| Conference: NESCAC | Region: North | State: CT | Coach: Jim Finlay |
Middlebury Hammers Trinity in NESCAC Quaterfinals
Hartford, Conn. – Sophomore attackman Skyler Hopkins (Easton, Md.) totaled five goals and one assist to lead the visiting Middlebury College Panthers a 16-4 victory over the Trinity College Bantams in the opening round of the New England Small College Athletic Conference (NESCAC) Men's Lacrosse Championship Tournament this afternoon at Jessee/Miller Field. Trinity drops to 9-6 with its second loss in as many days, while the Panthers improve to 8-6 and snap a three-game losing skid. Middlebury avenges an 11-10 loss to the Bantams in overtime two weeks ago and advances to the NESCAC Semifinals next Saturday at top-seeded Tufts University. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/10 | H | Salve Regina | 14- | 4 | 10 | 10 | | -1.74 | -0.27 | |
3/14 | A | Western Connecticut | 13- | 4 | 9 | 6 | + | 1.74 | 3.33 | |
3/21 | A | Lynchburg | 8- | 16 | -8 | -8 | | 1.74 | -0.19 | |
3/24 | H | Colby | 9- | 4 | 5 | 4 | | -1.74 | 0.97 | |
3/28 | H | Wheaton | 15- | 4 | 11 | 10 | | -1.74 | 0.91 | |
3/31 | A | Tufts | 5- | 11 | -6 | -4 | | 1.74 | -1.59 | |
4/04 | H | Amherst | 10- | 7 | 3 | 2 | | -1.74 | 1.23 | |
4/07 | A | Bowdoin | 7- | 9 | -2 | -2 | | 1.74 | -0.30 | |
4/08 | A | Bates | 9- | 7 | 2 | -2 | + | 1.74 | 3.91 | |
4/14 | H | Middlebury | 11- | 10 | 1 | -3 | + | -1.74 | 3.93 | |
4/18 | A | Wesleyan | 8- | 18 | -10 | -6 | | 1.74 | -4.01 | |
4/21 | H | Williams | 9- | 7 | 2 | 0 | + | -1.74 | 2.02 | |
4/24 | A | Eastern Connecticut | 21- | 11 | 10 | 3 | +++ | 1.74 | 7.03 | |
4/28 | H | Connecticut College | 2- | 8 | -6 | 2 | | -1.74 | -7.89 | |
4/29 | H | Middlebury | 4- | 16 | -12 | -3 | | -1.74 | -9.07 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/10 | H | Salve Regina | 14- | 4 | 0.27 |
3/28 | H | Wheaton | 15- | 4 | -0.91 |
4/18 | A | Wesleyan | 8- | 18 | 0.00 |
4/24 | A | Eastern Connecticut | 21- | 11 | 0.00 |
4/29 | H | Middlebury | 4- | 16 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.09 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 89.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 24 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 83.93 | | Local Power Rank | 33 |
| Local SOS Rating | 82.72 | | Local SOS Rank | 21 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.57 | | Local RPI Rank | 32 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 87 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.25 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 26 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 51 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.7 |
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