| Conference: Ivy League | Region: Northeast | State: NH | Coach: Amy Patton |
#6 Duke Surges in 2nd Half Surge to Down Dartmouth
DURHAM, N.C. -- No. 6 Duke (14-3) came out strong in the second half and then held off Dartmouth (9-7) to secure an 18-14 victory in the last game of the regular season at Koskinen Stadium on Sunday. On a windy senior day, it was a couple of underclasswomen who would carry the Blue Devils: junior attacker Caroline Cryer with six goals and sophomore midfielder Carolyn Davis with four goals and one assist. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/24 | H | Syracuse | 11- | 10 | 1 | -3 | + | -1.53 | 3.63 | |
3/03 | H | New Hampshire | 19- | 9 | 10 | 8 | + | -1.53 | 2.01 | |
3/07 | A | Massachusetts | 11- | 5 | 6 | 2 | + | 1.53 | 3.97 | |
3/16 | H | Maryland | 7- | 13 | -6 | -3 | | -1.53 | -2.92 | |
3/20 | A | James Madison | 9- | 16 | -7 | -3 | | 1.53 | -4.38 | |
3/24 | A | Yale | 8- | 10 | -2 | -2 | | 1.53 | 0.15 | |
3/25 | A | Columbia | 11- | 5 | 6 | 5 | | 1.53 | 1.14 | |
3/31 | H | Brown | 17- | 5 | 12 | 10 | + | -1.53 | 2.27 | |
4/03 | A | Vermont | 19- | 8 | 11 | 10 | | 1.53 | 1.19 | |
4/07 | H | Cornell | 14- | 9 | 5 | 5 | | -1.53 | 0.39 | |
4/14 | A | Penn | 8- | 13 | -5 | -6 | | 1.53 | 1.36 | |
4/18 | H | Harvard | 20- | 10 | 10 | 9 | | -1.53 | 0.53 | |
4/21 | H | Princeton | 9- | 13 | -4 | -2 | | -1.53 | -2.24 | |
4/25 | A | Boston University | 8- | 17 | -9 | 0 | | 1.53 | -9.05 | |
5/02 | H | Boston College | 13- | 9 | 4 | 5 | | -1.53 | -1.10 | |
5/06 | A | Duke | 14- | 18 | -4 | -7 | + | 1.53 | 3.05 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/03 | H | New Hampshire | 19- | 9 | 0.00 |
3/31 | H | Brown | 17- | 5 | -2.27 |
4/03 | A | Vermont | 19- | 8 | -1.19 |
4/18 | H | Harvard | 20- | 10 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.22 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 62.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 19 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 89.20 | | Local Power Rank | 17 |
| Local SOS Rating | 87.25 | | Local SOS Rank | 18 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.55 | | Local RPI Rank | 24 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 43 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.70 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 18 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 16 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 9-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.0 |
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