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Eastern Connecticut Warriors (8-9)

Conference: Little EastRegion: NorthState: CTCoach: Nicholas Smith

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Justin Axel Named Head Coach at Eastern Connecticut

WILLIMANTIC, Conn. -- Justin Axel has been named the first full-time head men's lacrosse coach in the 12-year history of the Eastern Connecticut State University program and will officially begin his duties August 27. Axel becomes the fourth head coach in program history – third in five years. He replaces Nicholas Smith, who directed the Warriors to two post-season tournament berths and compiled a three-year record of 30-21.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
3/03at Montclair State (11-7)Skyline79.1L7-11 0.00  
3/08vs. RIT # (14-3)Empire 887.414L7-13 0.00  
3/13TUFTS (13-4)NESCAC86.59L10-13 0.00  
3/20vs. Amherst # (7-8)NESCAC83.7L10-14 0.00  
3/24WHEATON (4-9)Pilgrim76.1W13- 9 0.00  
3/28at Babson (7-7)Pilgrim77.2W7- 6 0.00  
3/30at Western New England (17-1)Pilgrim86.33L6-17 0.00  
3/31SOUTHERN MAINE (3-10)Little East69.1W20-11 0.00  
4/04at Western Connecticut (10-8)Little East76.6W15-14 0.00  
4/07PLYMOUTH STATE (11-6)Little East76.1W12-11 0.00  
4/12at Mass-Dartmouth (6-9)Little East72.9W16- 5 0.00  
4/17at Connecticut College (5-9)NESCAC83.7L7- 8 0.00  
4/21at Keene State (16-1)Little East83.617L5-12 0.00  
4/24TRINITY (9-6)NESCAC83.9L11-21 0.00  
4/28MASS-BOSTON (7-7)Little East74.5W19-11 0.00  
5/03WESTERN CONNECTICUT (10-8)Little East76.6W21-11 0.00  
5/05at Keene State (16-1)Little East83.617L6-18 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 79.1     0.00  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/03AMontclair State7-11-4   -2       1.74       -2.01
3/08NRIT7-13-6   -9       +0.00       2.77
3/13HTufts10-13-3   -6       +-1.74       2.64
3/20NAmherst10-14-4   -5       0.00       0.69
3/24HWheaton13-94   5       -1.74       -1.37
3/28ABabson7-61   0       1.74       0.99
3/30AWestern New England6-17-11   -9       1.74       -2.06
3/31HSouthern Maine20-119   12       -1.74       -3.36
4/04AWestern Connecticut15-141   1       1.74       0.04
4/07HPlymouth State12-111   5       -1.74       -3.78
4/12AMass-Dartmouth16-511   5       +++1.74       6.49
4/17AConnecticut College7-8-1   -6       ++1.74       5.30
4/21AKeene State5-12-7   -6       1.74       -0.84
4/24HTrinity11-21-10   -3       –––-1.74       -7.03
4/28HMass-Boston19-118   6       -1.74       1.80
5/03HWestern Connecticut21-1110   4       ++-1.74       5.56
5/05AKeene State6-18-12   -6       ––1.74       -5.84
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/30AWestern New England6-171.00
4/12AMass-Dartmouth16-5-1.00
4/24HTrinity11-210.00
5/03HWestern Connecticut21-110.00
5/05AKeene State6-182.00
10-goal correction: 0.12

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating159.00   Local TSI Rank 54
Local Poll Vote n/a   Local Poll Rank n/a
Local Power Rating 79.25   Local Power Rank 61
Local SOS Rating 79.15   Local SOS Rank 57
Local RPI Rating 0.55   Local RPI Rank 37
Local Trend Rating 3.00   Local Trend Rank 67
Local Quality Win Rating n/a   Local Quality Win Rank n/a
Local Loss Rating 1.80   Local Loss Rank 96
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -7.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0



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