| Conference: Region III | | State: NY | Coach: Roger Manion |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/22 | at Montgomery (0-10) | Region XX | 41.0 | | W | 21- | 1 | | 0.00 |
3/24 | at Catonsville (6-8) | Region XX | 62.1 | | L | 9- | 17 | | 0.00 |
3/28 | at Dean (1-8) | Region III | 45.2 | | L | 0- | 1 | | 0.00 |
4/01 | at Monroe (11-4) | Region III | 69.9 | 5 | L | 4- | 16 | | 0.00 |
4/03 | CANTON (0-7) | Region III | 44.1 | | W | 18- | 0 | | 0.00 |
4/05 | BROOME (11-4) | Region III | 62.1 | 10 | L | 4- | 6 | | 0.00 |
4/07 | at Onondaga (15-0) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 3- | 24 | | 0.00 |
4/11 | at Cobleskill (4-7) | Region III | 54.1 | | W | 16- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/14 | DELHI (4-9) | Region III | 56.1 | | W | 12- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/18 | MOHAWK VALLEY (3-13) | Region III | 51.4 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/21 | at Jefferson (3-9) | Region III | 47.2 | | W | 19- | 1 | | 0.00 |
4/23 | FINGER LAKES (7-10) | Region III | 54.6 | | W | 14- | 0 | | 0.00 |
4/26 | at Herkimer (11-6) | Region III | 74.8 | 6 | L | 11- | 21 | | 0.00 |
4/29 | at Cayuga (8-5) | Region III | 60.6 | | W | 11- | 10 | ot | 0.00 |
5/01 | at Broome (11-4) | Region III | 62.1 | 10 | W | 12- | 11 | | -0.10 |
5/05 | vs. Onondaga # (15-0) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 3- | 16 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 59.7 | | | | | | -0.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/22 | A | Montgomery | 21- | 1 | 20 | 19 | | 3.00 | 1.21 | |
3/24 | A | Catonsville | 9- | 17 | -8 | -1 | ––– | 3.00 | -6.67 | |
4/01 | A | Monroe | 4- | 16 | -12 | -10 | – | 3.00 | -2.43 | |
4/03 | H | Canton | 18- | 0 | 18 | 23 | –– | -3.00 | -4.56 | |
4/05 | H | Broome | 4- | 6 | -2 | 5 | ––– | -3.00 | -6.59 | |
4/07 | A | Onondaga | 3- | 24 | -21 | -24 | + | 3.00 | 3.03 | |
4/11 | A | Cobleskill | 16- | 4 | 12 | 8 | ++ | 3.00 | 4.17 | |
4/14 | H | Delhi | 12- | 4 | 8 | 11 | – | -3.00 | -3.18 | |
4/18 | H | Mohawk Valley | 15- | 5 | 10 | 15 | –– | -3.00 | -5.22 | |
4/21 | A | Jefferson | 19- | 1 | 18 | 15 | + | 3.00 | 3.48 | |
4/23 | H | Finger Lakes | 14- | 0 | 14 | 12 | | -3.00 | 1.59 | |
4/26 | A | Herkimer | 11- | 21 | -10 | -14 | ++ | 3.00 | 4.49 | |
4/29 | A | Cayuga | 11- | 10 | 1 | 1 | | 3.00 | 0.23 | |
5/01 | A | Broome | 12- | 11 | 1 | -1 | + | 3.00 | 2.41 | |
5/05 | N | Onondaga | 3- | 16 | -13 | -21 | +++ | 0.00 | 8.03 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/22 | A | Montgomery | 21- | 1 | -1.21 |
4/01 | A | Monroe | 4- | 16 | 2.00 |
4/03 | H | Canton | 18- | 0 | 4.56 |
4/07 | A | Onondaga | 3- | 24 | -3.03 |
4/11 | A | Cobleskill | 16- | 4 | -2.00 |
4/18 | H | Mohawk Valley | 15- | 5 | 5.22 |
4/21 | A | Jefferson | 19- | 1 | -3.48 |
4/23 | H | Finger Lakes | 14- | 0 | -1.59 |
4/26 | A | Herkimer | 11- | 21 | -4.49 |
5/05 | N | Onondaga | 3- | 16 | -8.03 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.80 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 41.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 13 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 63.21 | | Local Power Rank | 10 |
| Local SOS Rating | 59.75 | | Local SOS Rank | 18 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.49 | | Local RPI Rank | 10 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 10 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.10 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 11 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 18 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -15.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.7 |
|
