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Conf. Standings

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (5-7)

Conference: RMLC-B

Region: West

State: AZ

Coach: Troy Elliott

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/17	at UNLV (4-5)	WCLL-B	49.0		W	13-	12		0.00
2/23	at Utah Valley State (7-4)	RMLC-B	61.7		L	9-	10		0.00
2/24	at Westminster (16-3)	RMLC-B	64.9	2	L	10-	18		0.00
3/23	at Colorado Sch. of Mines (8-6)	RMLC-B	54.7		L	3-	12		0.00
3/24	at Regis (3-5)	RMLC-B	48.0		W	16-	6		0.00
3/25	at Northern Colorado (11-6)	RMLC-B	61.0	6	L	7-	19		0.00
3/31	WESTERN STATE (3-6)	RMLC-B	52.6		W	13-	12		0.00
4/14	NEW MEXICO (2-11)	RMLC-B	41.1		W	23-	1		0.00
4/21	vs. Metropolitan State # (0-0)				L	7-	10		0.00
4/22	at Fort Lewis (11-7)	RMLC-B	60.9	10	L	7-	16		0.00
5/03	vs. Montana State # (6-5)	RMLC-B	57.8	14	W	13-	10		-0.48
5/04	vs. Westminster # (16-3)	RMLC-B	64.9	2	L	4-	22		0.00
# Neutral site			56.1						-0.48

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/17	A	UNLV	13-	12	1	5	–	1.75	-3.75
2/23	A	Utah Valley State	9-	10	-1	-9	+++	1.75	7.61
2/24	A	Westminster	10-	18	-8	-11	+	1.75	3.13
3/23	A	Colorado Sch. of Mines	3-	12	-9	-1	–––	1.75	-7.55
3/24	A	Regis	16-	6	10	6	++	1.75	4.44
3/25	A	Northern Colorado	7-	19	-12	-8	–	1.75	-3.71
3/31	H	Western State	13-	12	1	4	–	-1.75	-3.36
4/14	H	New Mexico	23-	1	22	15	+++	-1.75	6.53
4/21	N	Metropolitan State	7-	10
4/22	A	Fort Lewis	7-	16	-9	-8		1.75	-1.21
5/03	N	Montana State	13-	10	3	-3	+++	0.00	6.49
5/04	N	Westminster	4-	22	-18	-9	–––	0.00	-8.62
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	A	Regis	16-	6	0.00
3/25	A	Northern Colorado	7-	19	2.00
4/14	H	New Mexico	23-	1	-6.53
5/04	N	Westminster	4-	22	8.00
10-goal correction: 0.29

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	96.00		Local TSI Rank	29
Local Poll Vote	n/a		Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	55.28		Local Power Rank	29
Local SOS Rating	56.08		Local SOS Rank	32
Local RPI Rating	0.53		Local RPI Rank	32
Local Trend Rating	3.00		Local Trend Rank	49
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.48		Local Quality Win Rank	22
Local Loss Rating	1.20		Local Loss Rank	79
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.0


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