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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

NCAA Selection Criteria

Conf. Standings

St. Thomas Tommies (14-3)

Conference: UMLL-B

State: MN

Coach: Peter Moosbrugger

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/16	vs. Calvin # (10-3)	CCLA-B	57.1	11	W	11-	5		-0.60
2/18	vs. Harding # (13-3)	GRLC-B	61.1	8	W	14-	7		-0.72
3/10	vs. Dordt College # (6-3)	GRLC-B	53.5		W	9-	0		0.00
3/31	at Minnesota St. Moorhead (5-6)	UMLL-B	49.6		W	16-	3		0.00
4/01	vs. Carleton # (3-6)	UMLL-B	51.2		W	15-	0		0.00
4/04	MINNESOTA (8-5)	UMLL	71.4		W	9-	3		0.00
4/13	ST. JOHN'S - MN (15-1)	UMLL-B	63.1	1	L	4-	7		0.00
4/14	NORTH DAKOTA (1-10)	UMLL-B	46.1		W	19-	6		0.00
4/15	NORTH DAKOTA STATE (2-6)	UMLL-B	46.2		W	14-	3		0.00
4/18	BETHEL (4-7)	UMLL-B	47.3		W	17-	5		0.00
4/20	at UW - Eau Claire (7-4)	UMLL-B	54.4		W	14-	8		0.00
4/21	CREIGHTON (7-4)	GRLC-B	53.8	24	W	18-	9		-0.08
4/27	vs. North Dakota # (1-10)	UMLL-B	46.1		W	27-	2		0.00
4/28	vs. UW - Eau Claire # (7-4)	UMLL-B	54.4		W	14-	6		0.00
4/29	vs. St. John's - MN # (15-1)	UMLL-B	63.1	1	L	6-	8		0.00
5/16	vs. Dayton # (13-1)	CCLA-B	62.0	5	L	8-	10		0.00
5/17	vs. Emory # (11-4)	SELC-B	63.5	7	W	6-	4		-0.76
# Neutral site			55.6						-2.16

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/16	N	Calvin	11-	5	6	5		0.00	0.70
2/18	N	Harding	14-	7	7	1	++	0.00	5.62
3/10	N	Dordt College	9-	0	9	8		0.00	0.75
3/31	A	Minnesota St. Moorhead	16-	3	13	11		1.75	1.67
4/01	N	Carleton	15-	0	15	12	+	0.00	3.44
4/04	H	Minnesota	9-	3	6	-7	+++	-1.64		13.39
4/13	H	St. John's - MN	4-	7	-3	1	–	-1.75	-3.74
4/14	H	North Dakota	19-	6	13	18	––	-1.75	-5.15
4/15	H	North Dakota State	14-	3	11	17	––	-1.75	-5.79
4/18	H	Bethel	17-	5	12	16	––	-1.75	-4.37
4/20	A	UW - Eau Claire	14-	8	6	6		1.75	0.00
4/21	H	Creighton	18-	9	9	11		-1.75	-1.60
4/27	N	North Dakota	27-	2	25	16	+++	0.00	8.60
4/28	N	UW - Eau Claire	14-	6	8	8		0.00	0.25
4/29	N	St. John's - MN	6-	8	-2	-1		0.00	-1.00
5/16	N	Dayton	8-	10	-2	0	–	0.00	-2.29
5/17	N	Emory	6-	4	2	-1	+	0.00	2.91
									0.00	13.39

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	Minnesota St. Moorhead	16-	3	-1.67
4/01	N	Carleton	15-	0	-3.44
4/14	H	North Dakota	19-	6	5.15
4/15	H	North Dakota State	14-	3	5.79
4/18	H	Bethel	17-	5	4.37
4/27	N	North Dakota	27-	2	-8.60
10-goal correction: 0.09

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	27.00		Local TSI Rank	10
Local Poll Vote	571.		Local Poll Rank	4
Local Power Rating	62.41		Local Power Rank	6
Local SOS Rating	55.63		Local SOS Rank	37
Local RPI Rating	0.66		Local RPI Rank	6
Local Trend Rating	2.00		Local Trend Rank	27
Local Quality Win Rating	-2.16		Local Quality Win Rank	10
Local Loss Rating	0.60		Local Loss Rank	29
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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