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Dartmouth Big Green (9-7)

Conference: Ivy LeagueRegion: NortheastState: NHCoach: Amy Patton

#6 Duke Surges in 2nd Half Surge to Down Dartmouth

DURHAM, N.C. -- No. 6 Duke (14-3) came out strong in the second half and then held off Dartmouth (9-7) to secure an 18-14 victory in the last game of the regular season at Koskinen Stadium on Sunday. On a windy senior day, it was a couple of underclasswomen who would carry the Blue Devils: junior attacker Caroline Cryer with six goals and sophomore midfielder Carolyn Davis with four goals and one assist.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
2/24SYRACUSE (13-6)Big East93.67W11-10 -0.70  
3/03NEW HAMPSHIRE (7-10)America East82.7W19- 9 0.00  
3/07at Massachusetts (8-9)Atlantic 1085.7W11- 5 0.00  
3/16MARYLAND (16-4)Atlantic Coas94.05L7-13 0.00  
3/20at James Madison (13-5)Colonial90.517L9-16 0.00  
3/24at Yale (13-4)Ivy League90.011L8-10 0.00  
3/25at Columbia (5-10)Ivy League82.9W11- 5 0.00  
3/31BROWN (4-12)Ivy League81.1W17- 5 0.00  
4/03at Vermont (5-12)America East78.1W19- 8 0.00  
4/07CORNELL (5-10)Ivy League86.4W14- 9 0.00  
4/14at Penn (16-2)Ivy League94.22L8-13 0.00  
4/18HARVARD (5-11)Ivy League81.6W20-10 0.00  
4/21PRINCETON (10-7)Ivy League92.611L9-13 0.00  
4/25at Boston University (13-6)America East88.1L8-17 0.00  
5/02BOSTON COLLEGE (6-11)Atlantic Coas85.7W13- 9 0.00  
5/06at Duke (16-4)Atlantic Coas95.06L14-18 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
 87.2     -0.70  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/24HSyracuse11-101   -3       +-1.53       3.63
3/03HNew Hampshire19-910   8       +-1.53       2.01
3/07AMassachusetts11-56   2       +1.53       3.97
3/16HMaryland7-13-6   -3       -1.53       -2.92
3/20AJames Madison9-16-7   -3       ––1.53       -4.38
3/24AYale8-10-2   -2       1.53       0.15
3/25AColumbia11-56   5       1.53       1.14
3/31HBrown17-512   10       +-1.53       2.27
4/03AVermont19-811   10       1.53       1.19
4/07HCornell14-95   5       -1.53       0.39
4/14APenn8-13-5   -6       1.53       1.36
4/18HHarvard20-1010   9       -1.53       0.53
4/21HPrinceton9-13-4   -2       -1.53       -2.24
4/25ABoston University8-17-9   0       –––1.53       -9.05
5/02HBoston College13-94   5       -1.53       -1.10
5/06ADuke14-18-4   -7       +1.53       3.05
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/03HNew Hampshire19-90.00
3/31HBrown17-5-2.27
4/03AVermont19-8-1.19
4/18HHarvard20-100.00
10-goal correction: -0.22

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 62.00   Local TSI Rank 19
Local Poll Vote n/a   Local Poll Rank n/a
Local Power Rating 89.20   Local Power Rank 17
Local SOS Rating 87.25   Local SOS Rank 18
Local RPI Rating 0.55   Local RPI Rank 24
Local Trend Rating 3.00   Local Trend Rank 43
Local Quality Win Rating -0.70   Local Quality Win Rank 18
Local Loss Rating 1.60   Local Loss Rank 16
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 9-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.0



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