Sun Jun 24 15:14:17 EDT 2007
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat- ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the games, the power rating error was within 1 goal. Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference <1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5 AL 0.02 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 AK 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 AR 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 AZ 2.94 84 15 12 17 20 7 13 CA No 3.10 304 67 58 58 34 32 55 CA No Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CA Ce 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 FL West Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CA So 3.08 407 83 85 69 61 40 69 CA So Club 4.46 41 5 8 4 10 2 12 CO 3.73 285 41 53 41 42 31 77 CT 2.71 557 126 113 110 80 55 74 CT II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DE 3.09 174 32 32 26 29 22 33 FL FHSAA 3.47 416 81 72 56 61 35 111 FL SE Club 3.35 137 22 28 19 21 13 34 GA 3.05 324 66 69 53 45 33 59 HA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ID 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 IL 2.87 288 68 60 52 31 30 47 IN 3.61 104 22 17 10 13 13 29 IA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 KA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 KE 3.16 55 7 14 11 5 4 14 ME 2.42 220 55 64 40 20 17 24 DC Area 2.83 259 61 56 47 35 19 41 IAAM-A 2.69 143 40 27 33 15 8 20 IAAM-B 3.18 80 18 10 17 12 6 17 IAAM-C 3.58 44 8 3 9 7 6 11 MD Private 3.36 68 17 11 14 6 7 13 MD 4321 2.80 753 174 162 130 105 67 117 MA 2.78 1007 236 223 156 140 92 160 MI DI 2.84 307 64 62 59 45 30 47 MI DII 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MI Club 3.98 38 9 2 4 7 4 12 MN 3.10 192 50 36 40 16 13 37 MN Club 4.05 103 24 13 14 13 7 32 MS 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MO 2.88 186 38 41 39 23 16 29 MA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NE 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NE Prep 2.73 475 116 107 76 52 49 77 RI 2.78 224 44 59 38 26 27 32 NE Ind 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NE West I 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NE West II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NH 2.44 274 78 67 41 27 25 36 NH II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NJ ABC 2.99 1322 282 240 241 192 119 249 NV 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NM 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NY City 3.27 133 25 29 23 16 11 29 NY Catholic 3.16 59 11 11 13 7 5 12 NY Sect 1 2.71 307 67 77 50 45 23 45 NY Sect 2 2.71 122 33 26 19 18 6 20 NY Sect 3 3.17 317 59 59 55 40 39 65 NY Sect 4 2.67 109 25 24 20 16 11 13 NY Sect 5 2.56 286 81 57 57 24 26 41 NY Sect 6 2.77 183 49 35 28 28 17 26 NY Sect 8 2.52 354 89 87 64 46 28 42 NY Sect 9 2.62 74 18 14 17 7 11 7 NY Sect 10 5.22 22 3 1 2 3 2 11 NY Sect 11 2.69 369 90 72 81 43 31 53 NC Public 2.66 352 80 85 72 36 36 43 NC Private 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NC Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ND 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OH I 2.76 526 115 109 101 72 55 74 OH II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OH III/IV 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OK 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OR 2.85 228 51 48 44 26 26 33 PA PSLA 2.95 956 204 183 171 121 115 162 PA Independent 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PA WPIAL 2.52 277 63 77 44 43 20 30 SC 3.40 112 18 26 22 12 9 25 SD 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TN 2.83 146 33 36 26 11 12 28 TX 2.78 242 57 52 44 27 22 40 TX B 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 UT 2.19 63 19 17 11 4 5 7 VT 2.89 177 40 39 24 25 22 27 VT II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VA Public 2.86 578 137 120 98 72 59 92 VA Private 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VA /Private I 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WA B 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WA A 2.98 87 23 12 21 6 9 16 WV 3.22 29 4 6 4 6 4 5 WI 3.18 30 5 7 6 3 5 5 WY 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 No Georgia 2.41 25 6 9 2 2 4 2 TOTAL 2.83 14238 3244 3010 2507 1852 1361 2275 total games............... = 14238 ave error (goals)......... = 2.83 total upsets.............. = 2410 % of games within 1 goal.. = 22.78 % of games within 2 goals. = 43.92 % of games within 3 goals. = 61.53 % of games within 4 goals. = 74.54 % of games within 5 goals. = 84.10 % of games > 5 goals. = 15.98
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