| Conference: Liberty | Region: North | State: NY | Coach: Mike Mahoney |
#12 Cortland Knocks off #5 St. Lawrence in NCAAs
CANTON, N.Y. – Senior Mike Felice (Baldwinsville/C.W. Baker) recorded six points on five goals and one assist as Cortland began defense of its NCAA Division III title with a 13-8 second-round win at St. Lawrence University. The nationally 12th-ranked Red Dragons (13-5) advance to play at undefeated Western New England College in the national quarterfinals Wednesday at a time to be announced. St. Lawrence, ranked fifth nationally, finishes the season 14-2 while suffering its first home loss since April 16, 2005. [full story]
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| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score* | | QWF |
3/10 | CORTLAND (15-6) | SUNYAC | 89.5 | 12 | W | 7- | 5 | | -0.45 |
3/13 | HARTWICK (7-8) | Empire 8 | 82.5 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.00 |
3/20 | vs. Bowdoin # (7-8) | NESCAC | 83.9 | | L | 11- | 12 | ot | 0.00 |
3/22 | vs. Amherst # (7-8) | NESCAC | 83.7 | | W | 16- | 9 | | 0.00 |
3/27 | OSWEGO (3-11) | SUNYAC | 77.0 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.00 |
3/29 | at Plattsburgh (9-6) | SUNYAC | 79.9 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.00 |
3/31 | VASSAR (2-13) | Liberty | 71.5 | | W | 18- | 2 | | 0.00 |
4/03 | POTSDAM (7-8) | SUNYAC | 80.5 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/07 | HAMILTON (5-9) | Liberty | 80.9 | | W | 9- | 2 | | 0.00 |
4/14 | at Rensselaer (10-5) | Liberty | 84.1 | | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.00 |
4/22 | at Union (5-9) | Liberty | 80.7 | | W | 15- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/25 | at Clarkson (6-10) | Liberty | 83.4 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.00 |
4/28 | SKIDMORE (7-8) | Liberty | 83.5 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.00 |
5/04 | RENSSELAER (10-5) | Liberty | 84.1 | | W | 10- | 4 | | 0.00 |
5/06 | SKIDMORE (7-8) | Liberty | 83.5 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.00 |
5/12 | CORTLAND (15-6) | SUNYAC | 89.5 | 12 | L | 8- | 13 | | 0.00 |
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site | | 81.9 | | | | | | -0.45 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/10 | H | Cortland | 7- | 5 | 2 | 0 | | -1.74 | 1.57 | |
3/13 | H | Hartwick | 17- | 2 | 15 | 9 | +++ | -1.74 | 6.21 | |
3/20 | N | Bowdoin | 11- | 12 | -1 | 5 | | 0.00 | -5.99 | |
3/22 | N | Amherst | 16- | 9 | 7 | 5 | + | 0.00 | 2.03 | |
3/27 | H | Oswego | 15- | 5 | 10 | 13 | | -1.74 | -3.27 | |
3/29 | A | Plattsburgh | 16- | 5 | 11 | 7 | ++ | 1.74 | 4.24 | |
3/31 | H | Vassar | 18- | 2 | 16 | 19 | | -1.74 | -3.19 | |
4/03 | H | Potsdam | 15- | 4 | 11 | 10 | | -1.74 | 0.66 | |
4/07 | H | Hamilton | 9- | 2 | 7 | 9 | | -1.74 | -2.18 | |
4/14 | A | Rensselaer | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | | 1.74 | -1.64 | |
4/22 | A | Union | 15- | 12 | 3 | 6 | | 1.74 | -3.16 | |
4/25 | A | Clarkson | 10- | 3 | 7 | 3 | + | 1.74 | 3.55 | |
4/28 | H | Skidmore | 14- | 6 | 8 | 7 | | -1.74 | 0.86 | |
5/04 | H | Rensselaer | 10- | 4 | 6 | 6 | | -1.74 | -0.12 | |
5/06 | H | Skidmore | 16- | 3 | 13 | 7 | ++ | -1.74 | 5.86 | |
5/12 | H | Cortland | 8- | 13 | -5 | 0 | | -1.74 | -5.43 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/13 | H | Hartwick | 17- | 2 | -5.00 |
3/27 | H | Oswego | 15- | 5 | 3.27 |
3/29 | A | Plattsburgh | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
3/31 | H | Vassar | 18- | 2 | 3.19 |
4/03 | H | Potsdam | 15- | 4 | -0.66 |
5/06 | H | Skidmore | 16- | 3 | -3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.20 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 36.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 11 |
| Local Poll Vote | 146. | | Local Poll Rank | 5 |
| Local Power Rating | 88.59 | | Local Power Rank | 5 |
| Local SOS Rating | 81.86 | | Local SOS Rank | 28 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.61 | | Local RPI Rank | 19 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 22 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.45 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 23 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 5 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.7 |
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