| Conference: Region III | | State: NY | Coach: Chuck Wilbur |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/18 | vs. Essex # (9-7) | Region XX | 73.0 | 4 | W | 23- | 8 | | -0.70 |
3/21 | at Monroe (11-4) | Region III | 69.9 | 5 | W | 24- | 8 | | -0.60 |
3/24 | NASSAU (12-5) | Region XV | 74.9 | 2 | W | 16- | 9 | | -0.90 |
4/01 | CAYUGA (8-5) | Region III | 60.6 | | W | 29- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/03 | BROOME (11-4) | Region III | 62.1 | 10 | W | 25- | 5 | | -0.10 |
4/07 | HUDSON VALLEY (9-7) | Region III | 63.2 | | W | 24- | 3 | | 0.00 |
4/11 | at Delhi (4-9) | Region III | 56.1 | | W | 31- | 2 | | 0.00 |
4/14 | at Herkimer (11-6) | Region III | 74.8 | 6 | W | 25- | 12 | | -0.50 |
4/18 | vs. Finger Lakes # (7-10) | Region III | 54.6 | | W | 30- | 1 | | 0.00 |
4/21 | at Mohawk Valley (3-13) | Region III | 51.4 | | W | 35- | 3 | | 0.00 |
4/24 | at Alfred State (3-7) | Region III | 55.7 | | W | 33- | 1 | | 0.00 |
5/05 | vs. Hudson Valley # (9-7) | Region III | 63.2 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.00 |
5/06 | at Herkimer (11-6) | Region III | 74.8 | 6 | W | 22- | 15 | | -0.50 |
5/12 | vs. Herkimer # (11-6) | Region III | 74.8 | 6 | W | 26- | 12 | | -0.50 |
5/13 | at Nassau (12-5) | Region XV | 74.9 | 2 | W | 21- | 14 | | -0.90 |
| # Neutral site | | 65.7 | | | | | | -4.70 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/18 | N | Essex | 23- | 8 | 15 | 13 | + | 0.00 | 2.18 | |
3/21 | A | Monroe | 24- | 8 | 16 | 11 | ++ | 3.00 | 4.53 | |
3/24 | H | Nassau | 16- | 9 | 7 | 13 | ––– | -3.00 | -6.09 | |
4/01 | H | Cayuga | 29- | 5 | 24 | 28 | – | -3.00 | -3.81 | |
4/03 | H | Broome | 25- | 5 | 20 | 26 | –– | -3.00 | -5.62 | |
4/07 | H | Hudson Valley | 24- | 3 | 21 | 24 | – | -3.00 | -3.03 | |
4/11 | A | Delhi | 31- | 2 | 29 | 26 | + | 3.00 | 2.79 | |
4/14 | A | Herkimer | 25- | 12 | 13 | 7 | +++ | 3.00 | 6.45 | |
4/18 | N | Finger Lakes | 30- | 1 | 29 | 30 | | 0.00 | -1.44 | |
4/21 | A | Mohawk Valley | 35- | 3 | 32 | 30 | | 3.00 | 1.75 | |
4/24 | A | Alfred State | 33- | 1 | 32 | 26 | ++ | 3.00 | 5.53 | |
5/05 | N | Hudson Valley | 16- | 3 | 13 | 21 | ––– | 0.00 | -8.03 | |
5/06 | A | Herkimer | 22- | 15 | 7 | 7 | | 3.00 | 0.45 | |
5/12 | N | Herkimer | 26- | 12 | 14 | 10 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.45 | |
5/13 | A | Nassau | 21- | 14 | 7 | 7 | | 3.00 | -0.09 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/18 | N | Essex | 23- | 8 | -2.18 |
3/21 | A | Monroe | 24- | 8 | -4.53 |
4/01 | H | Cayuga | 29- | 5 | 3.81 |
4/03 | H | Broome | 25- | 5 | 5.62 |
4/07 | H | Hudson Valley | 24- | 3 | 3.03 |
4/11 | A | Delhi | 31- | 2 | -2.79 |
4/14 | A | Herkimer | 25- | 12 | -3.00 |
4/18 | N | Finger Lakes | 30- | 1 | 1.44 |
4/21 | A | Mohawk Valley | 35- | 3 | -1.75 |
4/24 | A | Alfred State | 33- | 1 | -5.53 |
5/05 | N | Hudson Valley | 16- | 3 | 8.03 |
5/12 | N | Herkimer | 26- | 12 | -4.45 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.15 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | -6.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 1 |
| Local Poll Vote | 60. | | Local Poll Rank | 1 |
| Local Power Rating | 84.90 | | Local Power Rank | 1 |
| Local SOS Rating | 65.70 | | Local SOS Rank | 6 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.71 | | Local RPI Rank | 1 |
| Local Trend Rating | 0.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 1 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -4.70 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 1 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 1 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-0 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 18.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 4-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 11.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 8-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 12.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 12.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 9.3 |
| 
