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Elizabethtown Blue Jays (13-4)

Conference: Middle Atlantic

Region: Metro

State: PA

Coach: Mike Faith

Elizabethtown Falls in OT to FDU in MAC Semifinals

ELIZABETHTOWN, Pa. -- Elizabethtown College bowed out of the Middle Atlantic Conference playoffs Thursday in an 11-10 overtime loss at home to FDU-Florham. The Blue Jays, which had the top seed in the MAC playoffs, end their season 13-4 overall, while FDU-Florham improves to 10-7 overall and advances to face Lycoming College on the road Saturday in the MAC championship game. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
2/25	VIRGINIA WESLEYAN (7-10)	Old Dominion	72.6		W	12-	7
3/01	at McDaniel (14-5)	Centennial	80.4		L	7-	8
3/07	vs. Lynchburg # (8-10)	Old Dominion	72.8		W	11-	9
3/22	KING'S (6-9)	Middle Atlant	72.4		W	18-	4
3/24	at Moravian (2-13)	Middle Atlant	65.5		W	15-	2
3/29	at Widener (3-13)	Middle Atlant	68.0		W	18-	6
3/31	DREW (16-4)	Middle Atlant	76.9		W	15-	8
4/04	at Susquehanna (5-8)	Middle Atlant	72.5		W	18-	9
4/10	LYCOMING (14-3)	Middle Atlant	79.4		W	14-	13
4/12	at College of New Jersey (12-3)	Independent	86.2	5	L	11-	19
4/14	at Scranton (6-9)	Middle Atlant	73.0		W	22-	15
4/17	MESSIAH (7-9)	Middle Atlant	76.2		W	19-	16
4/19	at Montclair State (14-4)	Skyline	81.9	15	L	6-	13
4/21	at York (7-10)	Capital	73.4		W	22-	10
4/24	WILKES (0-15)	Middle Atlant	59.2		W	21-	3
4/28	at FDU-Florham (10-9)	Middle Atlant	77.7		W	12-	11
5/03	FDU-FLORHAM (10-9)	Middle Atlant	77.7		L	10-	11	ot
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			74.7

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/25	H	Virginia Wesleyan	12-	7	5	9	––	-1.91	-4.01
3/01	A	McDaniel	7-	8	-1	-3		1.91	1.51
3/07	N	Lynchburg	11-	9	2	7	––	0.00	-5.09
3/22	H	King's	18-	4	14	9	++	-1.91	4.86
3/24	A	Moravian	15-	2	13	12		1.91	1.30
3/29	A	Widener	18-	6	12	10		1.91	1.77
3/31	H	Drew	15-	8	7	5		-1.91	1.81
4/04	A	Susquehanna	18-	9	9	5	++	1.91	4.13
4/10	H	Lycoming	14-	13	1	2		-1.91	-1.44
4/12	A	College of New Jersey	11-	19	-8	-9		1.91	0.56
4/14	A	Scranton	22-	15	7	6		1.91	1.40
4/17	H	Messiah	19-	16	3	6	–	-1.91	-2.88
4/19	A	Montclair State	6-	13	-7	-4	–	1.91	-2.83
4/21	A	York	22-	10	12	5	+++	1.91	7.46
4/24	H	Wilkes	21-	3	18	22	––	-1.91	-4.27
4/28	A	FDU-Florham	12-	11	1	0		1.91	0.76
5/03	H	FDU-Florham	10-	11	-1	4	––	-1.91	-5.05
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	H	King's	18-	4	-4.00
3/24	A	Moravian	15-	2	-1.30
3/29	A	Widener	18-	6	-1.77
4/21	A	York	22-	10	-2.00
4/24	H	Wilkes	21-	3	4.27
10-goal correction: -0.28

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	119.00	Local TSI Rank	33
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	79.46	Local Power Rank	27
Local SOS Rating	74.72	Local SOS Rank	53
Local RPI Rating	0.58	Local RPI Rank	36
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	38
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	17
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-4	Ave Goal diff (all )	5.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.0


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