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Amherst Lord Jeffs (7-8)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: North

State: MA

Coach: Tom Carmean

Amherst Falls to Williams in NESCAC Quarterfinals

AMHERST, MA � The fourth-seeded Amherst College men's lacrosse team's season ended this afternoon with a disappointing 9-5 loss to archrival and No. 5 seed Williams College in the NESCAC Quarterfinals. The Lord Jeffs played neck-and-neck with the Ephs for the first half, as the two teams traded goals for the first seven scores. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
3/14	vs. Western New England # (17-1)	Pilgrim	86.3	3	L	8-	16
3/20	vs. Eastern Connecticut # (8-9)	Little East	79.2		W	14-	10
3/22	vs. St. Lawrence # (14-2)	Liberty	88.6	5	L	9-	16
3/24	BATES (6-6)	NESCAC	83.7		W	7-	6
3/27	at Skidmore (7-8)	Liberty	83.5		L	5-	7
3/31	CONNECTICUT COLLEGE (5-9)	NESCAC	83.7		W	8-	7
4/02	SPRINGFIELD (8-9)	Pilgrim	84.0		W	10-	9
4/04	at Trinity (9-6)	NESCAC	83.9		L	7-	10
4/07	at Middlebury (11-7)	NESCAC	88.1	16	L	9-	19
4/11	WESLEYAN (18-3)	NESCAC	87.8	6	L	9-	10	2ot
4/14	at Williams (8-6)	NESCAC	85.6		W	10-	9	ot
4/21	BOWDOIN (7-8)	NESCAC	83.9		W	14-	2
4/24	TUFTS (13-4)	NESCAC	86.5	9	L	9-	11
4/28	at Colby (3-10)	NESCAC	81.8		W	15-	10
4/29	WILLIAMS (8-6)	NESCAC	85.6		L	5-	9
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			84.2

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	N	Western New England	8-	16	-8	-3	––	0.00	-5.49
3/20	N	Eastern Connecticut	14-	10	4	5		0.00	-0.69
3/22	N	St. Lawrence	9-	16	-7	-5	–	0.00	-2.03
3/24	H	Bates	7-	6	1	2		-1.74	-0.55
3/27	A	Skidmore	5-	7	-2	-1		1.74	-0.68
3/31	H	Connecticut College	8-	7	1	2		-1.74	-0.87
4/02	H	Springfield	10-	9	1	2		-1.74	-0.73
4/04	A	Trinity	7-	10	-3	-2		1.74	-1.23
4/07	A	Middlebury	9-	19	-10	-6	–	1.74	-3.56
4/11	H	Wesleyan	9-	10	-1	-3		-1.74	1.54
4/14	A	Williams	10-	9	1	-4	++	1.74	4.54
4/21	H	Bowdoin	14-	2	12	2	+++	-1.74	10.24
4/24	H	Tufts	9-	11	-2	-1		-1.74	-1.04
4/28	A	Colby	15-	10	5	1	++	1.74	4.48
4/29	H	Williams	5-	9	-4	0	–	-1.74	-3.95
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	A	Middlebury	9-	19	0.00
4/21	H	Bowdoin	14-	2	-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.13

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	80.00	Local TSI Rank	22
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	83.68	Local Power Rank	38
Local SOS Rating	84.20	Local SOS Rank	6
Local RPI Rating	0.56	Local RPI Rank	33
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	29
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.60	Local Loss Rank	75
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-8	Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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