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Merchant Marine Mariners (13-4)

Conference: Skyline

Region: North

State: NY

Coach: Tom Gill

USMMA Upsets #15 Stevens for Skyline Title, NCAA Bid

HOBOKEN, N.J. (April 28, 2007) � Second-seeded United States Merchant Marine Academy captured its first-ever bid to the NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Championship with a 12-11 victory over top-seeded and 15th-ranked Stevens Institute of Technology in the finals of the Skyline Conference Tournament on Saturday evening at the De Baun Athletic Complex in Hoboken, N.J. The loss snapped a 58-game winning streak against conference opponents for the Ducks that dated all the way back to 2000. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/17	VASSAR (2-13)	Liberty	71.5		W	11-	2
2/24	FRANKLIN & MARSHALL (6-7)	Centennial	84.3		W	11-	10
3/04	SCRANTON (7-9)	Middle Atlant	76.5		W	12-	6
3/10	at Stockton (7-6)	Skyline	75.3		W	12-	11
3/14	MUHLENBERG (6-6)	Centennial	83.0		L	8-	12
3/21	WESLEYAN (18-3)	NESCAC	87.8	6	L	8-	11
3/24	MT. ST. VINCENT (2-12)	Skyline	63.8		W	21-	0
3/31	KEAN (11-7)	Skyline	73.8		W	16-	8
4/04	at Manhattanville (5-10)	Skyline	70.4		W	19-	7
4/07	CENTENARY (3-12)	Skyline	67.9		W	19-	3
4/10	FARMINGDALE (5-10)	Skyline	72.7		W	18-	5
4/14	at Stevens (16-4)	Skyline	86.6		L	10-	18
4/18	MONTCLAIR STATE (11-7)	Skyline	79.1		W	9-	6
4/21	at Maritime (6-7)	Skyline	73.3		W	13-	6
4/25	vs. Montclair State # (11-7)	Skyline	79.1		W	8-	5
4/28	at Stevens (16-4)	Skyline	86.6		W	12-	11
5/09	at Keene State (16-1)	Little East	83.6	17	L	11-	14
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			76.7

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/17	H	Vassar	11-	2	9	12	–	-1.74	-3.23
2/24	H	Franklin & Marshall	11-	10	1	-1		-1.74	1.70
3/04	H	Scranton	12-	6	6	7		-1.74	-1.27
3/10	A	Stockton	12-	11	1	5	–	1.74	-3.58
3/14	H	Muhlenberg	8-	12	-4	1	––	-1.74	-4.54
3/21	H	Wesleyan	8-	11	-3	-5		-1.74	1.53
3/24	H	Mt. St. Vincent	21-	0	21	20		-1.74	1.44
3/31	H	Kean	16-	8	8	10		-1.74	-1.97
4/04	A	Manhattanville	19-	7	12	9	+	1.74	2.56
4/07	H	Centenary	19-	3	16	16		-1.74	-0.16
4/10	H	Farmingdale	18-	5	13	11		-1.74	1.68
4/14	A	Stevens	10-	18	-8	-6		1.74	-1.70
4/18	H	Montclair State	9-	6	3	4		-1.74	-1.19
4/21	A	Maritime	13-	6	7	7		1.74	0.42
4/25	N	Montclair State	8-	5	3	2		0.00	0.55
4/28	A	Stevens	12-	11	1	-6	+++	1.74	7.30
5/09	A	Keene State	11-	14	-3	-3		1.74	0.46
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Mt. St. Vincent	21-	0	-1.44
4/04	A	Manhattanville	19-	7	-2.00
4/07	H	Centenary	19-	3	0.16
4/10	H	Farmingdale	18-	5	-1.68
10-goal correction: -0.29

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	162.00	Local TSI Rank	55
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	81.54	Local Power Rank	53
Local SOS Rating	76.71	Local SOS Rank	81
Local RPI Rating	0.58	Local RPI Rank	27
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	12
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	0.80	Local Loss Rank	16
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-4	Ave Goal diff (all )	4.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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