| Conference: NESCAC | Region: North | State: ME | Coach: Tom McCabe |
#4 Wesleyan Downs Bowdoin in NESCAC Quarters
MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Matching the score of the regular-season meeting between the teams four weeks earlier in Brunswick, Me., Wesleyan, ranked fourth nationally in Division III, extended its winning streak this season to 10 games with a 7-3 win over Bowdoin in a first-round NESCAC tournament game. Wesleyan advances to the semi-finals at Tufts University Saturday, May 5 where it will take on Little Three rival Williams, which defeated Amherst, 9-5. Wesleyan upended Williams by an 11-7 count during the regular-season and defeated the Ephs in a NESCAC tournament game a year ago, 12-5. Tufts and Middlebury square off in the other semifinal. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/10 | H | Connecticut College | 9- | 6 | 3 | 2 | | -1.74 | 1.15 | |
3/14 | N | Kenyon | 7- | 8 | -1 | -1 | | 0.00 | -0.31 | |
3/17 | N | Clarkson | 6- | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
3/20 | N | St. Lawrence | 12- | 11 | 1 | -5 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.99 | |
3/24 | A | Middlebury | 5- | 15 | -10 | -6 | – | 1.74 | -3.54 | |
3/28 | H | Endicott | 6- | 10 | -4 | -1 | – | -1.74 | -3.26 | |
3/31 | H | Wesleyan | 3- | 7 | -4 | -3 | | -1.74 | -1.44 | |
4/07 | H | Trinity | 9- | 7 | 2 | 2 | | -1.74 | 0.30 | |
4/10 | N | Springfield | 12- | 6 | 6 | 0 | +++ | 0.00 | 6.03 | |
4/14 | H | Tufts | 7- | 9 | -2 | -1 | | -1.74 | -1.03 | |
4/21 | A | Amherst | 2- | 14 | -12 | -2 | ––– | 1.74 | -10.24 | |
4/23 | A | Colby | 10- | 8 | 2 | 1 | | 1.74 | 1.50 | |
4/25 | A | Bates | 8- | 9 | -1 | -2 | | 1.74 | 0.95 | |
4/28 | H | Williams | 6- | 5 | 1 | 0 | | -1.74 | 1.07 | |
4/29 | A | Wesleyan | 3- | 7 | -4 | -6 | + | 1.74 | 2.04 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/24 | A | Middlebury | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
4/21 | A | Amherst | 2- | 14 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.13 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 71.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 20 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 83.93 | | Local Power Rank | 34 |
| Local SOS Rating | 84.74 | | Local SOS Rank | 3 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.57 | | Local RPI Rank | 31 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 61 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.80 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 16 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 76 |
| Local Performance |
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| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.3 |
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