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UC Davis Aggies (9-9)

Conference: MPSF

Region: West/Midwest

State: CA

Coach: Elaine Jones

UC Davis Downs St. Mary's in MPSF Fifth-Place Game

DAVIS, Calif. -- In Saturday's opener, Katie McGovern hit her eight-meter shot with 4:24 remaining to break the game's fifth tie as UC Davis escaped with a 12-10 win over Saint Mary's in the fifth-place contest. Aggie senior Megan O'Connor scored four goals and won six draw controls, while McGovern finished with a hat trick. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/18	at Oregon (12-7)	MPSF	84.7		L	6-	12
2/25	CANISIUS (5-11)	Metro Atlanti	75.9		W	13-	12	ot
2/27	LE MOYNE (16-5)	Metro Atlanti	81.3		L	8-	13
3/01	SIENA (4-10)	Metro Atlanti	75.2		W	11-	8
3/04	at California (7-10)	MPSF	85.9		L	7-	15
3/07	CONNECTICUT (10-6)	Big East	87.9	20	L	9-	13
3/12	IONA (8-7)	Metro Atlanti	73.8		W	14-	7
3/14	LAFAYETTE (1-15)	Patriot Leagu	71.5		W	13-	12
3/26	at Lehigh (8-9)	Patriot Leagu	77.6		L	10-	11
3/28	at Bucknell (7-9)	Patriot Leagu	77.0		W	13-	2
4/01	ST. MARY'S (CA) (3-14)	MPSF	73.9		W	17-	5
4/08	DENVER (16-3)	MPSF	91.0	15	L	5-	12
4/13	at Ohio State (9-7)	Amer. Lac. Co	86.9	19	L	4-	17
4/15	at Wittenberg (3-11)	North Coast	67.6		W	18-	0
4/24	STANFORD (9-8)	MPSF	87.2		L	4-	17
4/28	at St. Mary's (CA) (3-14)	MPSF	73.9		W	15-	6
5/04	CALIFORNIA (7-10)	MPSF	85.9		L	5-	11
5/05	ST. MARY'S (CA) (3-14)	MPSF	73.9		W	12-	10
* Click the score for the game story.			79.1

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/18	A	Oregon	6-	12	-6	-7		1.53	1.16
2/25	H	Canisius	13-	12	1	4	–	-1.53	-3.15
2/27	H	Le Moyne	8-	13	-5	-1	–	-1.53	-3.74
3/01	H	Siena	11-	8	3	5	–	-1.53	-2.07
3/04	A	California	7-	15	-8	-9		1.53	0.89
3/07	H	Connecticut	9-	13	-4	-7	+	-1.53	3.21
3/12	H	Iona	14-	7	7	7		-1.53	0.28
3/14	H	Lafayette	13-	12	1	9	–––	-1.53	-8.09
3/26	A	Lehigh	10-	11	-1	0		1.53	-1.44
3/28	A	Bucknell	13-	2	11	0	+++	1.53	10.79
4/01	H	St. Mary's (CA)	17-	5	12	6	++	-1.53	5.64
4/08	H	Denver	5-	12	-7	-11	+	-1.53	3.81
4/13	A	Ohio State	4-	17	-13	-10	–	1.53	-2.86
4/15	A	Wittenberg	18-	0	18	10	+++	1.72		8.43
4/24	H	Stanford	4-	17	-13	-7	––	-1.53	-5.63
4/28	A	St. Mary's (CA)	15-	6	9	3	++	1.53	5.70
5/04	H	California	5-	11	-6	-6		-1.53	-0.16
5/05	H	St. Mary's (CA)	12-	10	2	6	––	-1.53	-4.36
									0.00	8.43

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	Bucknell	13-	2	-1.00
4/01	H	St. Mary's (CA)	17-	5	-2.00
4/13	A	Ohio State	4-	17	3.00
4/15	A	Wittenberg	18-	0	-8.43
4/24	H	Stanford	4-	17	3.00
10-goal correction: -0.30

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	178.00	Local TSI Rank	58
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	78.87	Local Power Rank	57
Local SOS Rating	79.09	Local SOS Rank	60
Local RPI Rating	0.45	Local RPI Rank	55
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	36
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	4.40	Local Loss Rank	50
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-9	Ave Goal diff (all )	0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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