| Conference: Region XX | | State: MD | Coach: Brian Duncan |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/08 | at Navy B (4-0) | Independent | 66.4 | | L | 5- | 6 | | 0.00 |
3/10 | at Army Prep (13-1) | Independent | 84.9 | | L | 12- | 13 | ot | 0.00 |
3/18 | vs. Onondaga # (15-0) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 8- | 23 | | 0.00 |
3/20 | HERKIMER (11-6) | Region III | 74.8 | 6 | L | 13- | 15 | | 0.00 |
3/22 | CATONSVILLE (6-8) | Region XX | 62.1 | | W | 18- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/25 | NAVAL ACADEMY PREP (4-3) | Independent | 77.4 | | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/28 | at Anne Arundel (4-10) | Region XX | 65.3 | 8 | W | 17- | 9 | | -0.30 |
4/04 | HARFORD (5-7) | Region XX | 64.3 | 9 | W | 23- | 7 | | -0.20 |
4/07 | at Nassau (12-5) | Region XV | 74.9 | 2 | L | 7- | 11 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | at Monroe (11-4) | Region III | 69.9 | 5 | W | 14- | 8 | | -0.60 |
4/18 | MONTGOMERY (0-10) | Region XX | 41.0 | | W | 20- | 0 | | 0.00 |
4/21 | SUFFOLK (4-7) | Region XV | 66.1 | 7 | W | 18- | 6 | | -0.40 |
4/25 | HOWARD (14-2) | Region XX | 74.9 | 3 | W | 10- | 9 | | -0.80 |
4/29 | at Princeton B (0-0) | | | | L | 7- | 10 | | 0.00 |
5/04 | vs. Anne Arundel # (4-10) | Region XX | 65.3 | 8 | W | 15- | 9 | | -0.30 |
5/06 | at Howard (14-2) | Region XX | 74.9 | 3 | L | 13- | 16 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 69.6 | | | | | | -2.60 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/08 | A | Navy B | 5- | 6 | -1 | 4 | –– | 2.46 | | -5.09 |
3/10 | A | Army Prep | 12- | 13 | -1 | -14 | +++ | 2.46 | | 13.39 |
3/18 | N | Onondaga | 8- | 23 | -15 | -13 | – | 0.00 | -2.18 | |
3/20 | H | Herkimer | 13- | 15 | -2 | 0 | | -3.00 | -1.73 | |
3/22 | H | Catonsville | 18- | 8 | 10 | 13 | – | -3.00 | -2.88 | |
3/25 | H | Naval Academy Prep | 14- | 8 | 6 | -2 | +++ | -2.46 | | 8.02 |
3/28 | A | Anne Arundel | 17- | 9 | 8 | 4 | + | 3.00 | 3.89 | |
4/04 | H | Harford | 23- | 7 | 16 | 12 | ++ | -3.00 | 4.19 | |
4/07 | A | Nassau | 7- | 11 | -4 | -6 | | 3.00 | 1.72 | |
4/12 | A | Monroe | 14- | 8 | 6 | -1 | +++ | 3.00 | 7.35 | |
4/18 | H | Montgomery | 20- | 0 | 20 | 33 | ––– | -3.00 | 13.00 | |
4/21 | H | Suffolk | 18- | 6 | 12 | 10 | + | -3.00 | 2.19 | |
4/25 | H | Howard | 10- | 9 | 1 | 1 | | -3.00 | -0.21 | |
4/29 | A | Princeton B | 7- | 10 | | | | | | |
5/04 | N | Anne Arundel | 15- | 9 | 6 | 7 | | 0.00 | -1.11 | |
5/06 | A | Howard | 13- | 16 | -3 | -5 | | 3.00 | 1.79 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 16.32 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/18 | N | Onondaga | 8- | 23 | 2.18 |
3/22 | H | Catonsville | 18- | 8 | 2.88 |
4/04 | H | Harford | 23- | 7 | -4.19 |
4/18 | H | Montgomery | 20- | 0 | 13.00 |
4/21 | H | Suffolk | 18- | 6 | -2.19 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.73 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 5.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 4 |
| Local Poll Vote | 42. | | Local Poll Rank | 4 |
| Local Power Rating | 72.97 | | Local Power Rank | 5 |
| Local SOS Rating | 69.60 | | Local SOS Rank | 2 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.61 | | Local RPI Rank | 5 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 7 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -2.60 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 4 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 5 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 6-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 2.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.0 |
|
