| Conference: MPSF | Region: West/Midwest | State: CA | Coach: Elaine Jones |
UC Davis Downs St. Mary's in MPSF Fifth-Place Game
DAVIS, Calif. -- In Saturday's opener, Katie McGovern hit her eight-meter shot with 4:24 remaining to break the game's fifth tie as UC Davis escaped with a 12-10 win over Saint Mary's in the fifth-place contest. Aggie senior Megan O'Connor scored four goals and won six draw controls, while McGovern finished with a hat trick. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/18 | A | Oregon | 6- | 12 | -6 | -7 | | 1.53 | 1.16 | |
2/25 | H | Canisius | 13- | 12 | 1 | 4 | | -1.53 | -3.15 | |
2/27 | H | Le Moyne | 8- | 13 | -5 | -1 | | -1.53 | -3.74 | |
3/01 | H | Siena | 11- | 8 | 3 | 5 | | -1.53 | -2.07 | |
3/04 | A | California | 7- | 15 | -8 | -9 | | 1.53 | 0.89 | |
3/07 | H | Connecticut | 9- | 13 | -4 | -7 | + | -1.53 | 3.21 | |
3/12 | H | Iona | 14- | 7 | 7 | 7 | | -1.53 | 0.28 | |
3/14 | H | Lafayette | 13- | 12 | 1 | 9 | | -1.53 | -8.09 | |
3/26 | A | Lehigh | 10- | 11 | -1 | 0 | | 1.53 | -1.44 | |
3/28 | A | Bucknell | 13- | 2 | 11 | 0 | +++ | 1.53 | 10.79 | |
4/01 | H | St. Mary's (CA) | 17- | 5 | 12 | 6 | ++ | -1.53 | 5.64 | |
4/08 | H | Denver | 5- | 12 | -7 | -11 | + | -1.53 | 3.81 | |
4/13 | A | Ohio State | 4- | 17 | -13 | -10 | | 1.53 | -2.86 | |
4/15 | A | Wittenberg | 18- | 0 | 18 | 10 | +++ | 1.72 | | 8.43 |
4/24 | H | Stanford | 4- | 17 | -13 | -7 | | -1.53 | -5.63 | |
4/28 | A | St. Mary's (CA) | 15- | 6 | 9 | 3 | ++ | 1.53 | 5.70 | |
5/04 | H | California | 5- | 11 | -6 | -6 | | -1.53 | -0.16 | |
5/05 | H | St. Mary's (CA) | 12- | 10 | 2 | 6 | | -1.53 | -4.36 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 8.43 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/28 | A | Bucknell | 13- | 2 | -1.00 |
4/01 | H | St. Mary's (CA) | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
4/13 | A | Ohio State | 4- | 17 | 3.00 |
4/15 | A | Wittenberg | 18- | 0 | -8.43 |
4/24 | H | Stanford | 4- | 17 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.30 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 178.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 58 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 78.87 | | Local Power Rank | 57 |
| Local SOS Rating | 79.09 | | Local SOS Rank | 60 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.45 | | Local RPI Rank | 55 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 36 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 4.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 50 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 0.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
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