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Nazareth Golden Flyers (16-3)

Conference: Empire 8Region: NorthState: NYCoach: Rob Randall

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#6 Wesleyan Reaches Semis with Win over #4 Nazareth

MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Setting a team record for wins in a season with its 18th victory, Wesleyan University (18-2) won the first-ever meeting with perennial national power Nazareth College (16-3) in an NCAA Division III men's lacrosse quarterfinal game here Wednesday, 9-6. The win propels the Cardinals to their second straight contest vs. Cortland St. in a national semi-final as Cortland, the defending national champ, knocked off previous undefeated Western New England, 12-10, in its quarter-final matchup. In last year's semifinal, Cortland came back to defeat Wesleyan in overtime, 7-6.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
2/24GORDON (8-8)Commonwealth78.5W17- 5 0.00  
3/04at Springfield (8-9)Pilgrim84.0W10- 9 0.00  
3/10GENESEO (9-5)SUNYAC86.818W10- 8 -0.15  
3/13vs. Connecticut College # (5-9)NESCAC83.7W14- 8 0.00  
3/20WESTERN NEW ENGLAND (17-1)Pilgrim86.33L4- 9 0.00  
3/24at Hamilton (5-9)Liberty80.9W11- 6 0.00  
3/28CORTLAND (15-6)SUNYAC89.512W7- 6 -0.45  
3/31ELMIRA (4-8)Empire 877.6W21- 4 0.00  
4/04UTICA COLLEGE (6-8)Empire 878.4W16- 7 0.00  
4/07at Hartwick (7-8)Empire 882.5W10- 9ot0.00  
4/11at Alfred (6-7)Empire 877.3W17- 2 0.00  
4/14at RIT (14-3)Empire 887.414W13-12 -0.35  
4/17KEUKA (7-5)Independent78.9W22- 4 0.00  
4/20ITHACA (16-4)Empire 887.28L9-15 0.00  
4/24at St. John Fisher (10-7)Empire 883.4W16- 8 0.00  
4/27RIT (14-3)Empire 887.414W14- 8 -0.35  
4/29at Ithaca (16-4)Empire 887.28W16-14 -0.65  
5/12GENESEO (9-5)SUNYAC86.818W15- 5 -0.15  
5/16at Wesleyan (18-3)NESCAC87.86L6- 9 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 83.2     -2.10  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/24HGordon17-512   12       -1.74       -0.49
3/04ASpringfield10-91   3       1.74       -2.31
3/10HGeneseo10-82   4       -1.74       -1.75
3/13NConnecticut College14-86   5       0.00       0.81
3/20HWestern New England4-9-5   4       –––-1.74       -9.30
3/24AHamilton11-65   6       1.74       -0.79
3/28HCortland7-61   1       -1.74       0.48
3/31HElmira21-417   14       +-1.74       3.19
4/04HUtica College16-79   13       -1.74       -3.67
4/07AHartwick10-91   5       ––1.74       -4.40
4/11AAlfred17-215   10       ++1.74       5.31
4/14ARIT13-121   -1       1.74       1.76
4/17HKeuka22-418   12       +++-1.74       6.33
4/20HIthaca9-15-6   3       –––-1.74       -9.18
4/24ASt. John Fisher16-88   4       ++1.74       4.22
4/27HRIT14-86   3       +-1.74       3.28
4/29AIthaca16-142   0       +1.74       2.30
5/12HGeneseo15-510   4       +++-1.74       6.25
5/16AWesleyan6-9-3   -1       1.74       -2.04
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/24HGordon17-50.49
3/31HElmira21-4-3.19
4/11AAlfred17-2-5.31
4/17HKeuka22-4-6.33
5/12HGeneseo15-50.00
10-goal correction: -0.75

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 9.00   Local TSI Rank 4
Local Poll Vote 151.   Local Poll Rank 4
Local Power Rating 88.13   Local Power Rank 6
Local SOS Rating 83.16   Local SOS Rank 18
Local RPI Rating 0.68   Local RPI Rank 3
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 17
Local Quality Win Rating -2.10   Local Quality Win Rank 4
Local Loss Rating 0.60   Local Loss Rank 10
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.0



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