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Sun Oct 21 16:32:48 EDT 2007


    The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
    Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
    predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for 
    all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
    average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
    ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown  
    under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this   
    means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the   
    games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.


    Regional          Average    No       Measuring (goals) how close the PR
     Team           Goal error Games      predicted actual goal difference 
                                          <1     <2     <3     <4     <5     >5  

    MD1                 2.76     411      95     90     57     60     50     60
    MD2                 3.17     250      53     47     46     32     23     49
    MD3                 3.04    1038     220    213    149    145    117    196
    JUCO                3.99     124      19     20     21     14     15     36
    USLIA A             3.45     678     142    116     97     95     78    150
    USLIA B             4.82     279      45     35     51     37     23     88
    OUFLA               2.44     351      95     80     69     35     35     37
    NCLL                2.35     109      32     24     22     11     10     11
      2.80     198      44     42     25     34     23     30
      2.74      52      17      4      9     10      6      6
      2.54      23       5      8      3      2      3      2
      7.29      67       4      5      6      9      9     34

    TOTAL               3.07    3423     748    673    546    474    378    609

     total games...............  =   3423
     ave error (goals).........  =   3.07
     total upsets..............  =    502
     % of games within 1 goal..  =  21.85
     % of games within 2 goals.  =  41.51
     % of games within 3 goals.  =  57.46
     % of games within 4 goals.  =  71.31
     % of games within 5 goals.  =  82.35
     % of games    >   5 goals.  =  17.79

 


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