| Conference: NESCAC | Region: North | State: VT | Coach: Dave Campbell |
#6 Wesleyan Takes Rubber Match from #16 Middlebury
MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Wesleyan University (17-2) tied its team record for wins in a season by taking the rubber match vs. NESCAC rival and tournament champion Middlebury (11-7), 13-9, in an NCAA Division III men's tournament second-round game here Saturday afternoon. Wesleyan will host the winner of today's Geneseo St. at Nazareth game, Wed., May 16 in a national quarter-final. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/11 | H | Stevens | 7- | 5 | 2 | 4 | | -1.74 | -1.87 | |
3/18 | H | Connecticut College | 10- | 9 | 1 | 7 | | -1.74 | -5.57 | |
3/21 | H | Springfield | 9- | 3 | 6 | 6 | | -1.74 | -0.43 | |
3/24 | H | Bowdoin | 15- | 5 | 10 | 6 | + | -1.74 | 3.54 | |
3/28 | A | Washington & Lee | 7- | 9 | -2 | 1 | | 1.74 | -3.29 | |
3/31 | A | Colby | 12- | 13 | -1 | 5 | | 1.74 | -6.22 | |
4/07 | H | Amherst | 19- | 9 | 10 | 6 | + | -1.74 | 3.56 | |
4/10 | H | Rensselaer | 11- | 2 | 9 | 6 | + | -1.74 | 3.15 | |
4/14 | A | Trinity | 10- | 11 | -1 | 3 | | 1.74 | -3.93 | |
4/17 | H | Bates | 18- | 7 | 11 | 6 | ++ | -1.74 | 4.75 | |
4/21 | H | Wesleyan | 4- | 5 | -1 | 2 | | -1.74 | -3.16 | |
4/24 | A | Williams | 6- | 10 | -4 | 1 | | 1.74 | -5.16 | |
4/28 | A | Tufts | 6- | 7 | -1 | 0 | | 1.74 | -1.26 | |
4/29 | A | Trinity | 16- | 4 | 12 | 3 | +++ | 1.74 | 9.07 | |
5/05 | A | Tufts | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 1.74 | 0.74 | |
5/06 | N | Wesleyan | 11- | 6 | 5 | 0 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.58 | |
5/09 | H | Mount Ida | 21- | 2 | 19 | 15 | ++ | -1.74 | 4.18 | |
5/12 | A | Wesleyan | 9- | 13 | -4 | -1 | | 1.74 | -2.68 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/24 | H | Bowdoin | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
4/07 | H | Amherst | 19- | 9 | 0.00 |
4/17 | H | Bates | 18- | 7 | -1.00 |
4/29 | A | Trinity | 16- | 4 | -2.00 |
5/09 | H | Mount Ida | 21- | 2 | -4.18 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.40 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 26.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 9 |
| Local Poll Vote | 34. | | Local Poll Rank | 16 |
| Local Power Rating | 88.12 | | Local Power Rank | 7 |
| Local SOS Rating | 83.97 | | Local SOS Rank | 9 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.62 | | Local RPI Rank | 14 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 14 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.35 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 10 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 66 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.7 |
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