| Conference: Region XV | | State: NY | Coach: Rich Speckmann |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/03 | at Army B (1-5) | Independent | 74.1 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.00 |
3/10 | at Anne Arundel (4-10) | Region XX | 65.3 | 8 | W | 12- | 8 | | -0.30 |
3/11 | at Howard (14-2) | Region XX | 74.9 | 3 | L | 10- | 14 | | 0.00 |
3/24 | at Onondaga (15-0) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 9- | 16 | | 0.00 |
3/25 | at Delhi (4-9) | Region III | 56.1 | | W | 18- | 0 | | 0.00 |
3/31 | CATONSVILLE (6-8) | Region XX | 62.1 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.00 |
4/02 | at Princeton B (0-0) | | | | L | 3- | 14 | | 0.00 |
4/07 | ESSEX (9-7) | Region XX | 73.0 | 4 | W | 11- | 7 | | -0.70 |
4/13 | NAVAL ACADEMY PREP (4-3) | Independent | 77.4 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.00 |
4/17 | SUFFOLK (4-7) | Region XV | 66.1 | 7 | W | 19- | 4 | | -0.40 |
4/21 | HERKIMER (11-6) | Region III | 74.8 | 6 | W | 15- | 9 | | -0.50 |
4/24 | at Harford (5-7) | Region XX | 64.3 | 9 | W | 14- | 4 | | -0.20 |
4/28 | BRIDGTON ACADEMY (11-7) | Independent | 76.6 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.00 |
5/01 | at Army Prep (13-1) | Independent | 84.9 | | L | 6- | 10 | | 0.00 |
5/04 | SUFFOLK (4-7) | Region XV | 66.1 | 7 | W | 11- | 2 | | -0.40 |
5/12 | HOWARD (14-2) | Region XX | 74.9 | 3 | W | 12- | 10 | | -0.80 |
5/13 | ONONDAGA (15-0) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 14- | 21 | | 0.00 |
| | 72.1 | | | | | | -3.30 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/03 | A | Army B | 15- | 3 | 12 | -2 | +++ | 2.46 | | 13.65 |
3/10 | A | Anne Arundel | 12- | 8 | 4 | 7 | – | 3.00 | -2.84 | |
3/11 | A | Howard | 10- | 14 | -4 | -2 | | 3.00 | -1.93 | |
3/24 | A | Onondaga | 9- | 16 | -7 | -13 | +++ | 3.00 | 6.09 | |
3/25 | A | Delhi | 18- | 0 | 18 | 16 | | 3.00 | 1.88 | |
3/31 | H | Catonsville | 15- | 3 | 12 | 16 | – | -3.00 | -3.60 | |
4/02 | A | Princeton B | 3- | 14 | | | | | | |
4/07 | H | Essex | 11- | 7 | 4 | 6 | | -3.00 | -1.72 | |
4/13 | H | Naval Academy Prep | 12- | 6 | 6 | 0 | +++ | -2.46 | | 6.07 |
4/17 | H | Suffolk | 19- | 4 | 15 | 13 | + | -3.00 | 2.47 | |
4/21 | H | Herkimer | 15- | 9 | 6 | 2 | + | -3.00 | 3.55 | |
4/24 | A | Harford | 14- | 4 | 10 | 9 | | 3.00 | 1.47 | |
4/28 | H | Bridgton Academy | 6- | 5 | 1 | 1 | | -2.46 | | 0.23 |
5/01 | A | Army Prep | 6- | 10 | -4 | -12 | +++ | 2.46 | | 8.45 |
5/04 | H | Suffolk | 11- | 2 | 9 | 13 | – | -3.00 | -3.53 | |
5/12 | H | Howard | 12- | 10 | 2 | 4 | | -3.00 | -1.93 | |
5/13 | H | Onondaga | 14- | 21 | -7 | -7 | | -3.00 | 0.09 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 28.39 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/03 | A | Army B | 15- | 3 | 0.00 |
3/25 | A | Delhi | 18- | 0 | -1.88 |
3/31 | H | Catonsville | 15- | 3 | 3.60 |
4/02 | A | Princeton B | 3- | 14 | |
4/17 | H | Suffolk | 19- | 4 | -2.47 |
4/24 | A | Harford | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.04 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | -4.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 2 |
| Local Poll Vote | 52. | | Local Poll Rank | 2 |
| Local Power Rating | 74.91 | | Local Power Rank | 2 |
| Local SOS Rating | 72.06 | | Local SOS Rank | 1 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.66 | | Local RPI Rank | 2 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 12 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -3.30 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 3 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 3 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 7-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.3 |
|
