| Conference: NESCAC | Region: North | State: CT | Coach: John Raba |
#12 Cortland Downs #6 Wesleyan to Advance to Final
MIDDLETOWN, Conn. -- Meeting for the second year in a row in the NCAA Division III men's lacrosse tournament semi-finals, defending national champion Cortland St. (15-5) knocked off Wesleyan University (18-3), 9-8, setting up a repeat of last year's national championship game vs. Salisbury University. Cortland defeated Salisbury 13-12 in overtime a year ago to capture its first Division III title. Cortland is playing in its 16th NCAA Division III tournament and seventh in a row. Wesleyan has been to the NCAA playoffs three times, all in the last three seasons. Undefeated Salisbury (21-0), which took NCAA titles in 2003, 2004 and 2005, got by Gettysburg, 9-6, in its semi-final Saturday as the Gulls are in NCAA Division III tournament number-25 with six crowns in total. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/09 | H | Endicott | 9- | 6 | 3 | 4 | | -1.74 | -0.56 | |
3/11 | A | Babson | 13- | 5 | 8 | 9 | | 1.74 | -0.97 | |
3/15 | N | Hamilton | 11- | 2 | 9 | 7 | + | 0.00 | 2.25 | |
3/17 | N | Roger Williams | 14- | 4 | 10 | 9 | | 0.00 | 0.63 | |
3/21 | A | Merchant Marine | 11- | 8 | 3 | 5 | | 1.74 | -1.53 | |
3/24 | H | Tufts | 6- | 9 | -3 | 3 | ––– | -1.74 | -6.32 | |
3/26 | A | Western Connecticut | 18- | 1 | 17 | 10 | +++ | 1.74 | 7.07 | |
3/31 | A | Bowdoin | 7- | 3 | 4 | 3 | | 1.74 | 1.44 | |
4/04 | A | Connecticut College | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | | 1.74 | -1.66 | |
4/07 | H | Williams | 11- | 7 | 4 | 4 | | -1.74 | -0.23 | |
4/11 | A | Amherst | 10- | 9 | 1 | 3 | | 1.74 | -1.54 | |
4/14 | A | Colby | 8- | 7 | 1 | 5 | – | 1.74 | -3.80 | |
4/18 | H | Trinity | 18- | 8 | 10 | 6 | ++ | -1.74 | 4.01 | |
4/21 | A | Middlebury | 5- | 4 | 1 | -2 | + | 1.74 | 3.16 | |
4/28 | H | Bates | 7- | 6 | 1 | 6 | –– | -1.74 | -4.83 | |
4/29 | H | Bowdoin | 7- | 3 | 4 | 6 | – | -1.74 | -2.04 | |
5/05 | N | Williams | 8- | 0 | 8 | 2 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.51 | |
5/06 | N | Middlebury | 6- | 11 | -5 | 0 | –– | 0.00 | -4.58 | |
5/12 | H | Middlebury | 13- | 9 | 4 | 1 | + | -1.74 | 2.68 | |
5/16 | H | Nazareth | 9- | 6 | 3 | 1 | + | -1.74 | 2.04 | |
5/20 | H | Cortland | 8- | 9 | -1 | 0 | | -1.74 | -0.74 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/17 | N | Roger Williams | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
3/26 | A | Western Connecticut | 18- | 1 | -7.07 |
4/18 | H | Trinity | 18- | 8 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.34 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 10.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 5 |
| Local Poll Vote | 127. | | Local Poll Rank | 6 |
| Local Power Rating | 87.76 | | Local Power Rank | 9 |
| Local SOS Rating | 83.58 | | Local SOS Rank | 11 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.66 | | Local RPI Rank | 5 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 55 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.65 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 8 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 12 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 18-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.0 |
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