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Lynchburg Hornets (13-4)

Conference: Old Dominion

Region: South

State: VA

Coach: Steve Koudelka

#11 Roanoke Defeats #12 Lynchburg for ODAC Title

SALEM, VA--For the second consecutive season, the Roanoke College men's lacrosse team defeated visiting Lynchburg College to claim the Old Dominion Athletic Conference championship. The Maroons defeated the Hornets 11-9 on Sunday in Salem, VA to earn the ODAC's automatic bid to the NCAA Division III tournament. The Maroons improve to 14-4 with the victory, just one win shy of tying a school record. Lynchburg falls to 13-4 and will await the word on an at-large bid. The ODAC title is Roanoke's 15th overall. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
2/24	HAVERFORD (8-6)	Centennial	87.1		W	14-	9		0.00
3/04	OHIO WESLEYAN (12-4)	North Coast	83.3	20	W	17-	8		-0.05
3/09	vs. Ursinus # (9-5)	Centennial	83.2		W	16-	7		0.00
3/14	WOOSTER (8-4)	North Coast	82.0		W	13-	4		0.00
3/17	VIRGINIA WESLEYAN (10-5)	Old Dominion	84.5		W	17-	3		0.00
3/21	TRINITY (9-6)	NESCAC	83.9		W	16-	8		0.00
3/24	at Villa Julie (11-5)	Capital	85.4		W	13-	10		0.00
3/31	ROANOKE (15-5)	Old Dominion	87.8	7	L	16-	17	ot	0.00
4/04	at Guilford (3-10)	Old Dominion	74.8		W	18-	5		0.00
4/07	SALISBURY (23-0)	Capital	94.9	1	L	5-	15		0.00
4/14	at Randolph-Macon (6-9)	Old Dominion	78.4		W	11-	3		0.00
4/18	GREENSBORO (5-9)	Independent	77.7		W	20-	5		0.00
4/21	HAMPDEN-SYDNEY (12-3)	Old Dominion	87.2	13	L	9-	10		0.00
4/24	at Marymount (5-11)	Capital	77.2		W	19-	8		0.00
4/28	at Washington & Lee (9-6)	Old Dominion	85.4		W	12-	3		0.00
5/01	at Hampden-Sydney (12-3)	Old Dominion	87.2	13	W	11-	8		-0.40
5/06	at Roanoke (15-5)	Old Dominion	87.8	7	L	9-	11		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			83.5						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/24	H	Haverford	14-	9	5	4		-1.74	0.74
3/04	H	Ohio Wesleyan	17-	8	9	8		-1.74	0.92
3/09	N	Ursinus	16-	7	9	6	+	0.00	2.74
3/14	H	Wooster	13-	4	9	10		-1.74	-0.57
3/17	H	Virginia Wesleyan	17-	3	14	7	+++	-1.74	7.27
3/21	H	Trinity	16-	8	8	8		-1.74	0.19
3/24	A	Villa Julie	13-	10	3	2		1.74	0.61
3/31	H	Roanoke	16-	17	-1	3	––	-1.74	-4.26
4/04	A	Guilford	18-	5	13	14		1.74	-1.07
4/07	H	Salisbury	5-	15	-10	-4	–––	-1.74	-6.11
4/14	A	Randolph-Macon	11-	3	8	10	–	1.74	-2.11
4/18	H	Greensboro	20-	5	15	14		-1.74	0.83
4/21	H	Hampden-Sydney	9-	10	-1	4	––	-1.74	-5.43
4/24	A	Marymount	19-	8	11	11		1.74	-0.35
4/28	A	Washington & Lee	12-	3	9	3	+++	1.74	6.31
5/01	A	Hampden-Sydney	11-	8	3	1	+	1.74	2.06
5/06	A	Roanoke	9-	11	-2	0		1.74	-1.78
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	H	Virginia Wesleyan	17-	3	-4.00
4/04	A	Guilford	18-	5	1.07
4/07	H	Salisbury	5-	15	0.00
4/18	H	Greensboro	20-	5	-0.83
4/24	A	Marymount	19-	8	0.35
10-goal correction: -0.20

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	16.00	Local TSI Rank	8
Local Poll Vote	82.	Local Poll Rank	11
Local Power Rating	89.71	Local Power Rank	3
Local SOS Rating	83.47	Local SOS Rank	14
Local RPI Rating	0.65	Local RPI Rank	7
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	43
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.45	Local Quality Win Rank	22
Local Loss Rating	0.80	Local Loss Rank	15
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-4	Ave Goal diff (all )	6.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-4	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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