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Bates Bobcats (6-6)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: North

State: ME

Coach: Peter Lasagna

No. 4 Wesleyan Escapes Bates in Overtime

MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Freshman Jon Killeen took a pass from sophomore Russ Follansbee to the doorstep of the goal and netted his third goal of the game with :52 left in overtime to make Wesleyan University (14-1, 8-1 NESCAC) a 7-6 instant winner over visiting Bates College (6-6, 3-6 NESCAC). It was Wesleyan's fourth overtime game in its last seven starts, all of them won by the Cardinals, ranked fourth nationally in Division III and currently riding a nine-game win streak. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
3/10	at Wheaton (4-9)	Pilgrim	76.1		W	13-	7
3/21	GORDON (8-8)	Commonwealth	78.5		W	20-	7
3/24	at Amherst (7-8)	NESCAC	83.7		L	6-	7
3/26	SOUTHERN MAINE (3-10)	Little East	69.1		W	23-	4
3/31	WILLIAMS (8-6)	NESCAC	85.6		L	10-	12
4/07	CONNECTICUT COLLEGE (5-9)	NESCAC	83.7		W	6-	4
4/08	TRINITY (9-6)	NESCAC	83.9		L	7-	9
4/17	at Middlebury (11-7)	NESCAC	88.1	16	L	7-	18
4/19	COLBY (3-10)	NESCAC	81.8		W	6-	5
4/21	at Tufts (13-4)	NESCAC	86.5	9	L	8-	9	2ot
4/25	BOWDOIN (7-8)	NESCAC	83.9		W	9-	8
4/28	at Wesleyan (18-3)	NESCAC	87.8	6	L	6-	7	ot
* Click the score for the game story.			81.7

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	A	Wheaton	13-	7	6	7		1.74	-0.77
3/21	H	Gordon	20-	7	13	8	++	-1.74	5.38
3/24	A	Amherst	6-	7	-1	-2		1.74	0.55
3/26	H	Southern Maine	23-	4	19	17		-1.74	1.76
3/31	H	Williams	10-	12	-2	0	–	-1.74	-2.14
4/07	H	Connecticut College	6-	4	2	2		-1.74	-0.06
4/08	H	Trinity	7-	9	-2	2	–	-1.74	-3.91
4/17	A	Middlebury	7-	18	-11	-6	––	1.74	-4.75
4/19	H	Colby	6-	5	1	4	–	-1.74	-3.20
4/21	A	Tufts	8-	9	-1	-4	+	1.74	3.25
4/25	H	Bowdoin	9-	8	1	2		-1.74	-0.95
4/28	A	Wesleyan	6-	7	-1	-6	++	1.74	4.83
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	H	Gordon	20-	7	-3.00
3/26	H	Southern Maine	23-	4	-1.76
4/17	A	Middlebury	7-	18	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.31

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	126.00	Local TSI Rank	38
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	83.69	Local Power Rank	36
Local SOS Rating	81.65	Local SOS Rank	31
Local RPI Rating	0.52	Local RPI Rank	55
Local Trend Rating	3.00	Local Trend Rank	60
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	35
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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