14:17 EDT 2007
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for
all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown
under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this
means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the
games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.
Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR
Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference
<1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5
AL 0.02 3 3 0 0 0 0 0
AK 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
AR 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
AZ 2.94 84 15 12 17 20 7 13
CA No 3.10 304 67 58 58 34 32 55
CA No Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CA Ce 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FL West Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CA So 3.08 407 83 85 69 61 40 69
CA So Club 4.46 41 5 8 4 10 2 12
CO 3.73 285 41 53 41 42 31 77
CT 2.71 557 126 113 110 80 55 74
CT II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DE 3.09 174 32 32 26 29 22 33
FL FHSAA 3.47 416 81 72 56 61 35 111
FL SE Club 3.35 137 22 28 19 21 13 34
GA 3.05 324 66 69 53 45 33 59
HA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ID 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
IL 2.87 288 68 60 52 31 30 47
IN 3.61 104 22 17 10 13 13 29
IA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
KA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
KE 3.16 55 7 14 11 5 4 14
ME 2.42 220 55 64 40 20 17 24
DC Area 2.83 259 61 56 47 35 19 41
IAAM-A 2.69 143 40 27 33 15 8 20
IAAM-B 3.18 80 18 10 17 12 6 17
IAAM-C 3.58 44 8 3 9 7 6 11
MD Private 3.36 68 17 11 14 6 7 13
MD 4321 2.80 753 174 162 130 105 67 117
MA 2.78 1007 236 223 156 140 92 160
MI DI 2.84 307 64 62 59 45 30 47
MI DII 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MI Club 3.98 38 9 2 4 7 4 12
MN 3.10 192 50 36 40 16 13 37
MN Club 4.05 103 24 13 14 13 7 32
MS 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MO 2.88 186 38 41 39 23 16 29
MA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NE 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NE Prep 2.73 475 116 107 76 52 49 77
RI 2.78 224 44 59 38 26 27 32
NE Ind 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NE West I 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NE West II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NH 2.44 274 78 67 41 27 25 36
NH II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NJ ABC 2.99 1322 282 240 241 192 119 249
NV 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NM 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NY City 3.27 133 25 29 23 16 11 29
NY Catholic 3.16 59 11 11 13 7 5 12
NY Sect 1 2.71 307 67 77 50 45 23 45
NY Sect 2 2.71 122 33 26 19 18 6 20
NY Sect 3 3.17 317 59 59 55 40 39 65
NY Sect 4 2.67 109 25 24 20 16 11 13
NY Sect 5 2.56 286 81 57 57 24 26 41
NY Sect 6 2.77 183 49 35 28 28 17 26
NY Sect 8 2.52 354 89 87 64 46 28 42
NY Sect 9 2.62 74 18 14 17 7 11 7
NY Sect 10 5.22 22 3 1 2 3 2 11
NY Sect 11 2.69 369 90 72 81 43 31 53
NC Public 2.66 352 80 85 72 36 36 43
NC Private 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NC Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ND 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OH I 2.76 526 115 109 101 72 55 74
OH II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OH III/IV 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OK 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OR 2.85 228 51 48 44 26 26 33
PA PSLA 2.95 956 204 183 171 121 115 162
PA Independent 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PA WPIAL 2.52 277 63 77 44 43 20 30
SC 3.40 112 18 26 22 12 9 25
SD 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TN 2.83 146 33 36 26 11 12 28
TX 2.78 242 57 52 44 27 22 40
TX B 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
UT 2.19 63 19 17 11 4 5 7
VT 2.89 177 40 39 24 25 22 27
VT II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VA Public 2.86 578 137 120 98 72 59 92
VA Private 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VA /Private I 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WA B 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WA A 2.98 87 23 12 21 6 9 16
WV 3.22 29 4 6 4 6 4 5
WI 3.18 30 5 7 6 3 5 5
WY 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
No Georgia 2.41 25 6 9 2 2 4 2
TOTAL 2.83 14238 3244 3010 2507 1852 1361 2275
total games............... = 14238
ave error (goals)......... = 2.83
total upsets.............. = 2410
% of games within 1 goal.. = 22.78
% of games within 2 goals. = 43.92
% of games within 3 goals. = 61.53
% of games within 4 goals. = 74.54
% of games within 5 goals. = 84.10
% of games > 5 goals. = 15.98
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