Sun Oct 21 16:32:48 EDT 2007
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat- ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the games, the power rating error was within 1 goal. Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference <1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5 MD1 2.76 411 95 90 57 60 50 60 MD2 3.17 250 53 47 46 32 23 49 MD3 3.04 1038 220 213 149 145 117 196 JUCO 3.99 124 19 20 21 14 15 36 USLIA A 3.45 678 142 116 97 95 78 150 USLIA B 4.82 279 45 35 51 37 23 88 OUFLA 2.44 351 95 80 69 35 35 37 NCLL 2.35 109 32 24 22 11 10 11 2.80 198 44 42 25 34 23 30 2.74 52 17 4 9 10 6 6 2.54 23 5 8 3 2 3 2 7.29 67 4 5 6 9 9 34 TOTAL 3.07 3423 748 673 546 474 378 609 total games............... = 3423 ave error (goals)......... = 3.07 total upsets.............. = 502 % of games within 1 goal.. = 21.85 % of games within 2 goals. = 41.51 % of games within 3 goals. = 57.46 % of games within 4 goals. = 71.31 % of games within 5 goals. = 82.35 % of games > 5 goals. = 17.79
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