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Rutgers Scarlet Knights (7-6)

Conference: ECACRegion: NortheastState: NJCoach: Jim Stagnitta

Late Rally Falls Short as No. 20 UMass Loses at Rutgers

PISCATAWAY, N.J. (May 5, 2007) – The Rutgers men’s lacrosse team (7-6, 4-3) closed out its season with a 9-8 win over ECAC opponent UMass (7-7, 4-3) on an afternoon in which the team recognized its five graduating seniors prior to the start of the game. Five different Scarlet Knights scored in the game, led by senior Matt Gaines’ (Abingdon, Md.) hat trick. With the win, Rutgers finishes the season with a winning record at 7-6, including a 4-3 mark in conference play.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
2/27DOWLING (8-4)East Coast88.3W17- 9 0.00  
3/03at Delaware (13-6)Colonial94.115L5- 7 0.00  
3/10at Fairfield (6-6)ECAC92.0L10-14 0.00  
3/13PRINCETON (10-4)Ivy League96.47L8-15 0.00  
3/24at Hobart (5-9)ECAC90.5W12-112ot0.00  
3/31at St. John's (5-8)ECAC89.3L4- 6 0.00  
4/03MANHATTAN (6-8)Metro Atlanti87.5W10- 3 0.00  
4/07LOYOLA (7-6)ECAC93.712W17- 7 -0.45  
4/15at Syracuse (5-8)Independent93.7L9-22 0.00  
4/22PENN STATE (5-8)ECAC91.5W8- 72ot0.00  
4/28at Georgetown (12-3)ECAC93.64L8-12 0.00  
5/02ARMY (6-9)Patriot91.5W10- 9 0.00  
5/05MASSACHUSETTS (7-7)ECAC93.0W9- 8 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
 91.2     -0.45  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/27HDowling17-98   5       +-1.54       3.09
3/03ADelaware5-7-2   -5       +1.83       3.46
3/10AFairfield10-14-4   -2       1.83       -2.20
3/13HPrinceton8-15-7   -3       -1.83       -3.62
3/24AHobart12-111   -1       +1.83       2.02
3/31ASt. John's4-6-2   0       1.83       -2.27
4/03HManhattan10-37   6       -1.83       0.93
4/07HLoyola17-710   -1       +++-1.83       11.03
4/15ASyracuse9-22-13   -4       –––1.83       -8.69
4/22HPenn State8-71   2       -1.83       -0.72
4/28AGeorgetown8-12-4   -4       1.83       0.05
5/02HArmy10-91   2       -1.83       -0.80
5/05HMassachusetts9-81   0       -1.83       0.80
         0.003.09

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/07HLoyola17-70.00
4/15ASyracuse9-223.00
10-goal correction: 0.23

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 74.00   Local TSI Rank 23
Local Poll Vote 19.   Local Poll Rank 18
Local Power Rating 91.65   Local Power Rank 28
Local SOS Rating 91.21   Local SOS Rank 23
Local RPI Rating 0.51   Local RPI Rank 24
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 22
Local Quality Win Rating -0.45   Local Quality Win Rank 22
Local Loss Rating 1.20   Local Loss Rank 20
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 7-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -5.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.7



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