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Gettysburg Bullets (17-4)

Conference: CentennialRegion: MetroState: PACoach: Carol Cantele

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#1 F&M Downs #4 Gettysburg to Reach Championship

GENEVA, N.Y. - No. 1 Franklin & Marshall scored nine straight goals after falling behind 1-0 en route to a 13-7 victory against No. 4 Gettysburg in the 2007 NCAA Division III semifinals at McCooey Field. The Diplomats advance to their first-ever national title game and will be the second straight Centennial Conference (CC) representative in the championship contest.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
3/01MARY WASHINGTON (16-7)Capital82.0W12- 8 0.00  
3/09at Rowan (7-9)Independent77.3W16- 6 0.00  
3/13vs. Bowdoin # (9-6)NESCAC84.414W8- 6 -0.35  
3/15vs. Washington College # (7-10)Centennial74.5W17- 4 0.00  
3/22at Swarthmore (11-7)Centennial75.8W18- 4 0.00  
3/27at Messiah (7-9)Middle Atlant76.2W15- 6 0.00  
3/29MIDDLEBURY (16-2)NESCAC88.43L11-12ot0.00  
3/31at Bryn Mawr (4-13)Centennial69.4W19- 1 0.00  
4/03DICKINSON (11-7)Centennial82.117W12- 8 -0.20  
4/06COLLEGE OF NEW JERSEY (12-3)Independent86.25W9- 8ot-0.80  
4/07HAVERFORD (6-10)Centennial71.7W15- 5 0.00  
4/12at McDaniel (14-5)Centennial80.4W21- 4 0.00  
4/14at Ursinus (10-7)Centennial78.5W10- 9 0.00  
4/17MUHLENBERG (9-7)Centennial74.8W16- 3 0.00  
4/21at Franklin & Marshall (21-0)Centennial89.91L3- 9 0.00  
4/24CABRINI (16-5)Penn. (PAC)76.4W20- 5 0.00  
4/28vs. Dickinson # (11-7)Centennial82.117W13- 6 -0.20  
4/29at Franklin & Marshall (21-0)Centennial89.91L4-14 0.00  
5/12TRINITY (CT) (12-5)NESCAC84.111W13- 8 -0.50  
5/13HAMILTON (16-3)Liberty Leagu86.26W13- 8 -0.75  
5/19vs. Franklin & Marshall # (21-0)Centennial89.91L7-13 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site		 81.3     -2.80  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/01HMary Washington12-84   7       –-1.91       -2.81
3/09ARowan16-610   7       +1.91       2.90
3/13NBowdoin8-62   2       0.00       -0.48
3/15NWashington College17-413   13       0.00       -0.11
3/22ASwarthmore18-414   10       ++1.91       4.27
3/27AMessiah15-69   9       1.91       -0.18
3/29HMiddlebury11-12-1   0       -1.91       -0.82
3/31ABryn Mawr19-118   16       +1.91       2.16
4/03HDickinson12-84   6       -1.91       -1.65
4/06HCollege of New Jersey9-81   2       -1.91       -1.36
4/07HHaverford15-510   17       –––-1.91       -6.61
4/12AMcDaniel21-417   5       +++1.91       12.40
4/14AUrsinus10-91   6       ––1.91       -5.34
4/17HMuhlenberg16-313   14       -1.91       -0.54
4/21AFranklin & Marshall3-9-6   -5       1.91       -1.37
4/24HCabrini20-515   14       -1.91       1.50
4/28NDickinson13-67   4       +0.00       3.25
4/29AFranklin & Marshall4-14-10   -5       ––1.91       -5.37
5/12HTrinity (CT)13-85   4       -1.91       0.66
5/13HHamilton13-85   2       +-1.91       2.78
5/19NFranklin & Marshall7-13-6   -3       –0.00       -3.27
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/09ARowan16-60.00
3/15NWashington College17-40.11
3/22ASwarthmore18-4-4.27
3/31ABryn Mawr19-1-2.16
4/07HHaverford15-56.61
4/12AMcDaniel21-4-7.00
4/17HMuhlenberg16-30.54
4/24HCabrini20-5-1.50
4/29AFranklin & Marshall4-140.00
10-goal correction: -0.36

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 0.00   Local TSI Rank 3
Local Poll Vote 254.   Local Poll Rank 4
Local Power Rating 86.49   Local Power Rank 4
Local SOS Rating 81.31   Local SOS Rank 8
Local RPI Rating 0.71   Local RPI Rank 5
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 40
Local Quality Win Rating -2.80   Local Quality Win Rank 4
Local Loss Rating 0.80   Local Loss Rank 9
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 17-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.3



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