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St. Lawrence Saints (14-2)

Conference: Liberty

Region: North

State: NY

Coach: Mike Mahoney

#12 Cortland Knocks off #5 St. Lawrence in NCAAs

CANTON, N.Y. � Senior Mike Felice (Baldwinsville/C.W. Baker) recorded six points on five goals and one assist as Cortland began defense of its NCAA Division III title with a 13-8 second-round win at St. Lawrence University. The nationally 12th-ranked Red Dragons (13-5) advance to play at undefeated Western New England College in the national quarterfinals Wednesday at a time to be announced. St. Lawrence, ranked fifth nationally, finishes the season 14-2 while suffering its first home loss since April 16, 2005. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/10	CORTLAND (15-6)	SUNYAC	89.5	12	W	7-	5		-0.45
3/13	HARTWICK (7-8)	Empire 8	82.5		W	17-	2		0.00
3/20	vs. Bowdoin # (7-8)	NESCAC	83.9		L	11-	12	ot	0.00
3/22	vs. Amherst # (7-8)	NESCAC	83.7		W	16-	9		0.00
3/27	OSWEGO (3-11)	SUNYAC	77.0		W	15-	5		0.00
3/29	at Plattsburgh (9-6)	SUNYAC	79.9		W	16-	5		0.00
3/31	VASSAR (2-13)	Liberty	71.5		W	18-	2		0.00
4/03	POTSDAM (7-8)	SUNYAC	80.5		W	15-	4		0.00
4/07	HAMILTON (5-9)	Liberty	80.9		W	9-	2		0.00
4/14	at Rensselaer (10-5)	Liberty	84.1		W	8-	7		0.00
4/22	at Union (5-9)	Liberty	80.7		W	15-	12		0.00
4/25	at Clarkson (6-10)	Liberty	83.4		W	10-	3		0.00
4/28	SKIDMORE (7-8)	Liberty	83.5		W	14-	6		0.00
5/04	RENSSELAER (10-5)	Liberty	84.1		W	10-	4		0.00
5/06	SKIDMORE (7-8)	Liberty	83.5		W	16-	3		0.00
5/12	CORTLAND (15-6)	SUNYAC	89.5	12	L	8-	13		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			81.9						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	H	Cortland	7-	5	2	0		-1.74	1.57
3/13	H	Hartwick	17-	2	15	9	+++	-1.74	6.21
3/20	N	Bowdoin	11-	12	-1	5	––	0.00	-5.99
3/22	N	Amherst	16-	9	7	5	+	0.00	2.03
3/27	H	Oswego	15-	5	10	13	–	-1.74	-3.27
3/29	A	Plattsburgh	16-	5	11	7	++	1.74	4.24
3/31	H	Vassar	18-	2	16	19	–	-1.74	-3.19
4/03	H	Potsdam	15-	4	11	10		-1.74	0.66
4/07	H	Hamilton	9-	2	7	9	–	-1.74	-2.18
4/14	A	Rensselaer	8-	7	1	3		1.74	-1.64
4/22	A	Union	15-	12	3	6	–	1.74	-3.16
4/25	A	Clarkson	10-	3	7	3	+	1.74	3.55
4/28	H	Skidmore	14-	6	8	7		-1.74	0.86
5/04	H	Rensselaer	10-	4	6	6		-1.74	-0.12
5/06	H	Skidmore	16-	3	13	7	++	-1.74	5.86
5/12	H	Cortland	8-	13	-5	0	––	-1.74	-5.43
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	Hartwick	17-	2	-5.00
3/27	H	Oswego	15-	5	3.27
3/29	A	Plattsburgh	16-	5	-1.00
3/31	H	Vassar	18-	2	3.19
4/03	H	Potsdam	15-	4	-0.66
5/06	H	Skidmore	16-	3	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.20

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	36.00	Local TSI Rank	11
Local Poll Vote	146.	Local Poll Rank	5
Local Power Rating	88.59	Local Power Rank	5
Local SOS Rating	81.86	Local SOS Rank	28
Local RPI Rating	0.61	Local RPI Rank	19
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	22
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.45	Local Quality Win Rank	23
Local Loss Rating	0.40	Local Loss Rank	5
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-2	Ave Goal diff (all )	6.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-1	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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