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Wesleyan Cardinals (18-3)

Conference: NESCACRegion: NorthState: CTCoach: John Raba

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#12 Cortland Downs #6 Wesleyan to Advance to Final

MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Meeting for the second year in a row in the NCAA Division III men's lacrosse tournament semi-finals, defending national champion Cortland St. (15-5) knocked off Wesleyan University (18-3), 9-8, setting up a repeat of last year's national championship game vs. Salisbury University. Cortland defeated Salisbury 13-12 in overtime a year ago to capture its first Division III title. Cortland is playing in its 16th NCAA Division III tournament and seventh in a row. Wesleyan has been to the NCAA playoffs three times, all in the last three seasons. Undefeated Salisbury (21-0), which took NCAA titles in 2003, 2004 and 2005, got by Gettysburg, 9-6, in its semi-final Saturday as the Gulls are in NCAA Division III tournament number-25 with six crowns in total.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
3/09ENDICOTT (14-3)Commonwealth85.915W9- 6 -0.30  
3/11at Babson (7-7)Pilgrim77.2W13- 5 0.00  
3/15vs. Hamilton # (5-9)Liberty80.9W11- 2 0.00  
3/17vs. Roger Williams # (8-7)Commonwealth78.7W14- 4 0.00  
3/21at Merchant Marine (13-4)Skyline81.5W11- 8 0.00  
3/24TUFTS (13-4)NESCAC86.59L6- 9 0.00  
3/26at Western Connecticut (10-8)Little East76.6W18- 1 0.00  
3/31at Bowdoin (7-8)NESCAC83.9W7- 3 0.00  
4/04at Connecticut College (5-9)NESCAC83.7W8- 72ot0.00  
4/07WILLIAMS (8-6)NESCAC85.6W11- 7 0.00  
4/11at Amherst (7-8)NESCAC83.7W10- 92ot0.00  
4/14at Colby (3-10)NESCAC81.8W8- 7 0.00  
4/18TRINITY (9-6)NESCAC83.9W18- 8 0.00  
4/21at Middlebury (11-7)NESCAC88.116W5- 4ot-0.25  
4/28BATES (6-6)NESCAC83.7W7- 6ot0.00  
4/29BOWDOIN (7-8)NESCAC83.9W7- 3 0.00  
5/05vs. Williams # (8-6)NESCAC85.6W8- 0 0.00  
5/06vs. Middlebury # (11-7)NESCAC88.116L6-11 0.00  
5/12MIDDLEBURY (11-7)NESCAC88.116W13- 9 -0.25  
5/16NAZARETH (16-3)Empire 888.14W9- 6 -0.85  
5/20CORTLAND (15-6)SUNYAC89.512L8- 9 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 83.6     -1.65  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/09HEndicott9-63   4       -1.74       -0.56
3/11ABabson13-58   9       1.74       -0.97
3/15NHamilton11-29   7       +0.00       2.25
3/17NRoger Williams14-410   9       0.00       0.63
3/21AMerchant Marine11-83   5       1.74       -1.53
3/24HTufts6-9-3   3       –––-1.74       -6.32
3/26AWestern Connecticut18-117   10       +++1.74       7.07
3/31ABowdoin7-34   3       1.74       1.44
4/04AConnecticut College8-71   3       1.74       -1.66
4/07HWilliams11-74   4       -1.74       -0.23
4/11AAmherst10-91   3       1.74       -1.54
4/14AColby8-71   5       1.74       -3.80
4/18HTrinity18-810   6       ++-1.74       4.01
4/21AMiddlebury5-41   -2       +1.74       3.16
4/28HBates7-61   6       ––-1.74       -4.83
4/29HBowdoin7-34   6       -1.74       -2.04
5/05NWilliams8-08   2       ++0.00       5.51
5/06NMiddlebury6-11-5   0       ––0.00       -4.58
5/12HMiddlebury13-94   1       +-1.74       2.68
5/16HNazareth9-63   1       +-1.74       2.04
5/20HCortland8-9-1   0       -1.74       -0.74
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/17NRoger Williams14-40.00
3/26AWestern Connecticut18-1-7.07
4/18HTrinity18-80.00
10-goal correction: -0.34

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 10.00   Local TSI Rank 5
Local Poll Vote 127.   Local Poll Rank 6
Local Power Rating 87.76   Local Power Rank 9
Local SOS Rating 83.58   Local SOS Rank 11
Local RPI Rating 0.66   Local RPI Rank 5
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 55
Local Quality Win Rating -1.65   Local Quality Win Rank 8
Local Loss Rating 0.60   Local Loss Rank 12
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0



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