| Conference: Capital | Region: South | State: MD | Coach: Jim Berkman |
#1 Salisbury Flies by Cortland to Win Division III Crown
BALTIMORE * The 2007 Salisbury University men's lacrosse team completed a record breaking season on Sunday afternoon before 22,778 at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore with its fourth NCAA Division III national championship in five years. SU defeated defending national champion SUNY Cortland 15-9 and placed this year's Sea Gull squad right next to one of the best Salisbury teams of all-time, the 1995 national championship team. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/17 | A | Virginia Wesleyan | 14- | 5 | 9 | 9 | | 1.74 | 0.12 | |
2/21 | H | Marymount | 23- | 3 | 20 | 20 | | -1.74 | -0.47 | |
2/23 | H | Catholic | 24- | 2 | 22 | 22 | | -1.74 | -0.22 | |
2/28 | H | Goucher | 19- | 4 | 15 | 17 | | -1.74 | -2.05 | |
3/04 | H | Roanoke | 28- | 4 | 24 | 9 | +++ | -1.74 | 15.11 | |
3/11 | H | Ohio Wesleyan | 21- | 5 | 16 | 14 | + | -1.74 | 2.29 | |
3/14 | H | Widener | 13- | 7 | 6 | 14 | | -1.74 | -7.56 | |
3/18 | H | Denison | 17- | 8 | 9 | 11 | | -1.74 | -1.83 | |
3/19 | H | Hood | 26- | 1 | 25 | 32 | | -1.74 | -7.38 | |
3/27 | A | York | 27- | 2 | 25 | 16 | +++ | 1.74 | 9.27 | |
3/31 | H | Gettysburg | 10- | 6 | 4 | 6 | | -1.74 | -1.52 | |
4/04 | H | Mary Washington | 17- | 3 | 14 | 17 | | -1.74 | -2.90 | |
4/07 | A | Lynchburg | 15- | 5 | 10 | 4 | +++ | 1.74 | 6.11 | |
4/11 | H | Villa Julie | 19- | 8 | 11 | 12 | | -1.74 | -0.51 | |
4/14 | A | St. Mary's | 13- | 6 | 7 | 8 | | 1.74 | -1.47 | |
4/17 | H | Catholic | 27- | 2 | 25 | 22 | + | -1.74 | 2.78 | |
4/20 | H | Goucher | 19- | 2 | 17 | 17 | | -1.74 | -0.05 | |
4/22 | H | St. Mary's | 17- | 5 | 12 | 12 | | -1.74 | 0.05 | |
4/28 | A | Washington College | 13- | 5 | 8 | 7 | | 1.74 | 0.65 | |
5/12 | H | Widener | 16- | 8 | 8 | 14 | | -1.74 | -5.56 | |
5/16 | H | Roanoke | 15- | 9 | 6 | 9 | | -1.74 | -2.89 | |
5/19 | H | Gettysburg | 9- | 6 | 3 | 6 | | -1.74 | -2.52 | |
5/27 | N | Cortland | 15- | 9 | 6 | 5 | | 0.00 | 0.56 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
2/21 | H | Marymount | 23- | 3 | 0.47 |
2/23 | H | Catholic | 24- | 2 | 0.22 |
2/28 | H | Goucher | 19- | 4 | 2.05 |
3/04 | H | Roanoke | 28- | 4 | 14.00 |
3/11 | H | Ohio Wesleyan | 21- | 5 | -2.29 |
3/19 | H | Hood | 26- | 1 | 7.38 |
3/27 | A | York | 27- | 2 | -9.27 |
4/04 | H | Mary Washington | 17- | 3 | 2.90 |
4/07 | A | Lynchburg | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
4/11 | H | Villa Julie | 19- | 8 | 0.51 |
4/17 | H | Catholic | 27- | 2 | -2.78 |
4/20 | H | Goucher | 19- | 2 | 0.05 |
4/22 | H | St. Mary's | 17- | 5 | -0.05 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.64 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 0.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 2 |
| Local Poll Vote | 180. | | Local Poll Rank | 1 |
| Local Power Rating | 94.90 | | Local Power Rank | 1 |
| Local SOS Rating | 82.68 | | Local SOS Rank | 23 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.72 | | Local RPI Rank | 1 |
| Local Trend Rating | 0.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 1 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -4.40 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 1 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 1 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 23-0 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 13.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 9.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 8-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 9.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 5.0 |
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