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Wesleyan Cardinals (18-3)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: North

State: CT

Coach: John Raba

#12 Cortland Downs #6 Wesleyan to Advance to Final

MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Meeting for the second year in a row in the NCAA Division III men's lacrosse tournament semi-finals, defending national champion Cortland St. (15-5) knocked off Wesleyan University (18-3), 9-8, setting up a repeat of last year's national championship game vs. Salisbury University. Cortland defeated Salisbury 13-12 in overtime a year ago to capture its first Division III title. Cortland is playing in its 16th NCAA Division III tournament and seventh in a row. Wesleyan has been to the NCAA playoffs three times, all in the last three seasons. Undefeated Salisbury (21-0), which took NCAA titles in 2003, 2004 and 2005, got by Gettysburg, 9-6, in its semi-final Saturday as the Gulls are in NCAA Division III tournament number-25 with six crowns in total. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/09	ENDICOTT (14-3)	Commonwealth	85.9	15	W	9-	6		-0.30
3/11	at Babson (7-7)	Pilgrim	77.2		W	13-	5		0.00
3/15	vs. Hamilton # (5-9)	Liberty	80.9		W	11-	2		0.00
3/17	vs. Roger Williams # (8-7)	Commonwealth	78.7		W	14-	4		0.00
3/21	at Merchant Marine (13-4)	Skyline	81.5		W	11-	8		0.00
3/24	TUFTS (13-4)	NESCAC	86.5	9	L	6-	9		0.00
3/26	at Western Connecticut (10-8)	Little East	76.6		W	18-	1		0.00
3/31	at Bowdoin (7-8)	NESCAC	83.9		W	7-	3		0.00
4/04	at Connecticut College (5-9)	NESCAC	83.7		W	8-	7	2ot	0.00
4/07	WILLIAMS (8-6)	NESCAC	85.6		W	11-	7		0.00
4/11	at Amherst (7-8)	NESCAC	83.7		W	10-	9	2ot	0.00
4/14	at Colby (3-10)	NESCAC	81.8		W	8-	7		0.00
4/18	TRINITY (9-6)	NESCAC	83.9		W	18-	8		0.00
4/21	at Middlebury (11-7)	NESCAC	88.1	16	W	5-	4	ot	-0.25
4/28	BATES (6-6)	NESCAC	83.7		W	7-	6	ot	0.00
4/29	BOWDOIN (7-8)	NESCAC	83.9		W	7-	3		0.00
5/05	vs. Williams # (8-6)	NESCAC	85.6		W	8-	0		0.00
5/06	vs. Middlebury # (11-7)	NESCAC	88.1	16	L	6-	11		0.00
5/12	MIDDLEBURY (11-7)	NESCAC	88.1	16	W	13-	9		-0.25
5/16	NAZARETH (16-3)	Empire 8	88.1	4	W	9-	6		-0.85
5/20	CORTLAND (15-6)	SUNYAC	89.5	12	L	8-	9		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			83.6						-1.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/09	H	Endicott	9-	6	3	4		-1.74	-0.56
3/11	A	Babson	13-	5	8	9		1.74	-0.97
3/15	N	Hamilton	11-	2	9	7	+	0.00	2.25
3/17	N	Roger Williams	14-	4	10	9		0.00	0.63
3/21	A	Merchant Marine	11-	8	3	5		1.74	-1.53
3/24	H	Tufts	6-	9	-3	3	–––	-1.74	-6.32
3/26	A	Western Connecticut	18-	1	17	10	+++	1.74	7.07
3/31	A	Bowdoin	7-	3	4	3		1.74	1.44
4/04	A	Connecticut College	8-	7	1	3		1.74	-1.66
4/07	H	Williams	11-	7	4	4		-1.74	-0.23
4/11	A	Amherst	10-	9	1	3		1.74	-1.54
4/14	A	Colby	8-	7	1	5	–	1.74	-3.80
4/18	H	Trinity	18-	8	10	6	++	-1.74	4.01
4/21	A	Middlebury	5-	4	1	-2	+	1.74	3.16
4/28	H	Bates	7-	6	1	6	––	-1.74	-4.83
4/29	H	Bowdoin	7-	3	4	6	–	-1.74	-2.04
5/05	N	Williams	8-	0	8	2	++	0.00	5.51
5/06	N	Middlebury	6-	11	-5	0	––	0.00	-4.58
5/12	H	Middlebury	13-	9	4	1	+	-1.74	2.68
5/16	H	Nazareth	9-	6	3	1	+	-1.74	2.04
5/20	H	Cortland	8-	9	-1	0		-1.74	-0.74
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	N	Roger Williams	14-	4	0.00
3/26	A	Western Connecticut	18-	1	-7.07
4/18	H	Trinity	18-	8	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.34

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	10.00	Local TSI Rank	5
Local Poll Vote	127.	Local Poll Rank	6
Local Power Rating	87.76	Local Power Rank	9
Local SOS Rating	83.58	Local SOS Rank	11
Local RPI Rating	0.66	Local RPI Rank	5
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	55
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.65	Local Quality Win Rank	8
Local Loss Rating	0.60	Local Loss Rank	12
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-3	Ave Goal diff (all )	4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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