|
|
Sun Oct 21 16:32:48 EDT 2007
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for
all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown
under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this
means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the
games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.
Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR
Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference
<1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5
MD1 2.76 411 95 90 57 60 50 60
MD2 3.17 250 53 47 46 32 23 49
MD3 3.04 1038 220 213 149 145 117 196
JUCO 3.99 124 19 20 21 14 15 36
USLIA A 3.45 678 142 116 97 95 78 150
USLIA B 4.82 279 45 35 51 37 23 88
OUFLA 2.44 351 95 80 69 35 35 37
NCLL 2.35 109 32 24 22 11 10 11
2.80 198 44 42 25 34 23 30
2.74 52 17 4 9 10 6 6
2.54 23 5 8 3 2 3 2
7.29 67 4 5 6 9 9 34
TOTAL 3.07 3423 748 673 546 474 378 609
total games............... = 3423
ave error (goals)......... = 3.07
total upsets.............. = 502
% of games within 1 goal.. = 21.85
% of games within 2 goals. = 41.51
% of games within 3 goals. = 57.46
% of games within 4 goals. = 71.31
% of games within 5 goals. = 82.35
% of games > 5 goals. = 17.79
|
