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Johns Hopkins Blue Jays (12-8)

Conference: Amer. Lac. Conf

Region: Mid-Atlantic

State: MD

Coach: Janine Tucker

#6 Duke Ends #8 Hopkins' Run in NCAA Quarterfinals

DURHAM, N.C. -- The No. 2 seeded Duke Blue Devils played a solid defensive game and defeated the No. 6 seeded Johns Hopkins Blue Jays, 12-7, on Saturday afternoon in Koskinen Stadium. Duke will head to the Final Four for the third consecutive season and the fourth time overall. [full story]

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Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score*				QWF
2/21	GEORGE WASHINGTON (11-7)	Atlantic 10	85.4		W	13-	7		0.00
2/24	GEORGE MASON (6-10)	Colonial	86.6		W	9-	7		0.00
3/03	at Princeton (10-7)	Ivy League	92.6	11	L	10-	11	2ot	0.00
3/06	MOUNT SAINT MARY'S (10-8)	Northeast	78.9		W	18-	5		0.00
3/11	at Ohio State (9-7)	Amer. Lac. Co	86.9	19	W	15-	14		-0.10
3/14	at Georgetown (10-8)	Big East	91.4	8	L	13-	16		0.00
3/21	at Maryland (16-4)	Atlantic Coas	94.0	5	L	15-	22		0.00
3/24	OREGON (12-7)	MPSF	84.7		W	20-	4		0.00
3/28	PENN (16-2)	Ivy League	94.2	2	L	4-	12		0.00
4/01	DENVER (16-3)	MPSF	91.0	15	W	15-	13		-0.30
4/08	at Vanderbilt (11-6)	Amer. Lac. Co	89.9	10	L	10-	11	2ot	0.00
4/11	UMBC (7-10)	America East	81.1		W	15-	9		0.00
4/14	VIRGINIA (19-4)	Atlantic Coas	95.3	3	W	12-	9		-0.90
4/20	NORTHWESTERN (21-1)	Amer. Lac. Co	99.9	1	L	5-	12		0.00
4/27	PENN STATE (9-8)	Amer. Lac. Co	89.8	18	W	17-	10		-0.15
4/30	at Towson (6-9)	Colonial	87.2		W	15-	9		0.00
5/04	VANDERBILT (11-6)	Amer. Lac. Co	89.9	10	W	12-	10		-0.55
5/06	NORTHWESTERN (21-1)	Amer. Lac. Co	99.9	1	L	6-	22		0.00
5/13	at Hofstra (12-7)	Colonial	87.5	16	W	12-	8		-0.25
5/19	at Duke (16-4)	Atlantic Coas	95.0	6	L	7-	12		0.00
* Click the score for the game story.			89.7						-2.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/21	H	George Washington	13-	7	6	7		-1.53	-0.97
2/24	H	George Mason	9-	7	2	6	–	-1.53	-3.73
3/03	A	Princeton	10-	11	-1	-3	+	1.53	2.45
3/06	H	Mount Saint Mary's	18-	5	13	13		-1.53	-0.25
3/11	A	Ohio State	15-	14	1	2		1.53	-0.94
3/14	A	Georgetown	13-	16	-3	-2		1.53	-0.75
3/21	A	Maryland	15-	22	-7	-5	–	1.53	-2.24
3/24	H	Oregon	20-	4	16	8	+++	-1.53	8.01
3/28	H	Penn	4-	12	-8	-2	–––	-1.53	-6.07
4/01	H	Denver	15-	13	2	1		-1.53	0.72
4/08	A	Vanderbilt	10-	11	-1	0		1.53	-0.62
4/11	H	UMBC	15-	9	6	11	––	-1.53	-5.45
4/14	H	Virginia	12-	9	3	-3	++	-1.53	5.96
4/20	H	Northwestern	5-	12	-7	-8		-1.53	1.00
4/27	H	Penn State	17-	10	7	2	++	-1.53	4.60
4/30	A	Towson	15-	9	6	2	+	1.53	3.92
5/04	H	Vanderbilt	12-	10	2	3		-1.53	-0.68
5/06	H	Northwestern	6-	22	-16	-8	–––	-1.53	-8.00
5/13	A	Hofstra	12-	8	4	2	+	1.53	2.35
5/19	A	Duke	7-	12	-5	-6		1.53	0.68
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/06	H	Mount Saint Mary's	18-	5	0.25
3/24	H	Oregon	20-	4	-6.00
5/06	H	Northwestern	6-	22	6.00
10-goal correction: 0.01

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	8.00	Local TSI Rank	7
Local Poll Vote	175.	Local Poll Rank	9
Local Power Rating	90.80	Local Power Rank	11
Local SOS Rating	89.68	Local SOS Rank	3
Local RPI Rating	0.64	Local RPI Rank	6
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	24
Local Quality Win Rating	-2.25	Local Quality Win Rank	8
Local Loss Rating	1.60	Local Loss Rank	20
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-8	Ave Goal diff (all )	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-7	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-8	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7