| Conference: Region III | | State: PA | Coach: Joe Ernst |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/17 | vs. Anne Arundel # (4-10) | Region XX | 65.3 | 8 | L | 1- | 10 | | 0.00 |
3/24 | at Broome (11-4) | Region III | 62.1 | 10 | L | 7- | 12 | | 0.00 |
3/31 | MONROE (11-4) | Region III | 69.9 | 5 | L | 5- | 18 | | 0.00 |
4/03 | ALFRED STATE (3-7) | Region III | 55.7 | | W | 13- | 11 | | 0.00 |
4/11 | at Finger Lakes (7-10) | Region III | 54.6 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.00 |
4/18 | CAYUGA (8-5) | Region III | 60.6 | | L | 6- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/22 | CANTON (0-7) | Region III | 44.1 | | W | 22- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/24 | at Mohawk Valley (3-13) | Region III | 51.4 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 58.0 | | | | | | 0.00 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/17 | N | Anne Arundel | 1- | 10 | -9 | -8 | | 0.00 | -0.86 | |
3/24 | A | Broome | 7- | 12 | -5 | -8 | + | 3.00 | 3.45 | |
3/31 | H | Monroe | 5- | 18 | -13 | -11 | – | -3.00 | -2.39 | |
4/03 | H | Alfred State | 13- | 11 | 2 | 4 | – | -3.00 | -2.40 | |
4/11 | A | Finger Lakes | 10- | 7 | 3 | -1 | + | 3.00 | 3.63 | |
4/18 | H | Cayuga | 6- | 12 | -6 | 0 | –– | -3.00 | -5.73 | |
4/22 | H | Canton | 22- | 4 | 18 | 16 | + | -3.00 | 2.48 | |
4/24 | A | Mohawk Valley | 11- | 7 | 4 | 2 | | 3.00 | 1.82 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/31 | H | Monroe | 5- | 18 | 2.39 |
4/22 | H | Canton | 22- | 4 | -2.48 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.01 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 49.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 16 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 56.97 | | Local Power Rank | 14 |
| Local SOS Rating | 57.95 | | Local SOS Rank | 19 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.45 | | Local RPI Rank | 15 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 3 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 6 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 5.3 |
|
