| Conference: Liberty League | Region: New York | State: NY | Coach: Patti Kloidt |
#4 Gettysburg Tops #6 Hamilton to Head to Semifinals
GETTYSBURG, Pa. – Freshman attacker Hollis Stahl (Hightstown, N.J./Peddie School) scored the first three goals of the game on her way to a career-high four and led No. 4 Gettysburg to a 13-8 victory against No. 6 Hamilton in the 2007 NCAA Regional Final at Clark Field on Sunday afternoon. The win punches the Bullets' ticket to their second straight NCAA Division III semifinal. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/13 | N | Franklin & Marshall | 11- | 15 | -4 | -3 | | 0.00 | -0.96 | |
3/15 | N | Bowdoin | 7- | 8 | -1 | 2 | | 0.00 | -3.16 | |
3/21 | A | Oneonta | 15- | 5 | 10 | 7 | + | 1.91 | 2.93 | |
3/22 | H | Nazareth | 8- | 6 | 2 | 8 | | -1.91 | -6.08 | |
3/28 | H | Cortland | 12- | 10 | 2 | 3 | | -1.91 | -0.57 | |
3/30 | H | Clarkson | 19- | 8 | 11 | 15 | | -1.91 | -3.96 | |
3/31 | H | St. Lawrence | 18- | 6 | 12 | 12 | | -1.91 | -0.09 | |
4/06 | A | Union | 13- | 6 | 7 | -1 | +++ | 1.91 | 8.42 | |
4/07 | A | Skidmore | 20- | 8 | 12 | 11 | | 1.91 | 1.42 | |
4/14 | A | William Smith | 14- | 12 | 2 | 3 | | 1.91 | -1.01 | |
4/17 | A | Rochester | 13- | 12 | 1 | 6 | | 1.91 | -5.32 | |
4/20 | H | Vassar | 15- | 5 | 10 | 10 | | -1.91 | -0.02 | |
4/21 | H | Rensselaer | 19- | 3 | 16 | 15 | | -1.91 | 1.14 | |
4/25 | A | Ithaca | 17- | 7 | 10 | 7 | + | 1.91 | 2.87 | |
4/29 | H | St. John Fisher | 17- | 4 | 13 | 10 | + | -1.91 | 3.11 | |
5/04 | H | Vassar | 19- | 5 | 14 | 10 | + | -1.91 | 3.98 | |
5/05 | H | Union | 10- | 5 | 5 | 2 | + | -1.91 | 2.61 | |
5/12 | N | Montclair State | 13- | 11 | 2 | 5 | | 0.00 | -2.53 | |
5/13 | A | Gettysburg | 8- | 13 | -5 | -2 | | 1.91 | -2.78 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/21 | A | Oneonta | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
3/30 | H | Clarkson | 19- | 8 | 3.96 |
3/31 | H | St. Lawrence | 18- | 6 | 0.09 |
4/07 | A | Skidmore | 20- | 8 | -1.42 |
4/20 | H | Vassar | 15- | 5 | 0.02 |
4/21 | H | Rensselaer | 19- | 3 | -1.14 |
4/25 | A | Ithaca | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
4/29 | H | St. John Fisher | 17- | 4 | -3.11 |
5/04 | H | Vassar | 19- | 5 | -3.98 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.29 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 7.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 6 |
| Local Poll Vote | 223. | | Local Poll Rank | 6 |
| Local Power Rating | 86.25 | | Local Power Rank | 5 |
| Local SOS Rating | 80.80 | | Local SOS Rank | 12 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.68 | | Local RPI Rank | 6 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 12 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.95 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 7 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 7 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -4.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
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