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Denver Pioneers (16-3)

Conference: MPSF

Region: West/Midwest

State: CO

Coach: Liza Kelly

Davies, O'Connell Named Denver's Captains for '08

DENVER – Senior Kelly O'Connell (Baltimore, Md.) and junior Natasha Davies (Annapolis, Md.) will serve as captains of the 2008 University of Denver women's lacrosse team, head coach Liza Kelly announced today. [full story]

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Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score*			QWF
2/16	DUKE (16-4)	Atlantic Coas	95.0	6	L	6-	19	0.00
2/24	at Columbia (5-10)	Ivy League	82.9		W	14-	4	0.00
3/02	at Virginia Tech (5-12)	Atlantic Coas	84.7		W	19-	7	0.00
3/04	at Longwood (3-13)	Independent	76.0		W	20-	9	0.00
3/09	at Hofstra (12-7)	Colonial	87.5	16	W	14-	5	-0.25
3/11	at Stony Brook (13-4)	America East	84.2		W	17-	9	0.00
3/13	GEORGE WASHINGTON (11-7)	Atlantic 10	85.4		W	18-	12	0.00
3/19	at UMBC (7-10)	America East	81.1		W	15-	2	0.00
3/21	vs. Cornell # (5-10)	Ivy League	86.4		W	17-	13	0.00
3/27	HARVARD (5-11)	Ivy League	81.6		W	20-	7	0.00
3/30	at Duquesne (7-10)	Atlantic 10	81.9		W	21-	10	0.00
4/01	at Johns Hopkins (12-8)	Amer. Lac. Co	90.8	8	L	13-	15	0.00
4/06	at Stanford (9-8)	MPSF	87.2		W	12-	8	0.00
4/08	at UC Davis (9-9)	MPSF	78.9		W	12-	5	0.00
4/13	ST. MARY'S (CA) (3-14)	MPSF	73.9		W	20-	7	0.00
4/21	OREGON (12-7)	MPSF	84.7		W	20-	6	0.00
4/28	CALIFORNIA (7-10)	MPSF	85.9		W	14-	12	0.00
5/05	vs. California # (7-10)	MPSF	85.9		W	7-	6	0.00
5/06	vs. Stanford # (9-8)	MPSF	87.2		L	11-	12	0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			83.9					-0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/16	H	Duke	6-	19	-13	-2	–––	-1.53	-10.63
2/24	A	Columbia	14-	4	10	6	+	1.53	3.51
3/02	A	Virginia Tech	19-	7	12	5	+++	1.53	7.08
3/04	A	Longwood	20-	9	11	14	–	1.53	-2.67
3/09	A	Hofstra	14-	5	9	2	+++	1.53	7.10
3/11	A	Stony Brook	17-	9	8	5	+	1.53	3.08
3/13	H	George Washington	18-	12	6	7		-1.53	-1.22
3/19	A	UMBC	15-	2	13	9	++	1.53	4.35
3/21	N	Cornell	17-	13	4	5		0.00	-0.71
3/27	H	Harvard	20-	7	13	11		-1.53	1.91
3/30	A	Duquesne	21-	10	11	8	+	1.53	3.49
4/01	A	Johns Hopkins	13-	15	-2	-1		1.53	-0.72
4/06	A	Stanford	12-	8	4	2	+	1.53	2.09
4/08	A	UC Davis	12-	5	7	11	–	1.53	-3.81
4/13	H	St. Mary's (CA)	20-	7	13	19	––	-1.53	-5.69
4/21	H	Oregon	20-	6	14	8	++	-1.53	5.76
4/28	H	California	14-	12	2	7	––	-1.53	-4.50
5/05	N	California	7-	6	1	5	–	0.00	-3.97
5/06	N	Stanford	11-	12	-1	3	––	0.00	-4.44
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/16	H	Duke	6-	19	3.00
2/24	A	Columbia	14-	4	0.00
3/02	A	Virginia Tech	19-	7	-2.00
3/04	A	Longwood	20-	9	2.67
3/19	A	UMBC	15-	2	-3.00
3/27	H	Harvard	20-	7	-1.91
3/30	A	Duquesne	21-	10	-1.00
4/13	H	St. Mary's (CA)	20-	7	5.69
4/21	H	Oregon	20-	6	-4.00
10-goal correction: -0.03

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	60.00	Local TSI Rank	18
Local Poll Vote	96.	Local Poll Rank	15
Local Power Rating	91.02	Local Power Rank	10
Local SOS Rating	83.88	Local SOS Rank	40
Local RPI Rating	0.59	Local RPI Rank	15
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	5
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.25	Local Quality Win Rank	25
Local Loss Rating	0.80	Local Loss Rank	3
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-3	Ave Goal diff (all )	6.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7