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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

NCAA Selection Criteria

Conf. Standings

Dayton Flyers (13-1)

Conference: CCLA-B

Region: South

State: OH

Coach: Charlie Mark

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/10	at West Virginia (4-5)	CCLA	67.5		W	13-	9		0.00
2/24	ST. LOUIS UNIVERSITY (4-5)	GRLC-B	51.2		W	12-	3		0.00
3/07	at Miami U. (2-7)	CCLA	68.3		W	7-	4		0.00
3/24	vs. Rose-Hulman # (1-6)	CCLA-B	44.2		W	16-	0		0.00
3/31	PURDUE (4-7)	CCLA	67.3		W	18-	11		0.00
4/11	vs. Taylor # (4-4)	CCLA-B	51.9		W	11-	2		0.00
4/14	at Carnegie Mellon (5-5)	CCLA-B	56.4	17	W	12-	6		-0.36
4/15	INDIANA U. OF PA (1-6)	CCLA-B	50.3		W	1-	0		0.00
4/21	GROVE CITY (3-5)	CCLA-B	50.5		W	18-	2		0.00
5/04	vs. Grand Valley State # (6-5)	CCLA-B	57.9	21	W	13-	7		-0.20
5/05	vs. Calvin # (10-3)	CCLA-B	57.1	11	W	19-	8		-0.60
5/15	vs. UC Irvine # (7-9)	WCLL-B	53.3	18	W	14-	5		-0.32
5/16	vs. St. Thomas # (14-3)	UMLL-B	62.4	4	W	10-	8		-0.88
5/18	vs. St. John's - MN # (15-1)	UMLL-B	63.1	1	L	4-	14		0.00
# Neutral site			57.2						-2.36

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/10	A	West Virginia	13-	9	4	-7	+++	1.64		11.13
2/24	H	St. Louis University	12-	3	9	13	–	-1.75	-3.54
3/07	A	Miami U.	7-	4	3	-8	+++	1.64		10.94
3/24	N	Rose-Hulman	16-	0	16	18	–	0.00	-2.45
3/31	H	Purdue	18-	11	7	-4	+++	-1.64		10.66
4/11	N	Taylor	11-	2	9	10		0.00	-1.16
4/14	A	Carnegie Mellon	12-	6	6	3	+	1.75	2.76
4/21	H	Grove City	18-	2	16	14	+	-1.75	2.40
5/04	N	Grand Valley State	13-	7	6	4	+	0.00	2.33
5/05	N	Calvin	19-	8	11	5	++	0.00	5.99
5/15	N	UC Irvine	14-	5	9	9		0.00	0.09
5/16	N	St. Thomas	10-	8	2	0	+	0.00	2.29
5/18	N	St. John's - MN	4-	14	-10	-1	–––	0.00	-8.71
									0.00	32.73

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	N	Rose-Hulman	16-	0	2.45
4/21	H	Grove City	18-	2	-2.40
5/05	N	Calvin	19-	8	-1.00
5/18	N	St. John's - MN	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.07

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	13.00		Local TSI Rank	6
Local Poll Vote	549.		Local Poll Rank	5
Local Power Rating	61.96		Local Power Rank	7
Local SOS Rating	57.19		Local SOS Rank	22
Local RPI Rating	0.65		Local RPI Rank	7
Local Trend Rating	1.00		Local Trend Rank	7
Local Quality Win Rating	-2.36		Local Quality Win Rank	8
Local Loss Rating	0.20		Local Loss Rank	2
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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