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Amherst Lady Jeffs (9-7)

Conference: NESCAC

Region: New England

State: MA

Coach: Christine Paradis

#10 Amherst Falls to #8 Colby in NESCAC Semifinals

MIDDLEBURY, VT � The sixth-seeded Amherst College women's lacrosse team faced the fourth-seeded White Mules from Colby College this afternoon at host Middlebury in the semifinals of the NESCAC Tournament. Amherst led as late as the middle of the second half, but eventually fell 10-8. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*			QWF
3/11	vs. Wesleyan (CT) # (8-6)	NESCAC	82.4	13	W	10-	5	-0.40
3/19	vs. Salisbury # (21-2)	Capital	87.7	2	L	4-	11	0.00
3/21	at Colorado College (11-6)	Independent	80.4		W	10-	9	0.00
3/24	at Bates (8-7)	NESCAC	81.1		W	10-	7	0.00
3/29	at Springfield (10-8)	NEWMAC	77.2		W	7-	6	0.00
3/31	at Connecticut College (4-10)	NESCAC	77.5		W	13-	7	0.00
4/04	TRINITY (CT) (12-5)	NESCAC	84.1	11	W	14-	12	-0.50
4/07	MIDDLEBURY (16-2)	NESCAC	88.4	3	L	3-	11	0.00
4/12	BABSON (15-3)	NEWMAC	81.8	7	L	6-	7	0.00
4/14	WILLIAMS (6-8)	NESCAC	82.1	16	W	13-	6	-0.25
4/18	at Wheaton (4-12)	NEWMAC	72.3		W	20-	2	0.00
4/21	at Bowdoin (9-6)	NESCAC	84.4	14	L	10-	11	0.00
4/24	at Tufts (7-7)	NESCAC	82.8	19	L	7-	13	0.00
4/28	COLBY (12-5)	NESCAC	84.6	8	L	6-	11	0.00
4/29	at Wesleyan (CT) (8-6)	NESCAC	82.4	13	W	13-	5	-0.40
5/05	vs. Colby # (12-5)	NESCAC	84.6	8	L	8-	10	0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			82.4					-1.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	N	Wesleyan (CT)	10-	5	5	1	+	0.00	3.66
3/19	N	Salisbury	4-	11	-7	-4	–	0.00	-2.51
3/21	A	Colorado College	10-	9	1	2		1.91	-0.89
3/24	A	Bates	10-	7	3	1		1.91	1.90
3/29	A	Springfield	7-	6	1	5	–	1.91	-3.71
3/31	A	Connecticut College	13-	7	6	5		1.91	1.50
4/04	H	Trinity (CT)	14-	12	2	1		-1.91	0.76
4/07	H	Middlebury	3-	11	-8	-3	––	-1.91	-4.72
4/12	H	Babson	6-	7	-1	4	––	-1.91	-4.85
4/14	H	Williams	13-	6	7	4	+	-1.91	3.42
4/18	A	Wheaton	20-	2	18	11	+++	1.91	7.39
4/21	A	Bowdoin	10-	11	-1	-3		1.91	1.53
4/24	A	Tufts	7-	13	-6	-1	––	1.91	-4.58
4/28	H	Colby	6-	11	-5	1	–––	-1.91	-6.18
4/29	A	Wesleyan (CT)	13-	5	8	-1	+++	1.91	8.56
5/05	N	Colby	8-	10	-2	-1		0.00	-1.27
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/18	A	Wheaton	20-	2	-7.39
10-goal correction: -0.46

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	31.00	Local TSI Rank	11
Local Poll Vote	146.	Local Poll Rank	10
Local Power Rating	83.29	Local Power Rank	12
Local SOS Rating	82.40	Local SOS Rank	4
Local RPI Rating	0.60	Local RPI Rank	23
Local Trend Rating	4.00	Local Trend Rank	116
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.55	Local Quality Win Rank	10
Local Loss Rating	1.40	Local Loss Rank	36
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7	Ave Goal diff (all )	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-7	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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