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Ithaca Bombers (16-4)

Conference: Empire 8

Region: North

State: NY

Coach: Jeff Long

#2 Gettysburg Downs #8 Ithaca, Heads to Semifinals

GETTYSBURG, Pa. � No. 8 Ithaca got off to a fast start, scoring twice in the game's first two minutes, but by the time the Bombers scored again nearly 30 minutes later, No. 2 Gettysburg had scored 10 straight goals en route to an 11-5 victory in NCAA Division III quarterfinal action at Shirk Field at Musselman Stadium on Wednesday afternoon. The Bullets punched their first ticket to the national semifinals since playing in the national title game in 2001 and 2002. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
2/24	at Lycoming (4-10)	Middle Atlant	76.2		W	21-	12		0.00
3/02	at Stevens (16-4)	Skyline	86.6		L	9-	17		0.00
3/03	at Fairleigh Dickinson (8-8)	Middle Atlant	78.4		W	10-	8		0.00
3/11	vs. Whittier # (4-7)	Independent	82.0		W	18-	11		0.00
3/13	vs. McDaniel # (8-6)	Centennial	84.0		W	12-	10		0.00
3/14	vs. Drew # (8-8)	Middle Atlant	78.3		W	11-	7		0.00
3/21	ST. JOHN FISHER (10-7)	Empire 8	83.4		W	11-	3		0.00
3/23	GENESEO (9-5)	SUNYAC	86.8	18	W	14-	13	ot	-0.15
3/27	at Hamilton (5-9)	Liberty	80.9		W	15-	8		0.00
3/31	at Utica College (6-8)	Empire 8	78.4		W	17-	5		0.00
4/04	at Cortland (15-6)	SUNYAC	89.5	12	L	4-	15		0.00
4/07	ALFRED (6-7)	Empire 8	77.3		W	16-	4		0.00
4/11	at RIT (14-3)	Empire 8	87.4	14	W	10-	6		-0.35
4/14	HARTWICK (7-8)	Empire 8	82.5		W	15-	10		0.00
4/20	at Nazareth (16-3)	Empire 8	88.1	4	W	15-	9		-0.85
4/22	ELMIRA (4-8)	Empire 8	77.6		W	23-	7		0.00
4/27	ST. JOHN FISHER (10-7)	Empire 8	83.4		W	10-	8		0.00
4/29	NAZARETH (16-3)	Empire 8	88.1	4	L	14-	16		0.00
5/12	at Cabrini (15-3)	Pennsylvania	84.9	10	W	18-	11		-0.55
5/16	at Gettysburg (16-3)	Centennial	91.5	2	L	5-	11		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			82.7						-1.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/24	A	Lycoming	21-	12	9	9		1.74	-0.21
3/02	A	Stevens	9-	17	-8	-1	–––	1.74	-7.31
3/03	A	Fairleigh Dickinson	10-	8	2	8	––	1.74	-5.78
3/11	N	Whittier	18-	11	7	5		0.00	1.65
3/13	N	McDaniel	12-	10	2	4		0.00	-1.54
3/14	N	Drew	11-	7	4	9	––	0.00	-5.06
3/21	H	St. John Fisher	11-	3	8	6	+	-1.74	2.17
3/23	H	Geneseo	14-	13	1	2		-1.74	-1.31
3/27	A	Hamilton	15-	8	7	4	+	1.74	2.65
3/31	A	Utica College	17-	5	12	8	++	1.74	4.26
4/04	A	Cortland	4-	15	-11	-4	–––	1.74	-6.60
4/07	H	Alfred	16-	4	12	12		-1.74	0.26
4/11	A	RIT	10-	6	4	-2	+++	1.74	6.20
4/14	H	Hartwick	15-	10	5	7	–	-1.74	-2.44
4/20	A	Nazareth	15-	9	6	-3	+++	1.74	9.18
4/22	H	Elmira	23-	7	16	12	+	-1.74	3.63
4/27	H	St. John Fisher	10-	8	2	6	–	-1.74	-3.83
4/29	H	Nazareth	14-	16	-2	0	–	-1.74	-2.30
5/12	A	Cabrini	18-	11	7	1	+++	1.74	6.31
5/16	A	Gettysburg	5-	11	-6	-6		1.74	0.07
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	Utica College	17-	5	-2.00
4/04	A	Cortland	4-	15	1.00
4/07	H	Alfred	16-	4	-0.26
4/22	H	Elmira	23-	7	-3.63
10-goal correction: -0.24

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	29.00	Local TSI Rank	10
Local Poll Vote	113.	Local Poll Rank	8
Local Power Rating	87.20	Local Power Rank	11
Local SOS Rating	82.68	Local SOS Rank	22
Local RPI Rating	0.65	Local RPI Rank	9
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	42
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.90	Local Quality Win Rank	6
Local Loss Rating	0.80	Local Loss Rank	14
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-4	Ave Goal diff (all )	3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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