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Endicott Power Gulls (14-3)

Conference: Commonwealth

Region: North

State: MA

Coach: Sean Quirk

#9 Tufts Escapes #15 Endicott in NCAA First Round

MEDFORD - The Tufts Jumbos built an 8-1 lead and then narrowly survived an Endicott College comeback to move on in the NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Tournament with a 9-8 victory on Wednesday night at Bello Field. The Jumbos (13-3), who tied a school record with their 13th victory, travel to Gettysburg, Pennsylvania to play the second-ranked Bullets in second-round NCAA action on Saturday at 1:00. Endicott's season is over with a 15-3 record. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/27	SPRINGFIELD (8-9)	Pilgrim	84.0		W	10-	6
3/09	at Wesleyan (18-3)	NESCAC	87.8	6	L	6-	9
3/21	MIT (7-7)	Pilgrim	75.4		W	14-	7
3/24	at Roger Williams (8-7)	Commonwealth	78.7		W	14-	7
3/28	at Bowdoin (7-8)	NESCAC	83.9		W	10-	6
3/31	NICHOLS (2-12)	Commonwealth	70.1		W	17-	1
4/03	at Wentworth Tech. (7-7)	Commonwealth	73.8		W	17-	2
4/06	CURRY (6-10)	Commonwealth	73.7		W	13-	2
4/11	at Tufts (13-4)	NESCAC	86.5	9	L	10-	12
4/14	CONNECTICUT COLLEGE (5-9)	NESCAC	83.7		W	16-	9
4/17	at Gordon (8-8)	Commonwealth	78.5		W	13-	11
4/21	NEW ENGLAND COLLEGE (4-9)	Commonwealth	72.3		W	20-	4
4/25	U. OF NEW ENGLAND (2-12)	Commonwealth	68.5		W	23-	5
4/28	at Salve Regina (7-9)	Commonwealth	75.7		W	26-	12
5/03	SALVE REGINA (7-9)	Commonwealth	75.7		W	12-	4
5/05	GORDON (8-8)	Commonwealth	78.5		W	17-	3
5/09	at Tufts (13-4)	NESCAC	86.5	9	L	8-	9
* Click the score for the game story.			77.7

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	H	Springfield	10-	6	4	4		-1.74	-0.19
3/09	A	Wesleyan	6-	9	-3	-4		1.74	0.56
3/21	H	MIT	14-	7	7	13	––	-1.74	-5.76
3/24	A	Roger Williams	14-	7	7	6		1.74	1.19
3/28	A	Bowdoin	10-	6	4	1	+	1.74	3.26
3/31	H	Nichols	17-	1	16	18		-1.74	-1.79
4/03	A	Wentworth Tech.	17-	2	15	11	+	1.74	3.89
4/06	H	Curry	13-	2	11	14	–	-1.74	-3.12
4/11	A	Tufts	10-	12	-2	-2		1.74	-0.02
4/14	H	Connecticut College	16-	9	7	4	+	-1.74	2.67
4/17	A	Gordon	13-	11	2	6	––	1.74	-4.41
4/21	H	New England College	20-	4	16	15		-1.74	0.56
4/25	H	U. of New England	23-	5	18	20		-1.74	-2.00
4/28	A	Salve Regina	26-	12	14	9	++	1.74	4.77
5/03	H	Salve Regina	12-	4	8	13	––	-1.74	-4.71
5/05	H	Gordon	17-	3	14	10	++	-1.74	4.11
5/09	A	Tufts	8-	9	-1	-2		1.74	0.98
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Nichols	17-	1	1.79
4/03	A	Wentworth Tech.	17-	2	-3.89
4/06	H	Curry	13-	2	3.12
4/21	H	New England College	20-	4	-0.56
4/25	H	U. of New England	23-	5	2.00
4/28	A	Salve Regina	26-	12	-4.00
5/05	H	Gordon	17-	3	-4.11
10-goal correction: -0.33

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	111.00	Local TSI Rank	32
Local Poll Vote	44.	Local Poll Rank	15
Local Power Rating	85.95	Local Power Rank	20
Local SOS Rating	77.68	Local SOS Rank	75
Local RPI Rating	0.59	Local RPI Rank	21
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	5
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	0.60	Local Loss Rank	7
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-3	Ave Goal diff (all )	8.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.0


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