| Conference: CCLA | Region: North | State: MI | Coach: Matt Holtz |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/03 | A | Central Florida | 15- | 10 | 5 | 2 | + | 1.52 | 3.31 | |
3/06 | A | Florida | 9- | 10 | -1 | -2 | | 1.52 | 0.92 | |
3/09 | A | South Florida | 21- | 3 | 18 | 16 | + | 1.52 | 2.11 | |
3/24 | H | Miami U. | 11- | 5 | 6 | 8 | – | -1.52 | -2.36 | |
3/27 | H | Western Michigan | 10- | 6 | 4 | 6 | – | -1.52 | -2.28 | |
3/31 | A | Illinois | 10- | 8 | 2 | 0 | | 1.52 | 1.66 | |
4/01 | A | Illinois State | 14- | 7 | 7 | 6 | | 1.52 | 1.37 | |
4/06 | H | Pittsburgh | 8- | 3 | 5 | 3 | | -1.52 | 1.66 | |
4/11 | H | Eastern Michigan | 10- | 4 | 6 | 11 | –– | -1.52 | -5.01 | |
4/13 | H | Brigham Young | 4- | 10 | -6 | -9 | + | -1.52 | 2.78 | |
4/18 | H | Central Michigan | 7- | 6 | 1 | 5 | –– | -1.52 | -4.49 | |
4/21 | N | Michigan | 6- | 14 | -8 | -6 | – | 0.00 | -2.05 | |
4/26 | H | Oakland | 11- | 2 | 9 | 8 | | -1.52 | 1.46 | |
5/04 | N | Ball State | 8- | 2 | 6 | 11 | –– | 0.00 | -5.46 | |
5/05 | N | Buffalo | 12- | 4 | 8 | 1 | +++ | 0.00 | 7.42 | |
5/06 | N | Michigan | 3- | 10 | -7 | -6 | | 0.00 | -1.05 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/09 | A | South Florida | 21- | 3 | -2.11 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.13 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 72.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 24 |
| Local Poll Vote | 283. | | Local Poll Rank | 18 |
| Local Power Rating | 74.85 | | Local Power Rank | 26 |
| Local SOS Rating | 71.35 | | Local SOS Rank | 33 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.58 | | Local RPI Rank | 19 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 27 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.12 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 40 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 18 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.3 |
|
