| Conference: Blue Ridge | | State: VA | |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/24 | H | Radford | 8- | 6 | 2 | 2 | | -0.82 | 0.17 | |
3/18 | A | James Madison | 6- | 10 | -4 | -3 | | 0.82 | -1.05 | |
3/18 | N | Roanoke Club | 9- | 7 | 2 | 2 | | 0.00 | 0.30 | |
3/24 | A | Duke Club | 8- | 11 | -3 | 1 | –– | 0.82 | -4.40 | |
3/24 | N | North Carolina Club | 8- | 17 | -9 | -3 | –– | 0.00 | -5.72 | |
4/08 | H | Virginia Commonwealth | 9- | 5 | 4 | 3 | | -0.82 | 0.72 | |
4/14 | N | VMI Club | 11- | 0 | 11 | 9 | | 0.00 | 1.73 | |
4/14 | A | Virginia Club | 8- | 4 | 4 | -2 | ++ | 0.82 | 5.83 | |
4/21 | H | George Mason | 8- | 7 | 1 | 4 | – | -0.82 | -3.08 | |
4/22 | H | Virginia Commonwealth | 19- | 9 | 10 | 3 | +++ | -0.82 | 6.72 | |
4/28 | N | Columbia | 9- | 10 | -1 | 0 | | 0.00 | -1.21 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/14 | N | VMI Club | 11- | 0 | -1.00 |
4/22 | H | Virginia Commonwealth | 19- | 9 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.09 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 54.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 17 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 64.82 | | Local Power Rank | 24 |
| Local SOS Rating | 63.60 | | Local SOS Rank | 30 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.00 | | Local RPI Rank | 0 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 14 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -inf | | Local Quality Win Rank | 49 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 54 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.3 |
| 
