| Conference: Skyline | Region: North | State: NY | Coach: Tom Gill |
USMMA Upsets #15 Stevens for Skyline Title, NCAA Bid
HOBOKEN, N.J. (April 28, 2007) – Second-seeded United States Merchant Marine Academy captured its first-ever bid to the NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Championship with a 12-11 victory over top-seeded and 15th-ranked Stevens Institute of Technology in the finals of the Skyline Conference Tournament on Saturday evening at the De Baun Athletic Complex in Hoboken, N.J. The loss snapped a 58-game winning streak against conference opponents for the Ducks that dated all the way back to 2000. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/17 | H | Vassar | 11- | 2 | 9 | 12 | | -1.74 | -3.23 | |
2/24 | H | Franklin & Marshall | 11- | 10 | 1 | -1 | | -1.74 | 1.70 | |
3/04 | H | Scranton | 12- | 6 | 6 | 7 | | -1.74 | -1.27 | |
3/10 | A | Stockton | 12- | 11 | 1 | 5 | | 1.74 | -3.58 | |
3/14 | H | Muhlenberg | 8- | 12 | -4 | 1 | | -1.74 | -4.54 | |
3/21 | H | Wesleyan | 8- | 11 | -3 | -5 | | -1.74 | 1.53 | |
3/24 | H | Mt. St. Vincent | 21- | 0 | 21 | 20 | | -1.74 | 1.44 | |
3/31 | H | Kean | 16- | 8 | 8 | 10 | | -1.74 | -1.97 | |
4/04 | A | Manhattanville | 19- | 7 | 12 | 9 | + | 1.74 | 2.56 | |
4/07 | H | Centenary | 19- | 3 | 16 | 16 | | -1.74 | -0.16 | |
4/10 | H | Farmingdale | 18- | 5 | 13 | 11 | | -1.74 | 1.68 | |
4/14 | A | Stevens | 10- | 18 | -8 | -6 | | 1.74 | -1.70 | |
4/18 | H | Montclair State | 9- | 6 | 3 | 4 | | -1.74 | -1.19 | |
4/21 | A | Maritime | 13- | 6 | 7 | 7 | | 1.74 | 0.42 | |
4/25 | N | Montclair State | 8- | 5 | 3 | 2 | | 0.00 | 0.55 | |
4/28 | A | Stevens | 12- | 11 | 1 | -6 | +++ | 1.74 | 7.30 | |
5/09 | A | Keene State | 11- | 14 | -3 | -3 | | 1.74 | 0.46 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/24 | H | Mt. St. Vincent | 21- | 0 | -1.44 |
4/04 | A | Manhattanville | 19- | 7 | -2.00 |
4/07 | H | Centenary | 19- | 3 | 0.16 |
4/10 | H | Farmingdale | 18- | 5 | -1.68 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.29 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 162.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 55 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 81.54 | | Local Power Rank | 53 |
| Local SOS Rating | 76.71 | | Local SOS Rank | 81 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.58 | | Local RPI Rank | 27 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 12 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 16 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.3 |
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