| Conference: Region XX | | State: MD | Coach: Shawn Burke |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/02 | at Suffolk (4-7) | Region XV | 66.1 | 7 | W | 15- | 11 | | -0.40 |
3/11 | NASSAU (12-5) | Region XV | 74.9 | 2 | W | 14- | 10 | | -0.90 |
3/12 | MOHAWK VALLEY (3-13) | Region III | 51.4 | | W | 26- | 5 | | 0.00 |
3/15 | ALFRED STATE (3-7) | Region III | 55.7 | | W | 19- | 4 | | 0.00 |
3/18 | HERKIMER (11-6) | Region III | 74.8 | 6 | W | 16- | 12 | | -0.50 |
3/24 | at Anne Arundel (4-10) | Region XX | 65.3 | 8 | W | 12- | 6 | | -0.30 |
3/25 | FINGER LAKES (7-10) | Region III | 54.6 | | W | 20- | 3 | | 0.00 |
4/02 | at Monroe (11-4) | Region III | 69.9 | 5 | W | 18- | 8 | | -0.60 |
4/07 | at Catonsville (6-8) | Region XX | 62.1 | | W | 21- | 9 | | 0.00 |
4/11 | at Montgomery (0-10) | Region XX | 41.0 | | W | 23- | 1 | | 0.00 |
4/18 | HARFORD (5-7) | Region XX | 64.3 | 9 | W | 27- | 7 | | -0.20 |
4/25 | at Essex (9-7) | Region XX | 73.0 | 4 | L | 9- | 10 | | 0.00 |
4/28 | ARMY PREP (13-1) | Independent | 84.9 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.00 |
5/04 | HARFORD (5-7) | Region XX | 64.3 | 9 | W | 25- | 11 | | -0.20 |
5/06 | ESSEX (9-7) | Region XX | 73.0 | 4 | W | 16- | 13 | | -0.70 |
5/12 | at Nassau (12-5) | Region XV | 74.9 | 2 | L | 10- | 12 | | 0.00 |
| | 65.4 | | | | | | -3.80 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/02 | A | Suffolk | 15- | 11 | 4 | 6 | | 3.00 | -1.61 | |
3/11 | H | Nassau | 14- | 10 | 4 | 2 | | -3.00 | 1.93 | |
3/12 | H | Mohawk Valley | 26- | 5 | 21 | 25 | –– | -3.00 | -4.23 | |
3/15 | H | Alfred State | 19- | 4 | 15 | 21 | ––– | -3.00 | -6.45 | |
3/18 | H | Herkimer | 16- | 12 | 4 | 2 | + | -3.00 | 2.47 | |
3/24 | A | Anne Arundel | 12- | 6 | 6 | 6 | | 3.00 | 0.09 | |
3/25 | H | Finger Lakes | 20- | 3 | 17 | 22 | –– | -3.00 | -5.42 | |
4/02 | A | Monroe | 18- | 8 | 10 | 0 | +++ | 3.00 | 9.55 | |
4/07 | A | Catonsville | 21- | 9 | 12 | 9 | + | 3.00 | 3.32 | |
4/11 | A | Montgomery | 23- | 1 | 22 | 29 | ––– | 3.00 | -6.80 | |
4/18 | H | Harford | 27- | 7 | 20 | 14 | +++ | -3.00 | 6.39 | |
4/25 | A | Essex | 9- | 10 | -1 | -1 | | 3.00 | 0.21 | |
4/28 | H | Army Prep | 11- | 10 | 1 | -8 | +++ | -2.46 | | 8.53 |
5/04 | H | Harford | 25- | 11 | 14 | 14 | | -3.00 | 0.39 | |
5/06 | H | Essex | 16- | 13 | 3 | 5 | | -3.00 | -1.79 | |
5/12 | A | Nassau | 10- | 12 | -2 | -4 | | 3.00 | 1.93 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 8.53 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/12 | H | Mohawk Valley | 26- | 5 | 4.23 |
3/15 | H | Alfred State | 19- | 4 | 6.45 |
3/25 | H | Finger Lakes | 20- | 3 | 5.42 |
4/02 | A | Monroe | 18- | 8 | 0.00 |
4/07 | A | Catonsville | 21- | 9 | -2.00 |
4/11 | A | Montgomery | 23- | 1 | 6.80 |
4/18 | H | Harford | 27- | 7 | -6.39 |
5/04 | H | Harford | 25- | 11 | -0.39 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.88 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 4.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 3 |
| Local Poll Vote | 48. | | Local Poll Rank | 3 |
| Local Power Rating | 74.91 | | Local Power Rank | 3 |
| Local SOS Rating | 65.44 | | Local SOS Rank | 7 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.61 | | Local RPI Rank | 4 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 9 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -3.80 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 2 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 2 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 9.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 8-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 5.0 |
|
