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St. Lawrence Saints (14-2)

Conference: LibertyRegion: NorthState: NYCoach: Mike Mahoney

#12 Cortland Knocks off #5 St. Lawrence in NCAAs

CANTON, N.Y. – Senior Mike Felice (Baldwinsville/C.W. Baker) recorded six points on five goals and one assist as Cortland began defense of its NCAA Division III title with a 13-8 second-round win at St. Lawrence University. The nationally 12th-ranked Red Dragons (13-5) advance to play at undefeated Western New England College in the national quarterfinals Wednesday at a time to be announced. St. Lawrence, ranked fifth nationally, finishes the season 14-2 while suffering its first home loss since April 16, 2005.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
3/10CORTLAND (15-6)SUNYAC89.512W7- 5 -0.45  
3/13HARTWICK (7-8)Empire 882.5W17- 2 0.00  
3/20vs. Bowdoin # (7-8)NESCAC83.9L11-12ot0.00  
3/22vs. Amherst # (7-8)NESCAC83.7W16- 9 0.00  
3/27OSWEGO (3-11)SUNYAC77.0W15- 5 0.00  
3/29at Plattsburgh (9-6)SUNYAC79.9W16- 5 0.00  
3/31VASSAR (2-13)Liberty71.5W18- 2 0.00  
4/03POTSDAM (7-8)SUNYAC80.5W15- 4 0.00  
4/07HAMILTON (5-9)Liberty80.9W9- 2 0.00  
4/14at Rensselaer (10-5)Liberty84.1W8- 7 0.00  
4/22at Union (5-9)Liberty80.7W15-12 0.00  
4/25at Clarkson (6-10)Liberty83.4W10- 3 0.00  
4/28SKIDMORE (7-8)Liberty83.5W14- 6 0.00  
5/04RENSSELAER (10-5)Liberty84.1W10- 4 0.00  
5/06SKIDMORE (7-8)Liberty83.5W16- 3 0.00  
5/12CORTLAND (15-6)SUNYAC89.512L8-13 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 81.9     -0.45  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/10HCortland7-52   0       -1.74       1.57
3/13HHartwick17-215   9       +++-1.74       6.21
3/20NBowdoin11-12-1   5       ––0.00       -5.99
3/22NAmherst16-97   5       +0.00       2.03
3/27HOswego15-510   13       -1.74       -3.27
3/29APlattsburgh16-511   7       ++1.74       4.24
3/31HVassar18-216   19       -1.74       -3.19
4/03HPotsdam15-411   10       -1.74       0.66
4/07HHamilton9-27   9       -1.74       -2.18
4/14ARensselaer8-71   3       1.74       -1.64
4/22AUnion15-123   6       1.74       -3.16
4/25AClarkson10-37   3       +1.74       3.55
4/28HSkidmore14-68   7       -1.74       0.86
5/04HRensselaer10-46   6       -1.74       -0.12
5/06HSkidmore16-313   7       ++-1.74       5.86
5/12HCortland8-13-5   0       ––-1.74       -5.43
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/13HHartwick17-2-5.00
3/27HOswego15-53.27
3/29APlattsburgh16-5-1.00
3/31HVassar18-23.19
4/03HPotsdam15-4-0.66
5/06HSkidmore16-3-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.20

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 36.00   Local TSI Rank 11
Local Poll Vote 146.   Local Poll Rank 5
Local Power Rating 88.59   Local Power Rank 5
Local SOS Rating 81.86   Local SOS Rank 28
Local RPI Rating 0.61   Local RPI Rank 19
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 22
Local Quality Win Rating -0.45   Local Quality Win Rank 23
Local Loss Rating 0.40   Local Loss Rank 5
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.7



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