| Conference: SELC | Region: Northern | State: VA | Coach: Joel Nachlas |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/24 | A | Clemson | 13- | 12 | 1 | 3 | – | 1.52 | -2.34 | |
2/25 | A | South Carolina | 12- | 11 | 1 | 1 | | 1.52 | -0.24 | |
3/04 | N | Florida State | 8- | 15 | -7 | -2 | –– | 0.00 | -4.79 | |
3/07 | A | U. of Miami | 19- | 8 | 11 | 13 | – | 1.52 | -2.37 | |
3/11 | A | Savannah Art & Design | 13- | 5 | 8 | 9 | | 1.64 | | -1.40 |
3/17 | H | Georgia Tech | 8- | 7 | 1 | 2 | | -1.52 | -0.62 | |
3/18 | H | Buffalo | 10- | 9 | 1 | 2 | | -1.52 | -1.08 | |
3/23 | H | Georgia | 11- | 12 | -1 | -3 | | -1.52 | 1.80 | |
3/30 | H | Florida | 15- | 8 | 7 | 1 | ++ | -1.52 | 5.90 | |
3/31 | A | Wake Forest | 14- | 8 | 6 | 7 | | 1.52 | -1.12 | |
4/08 | N | Sonoma State | 6- | 9 | -3 | -4 | | 0.00 | 0.78 | |
4/14 | H | North Carolina State | 18- | 5 | 13 | 8 | ++ | -1.52 | 5.03 | |
4/15 | H | East Carolina | 17- | 9 | 8 | 8 | | -1.52 | -0.36 | |
4/21 | N | Florida | 8- | 9 | -1 | 0 | | 0.00 | -0.58 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/07 | A | U. of Miami | 19- | 8 | 2.37 |
4/14 | H | North Carolina State | 18- | 5 | -3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.04 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 72.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 23 |
| Local Poll Vote | 269. | | Local Poll Rank | 19 |
| Local Power Rating | 74.92 | | Local Power Rank | 24 |
| Local SOS Rating | 71.45 | | Local SOS Rank | 32 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.57 | | Local RPI Rank | 21 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 40 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.64 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 27 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 24 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.7 |
| 
