| Conference: Independent | Region: South | State: PA | Coach: Steve Wagner |
Gannon Rallies for 8-7 Win at Rival Mercyhurst
ERIE, Pa. - On March 31, Adelphi scored with five seconds remaining in regulation to defeat Gannon by one goal in a match played at Mercyhurst College. Exactly four weeks later, it was Gannon turning the tables at Mercyhurst's Tullio Field. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/26 | A | Presbyterian | 20- | 5 | 15 | 11 | + | 1.87 | 3.90 | |
2/28 | N | Lees-McRae | 22- | 2 | 20 | 21 | | 0.00 | -1.38 | |
3/03 | A | Queens | 10- | 5 | 5 | 3 | | 1.87 | 1.63 | |
3/11 | A | Millersville | 18- | 0 | 18 | 10 | +++ | 1.87 | 7.61 | |
3/12 | A | Bloomsburg | 15- | 4 | 11 | 8 | + | 1.87 | 3.25 | |
3/14 | H | Canisius | 16- | 8 | 8 | 6 | | -1.70 | | 1.81 |
3/24 | H | Belmont Abbey | 20- | 10 | 10 | 8 | | -1.87 | 1.71 | |
3/29 | H | West Chester | 8- | 9 | -1 | -1 | | -1.87 | -0.30 | |
3/31 | N | Adelphi | 11- | 12 | -1 | 0 | | 0.00 | -1.48 | |
4/02 | A | Indiana (PA) | 18- | 10 | 8 | 10 | | 1.87 | -2.48 | |
4/04 | H | C.W. Post | 8- | 13 | -5 | -2 | | -1.87 | -3.46 | |
4/11 | H | Seton Hill | 26- | 2 | 24 | 26 | | -1.87 | -1.85 | |
4/14 | H | Limestone | 10- | 8 | 2 | 3 | | -1.87 | -0.96 | |
4/16 | H | Lock Haven | 9- | 11 | -2 | 1 | | -1.87 | -2.94 | |
4/24 | A | Niagara | 17- | 9 | 8 | 12 | | 1.70 | | -4.01 |
4/28 | A | Mercyhurst | 8- | 7 | 1 | 4 | | 1.87 | -3.26 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -2.20 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
2/26 | A | Presbyterian | 20- | 5 | -3.90 |
2/28 | N | Lees-McRae | 22- | 2 | 1.38 |
3/11 | A | Millersville | 18- | 0 | -7.61 |
3/12 | A | Bloomsburg | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
3/24 | H | Belmont Abbey | 20- | 10 | 0.00 |
4/11 | H | Seton Hill | 26- | 2 | 1.85 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.58 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 20.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 6 |
| Local Poll Vote | 50. | | Local Poll Rank | 6 |
| Local Power Rating | 80.35 | | Local Power Rank | 6 |
| Local SOS Rating | 73.59 | | Local SOS Rank | 11 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.60 | | Local RPI Rank | 7 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 3 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.50 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 8 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 5 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 7.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.3 |
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