| Conference: Empire 8 | Region: North | State: NY | Coach: Jeff Long |
#2 Gettysburg Downs #8 Ithaca, Heads to Semifinals
GETTYSBURG, Pa. – No. 8 Ithaca got off to a fast start, scoring twice in the game's first two minutes, but by the time the Bombers scored again nearly 30 minutes later, No. 2 Gettysburg had scored 10 straight goals en route to an 11-5 victory in NCAA Division III quarterfinal action at Shirk Field at Musselman Stadium on Wednesday afternoon. The Bullets punched their first ticket to the national semifinals since playing in the national title game in 2001 and 2002. [full story]
|
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/24 | A | Lycoming | 21- | 12 | 9 | 9 | | 1.74 | -0.21 | |
3/02 | A | Stevens | 9- | 17 | -8 | -1 | | 1.74 | -7.31 | |
3/03 | A | Fairleigh Dickinson | 10- | 8 | 2 | 8 | | 1.74 | -5.78 | |
3/11 | N | Whittier | 18- | 11 | 7 | 5 | | 0.00 | 1.65 | |
3/13 | N | McDaniel | 12- | 10 | 2 | 4 | | 0.00 | -1.54 | |
3/14 | N | Drew | 11- | 7 | 4 | 9 | | 0.00 | -5.06 | |
3/21 | H | St. John Fisher | 11- | 3 | 8 | 6 | + | -1.74 | 2.17 | |
3/23 | H | Geneseo | 14- | 13 | 1 | 2 | | -1.74 | -1.31 | |
3/27 | A | Hamilton | 15- | 8 | 7 | 4 | + | 1.74 | 2.65 | |
3/31 | A | Utica College | 17- | 5 | 12 | 8 | ++ | 1.74 | 4.26 | |
4/04 | A | Cortland | 4- | 15 | -11 | -4 | | 1.74 | -6.60 | |
4/07 | H | Alfred | 16- | 4 | 12 | 12 | | -1.74 | 0.26 | |
4/11 | A | RIT | 10- | 6 | 4 | -2 | +++ | 1.74 | 6.20 | |
4/14 | H | Hartwick | 15- | 10 | 5 | 7 | | -1.74 | -2.44 | |
4/20 | A | Nazareth | 15- | 9 | 6 | -3 | +++ | 1.74 | 9.18 | |
4/22 | H | Elmira | 23- | 7 | 16 | 12 | + | -1.74 | 3.63 | |
4/27 | H | St. John Fisher | 10- | 8 | 2 | 6 | | -1.74 | -3.83 | |
4/29 | H | Nazareth | 14- | 16 | -2 | 0 | | -1.74 | -2.30 | |
5/12 | A | Cabrini | 18- | 11 | 7 | 1 | +++ | 1.74 | 6.31 | |
5/16 | A | Gettysburg | 5- | 11 | -6 | -6 | | 1.74 | 0.07 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/31 | A | Utica College | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
4/04 | A | Cortland | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
4/07 | H | Alfred | 16- | 4 | -0.26 |
4/22 | H | Elmira | 23- | 7 | -3.63 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.24 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 29.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 10 |
| Local Poll Vote | 113. | | Local Poll Rank | 8 |
| Local Power Rating | 87.20 | | Local Power Rank | 11 |
| Local SOS Rating | 82.68 | | Local SOS Rank | 22 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.65 | | Local RPI Rank | 9 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 42 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.90 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 6 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 14 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.3 |
|