| Conference: NEWMAC | Region: New England | State: MA | Coach: Kully Reardon |
Mary Washington Upends #7 Babson in NCAA Regional
LANCASTER, PA - Senior attacker Kaitlyn Barker equalled her career high with eight goals to lead the University of Mary Washington to an 18-14 victory over seventh-ranked Babson College in the second round of the NCAA Division III Women's Lacrosse Tournament on Saturday in Lancaster, PA. The Eagles break the school record for season wins with their 16th of the year against six losses. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/10 | H | Plymouth State | 18- | 10 | 8 | 5 | + | -1.91 | 3.25 | |
3/12 | H | Bates | 7- | 13 | -6 | 3 | | -1.91 | -8.96 | |
3/15 | H | Wesleyan (CT) | 13- | 12 | 1 | 1 | | -1.91 | -0.30 | |
3/19 | N | Messiah | 20- | 7 | 13 | 6 | +++ | 0.00 | 6.96 | |
3/21 | N | Trinity (CT) | 10- | 12 | -2 | -3 | | 0.00 | 0.61 | |
3/27 | H | Endicott | 18- | 13 | 5 | 9 | | -1.91 | -3.57 | |
3/31 | A | Smith | 14- | 7 | 7 | 10 | | 1.91 | -3.50 | |
4/03 | H | Wheaton | 21- | 6 | 15 | 12 | + | -1.91 | 2.52 | |
4/05 | H | Tufts | 15- | 14 | 1 | 0 | | -1.91 | 0.56 | |
4/10 | H | MIT | 21- | 10 | 11 | 12 | | -1.91 | -0.60 | |
4/12 | A | Amherst | 7- | 6 | 1 | -4 | ++ | 1.91 | 4.85 | |
4/14 | H | Mount Holyoke | 15- | 4 | 11 | 17 | | -1.91 | -5.62 | |
4/17 | A | Wellesley | 18- | 11 | 7 | 1 | ++ | 1.91 | 5.58 | |
4/21 | A | Springfield | 15- | 4 | 11 | 3 | +++ | 1.91 | 8.24 | |
4/24 | H | Eastern Connecticut | 16- | 8 | 8 | 6 | | -1.91 | 1.61 | |
4/28 | H | Springfield | 11- | 9 | 2 | 7 | | -1.91 | -4.57 | |
4/29 | H | Wellesley | 12- | 10 | 2 | 5 | | -1.91 | -3.23 | |
5/12 | N | Mary Washington | 14- | 18 | -4 | 0 | | 0.00 | -3.85 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/19 | N | Messiah | 20- | 7 | -3.00 |
4/03 | H | Wheaton | 21- | 6 | -2.52 |
4/10 | H | MIT | 21- | 10 | 0.60 |
4/14 | H | Mount Holyoke | 15- | 4 | 5.62 |
4/21 | A | Springfield | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.02 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 47.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 14 |
| Local Poll Vote | 192. | | Local Poll Rank | 7 |
| Local Power Rating | 81.79 | | Local Power Rank | 20 |
| Local SOS Rating | 77.81 | | Local SOS Rank | 28 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.63 | | Local RPI Rank | 13 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 2 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.05 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 14 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 5 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 3-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.0 |
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