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Tufts Jumbos (13-4)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: North

State: MA

Coach: Mike Daly

Sufrin Leads No. 2 Bullets to Victory Over No. 9 Tufts

GETTYSBURG, Pa. � Junior midfielder Ben Sufrin (Mahopac, N.Y./Mahopac) tallied career highs with four goals and six points to lead No. 2 Gettysburg to a 12-7 win against No. 9 Tufts in NCAA Division III Second Round action at Shirk Field at Musselman Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Bullets, appearing in the NCAA tournament for the 17th time in 19 seasons, advance to the quarterfinals for the 17th time. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/10	at Skidmore (7-8)	Liberty	83.5		W	5-	4		0.00
3/13	at Eastern Connecticut (8-9)	Little East	79.2		W	13-	10		0.00
3/20	at Roanoke (15-5)	Old Dominion	87.8	7	W	13-	12		-0.70
3/24	at Wesleyan (18-3)	NESCAC	87.8	6	W	9-	6		-0.75
3/28	at Connecticut College (5-9)	NESCAC	83.7		W	9-	5		0.00
3/31	TRINITY (9-6)	NESCAC	83.9		W	11-	5		0.00
4/03	WESTERN NEW ENGLAND (17-1)	Pilgrim	86.3	3	L	7-	9		0.00
4/07	COLBY (3-10)	NESCAC	81.8		W	12-	9		0.00
4/11	ENDICOTT (14-3)	Commonwealth	85.9	15	W	12-	10		-0.30
4/14	at Bowdoin (7-8)	NESCAC	83.9		W	9-	7		0.00
4/16	at Williams (8-6)	NESCAC	85.6		L	5-	11		0.00
4/21	BATES (6-6)	NESCAC	83.7		W	9-	8	2ot	0.00
4/24	at Amherst (7-8)	NESCAC	83.7		W	11-	9		0.00
4/28	MIDDLEBURY (11-7)	NESCAC	88.1	16	W	7-	6	ot	-0.25
5/05	MIDDLEBURY (11-7)	NESCAC	88.1	16	L	7-	8		0.00
5/09	ENDICOTT (14-3)	Commonwealth	85.9	15	W	9-	8		-0.30
5/12	at Gettysburg (16-3)	Centennial	91.5	2	L	7-	12		0.00
* Click the score for the game story.			84.8						-2.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	A	Skidmore	5-	4	1	1		1.74	-0.38
3/13	A	Eastern Connecticut	13-	10	3	6	–	1.74	-2.64
3/20	A	Roanoke	13-	12	1	-4	++	1.74	4.62
3/24	A	Wesleyan	9-	6	3	-3	+++	1.74	6.32
3/28	A	Connecticut College	9-	5	4	1	+	1.74	2.92
3/31	H	Trinity	11-	5	6	4		-1.74	1.59
4/03	H	Western New England	7-	9	-2	2	–	-1.74	-3.93
4/07	H	Colby	12-	9	3	7	–	-1.74	-3.70
4/11	H	Endicott	12-	10	2	2		-1.74	0.02
4/14	A	Bowdoin	9-	7	2	1		1.74	1.03
4/16	A	Williams	5-	11	-6	-1	––	1.74	-5.16
4/21	H	Bates	9-	8	1	4	–	-1.74	-3.25
4/24	A	Amherst	11-	9	2	1		1.74	1.04
4/28	H	Middlebury	7-	6	1	0		-1.74	1.26
5/05	H	Middlebury	7-	8	-1	0		-1.74	-0.74
5/09	H	Endicott	9-	8	1	2		-1.74	-0.98
5/12	A	Gettysburg	7-	12	-5	-7		1.74	1.99
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	12.00	Local TSI Rank	6
Local Poll Vote	104.	Local Poll Rank	9
Local Power Rating	86.51	Local Power Rank	16
Local SOS Rating	84.83	Local SOS Rank	2
Local RPI Rating	0.66	Local RPI Rank	6
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	52
Local Quality Win Rating	-2.30	Local Quality Win Rank	3
Local Loss Rating	0.80	Local Loss Rank	21
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-4	Ave Goal diff (all )	0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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