| Conference: Metro Atlantic | Region: Northeast | State: NY | Coach: Lauren O'Connor |
No. 6 Duke Coasts by Le Moyne in NCAA First Round
DURHAM, N.C. -- In the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Sunday in Koskinen Stadium, the No. 2 seeded Duke Blue Devils (15-3) knocked out the LeMoyne Dolphins (16-5), by a score of 23-8. The 23 goals was the most the Devils have scored all season as they improved their home winning streak to 14 games. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/25 | A | California | 5- | 14 | -9 | -6 | | 1.53 | -2.90 | |
2/27 | A | UC Davis | 13- | 8 | 5 | 1 | + | 1.53 | 3.74 | |
2/28 | A | St. Mary's (CA) | 17- | 7 | 10 | 6 | + | 1.53 | 3.91 | |
3/09 | A | Long Island U. | 9- | 8 | 1 | 7 | | 1.53 | -6.24 | |
3/11 | A | Monmouth | 10- | 15 | -5 | -1 | | 1.53 | -4.02 | |
3/18 | A | American | 12- | 15 | -3 | -1 | | 1.53 | -1.79 | |
3/21 | A | Albany | 5- | 11 | -6 | -2 | | 1.53 | -4.37 | |
3/23 | H | Mount Saint Mary's | 16- | 10 | 6 | 4 | + | -1.53 | 2.04 | |
3/25 | H | Villanova | 10- | 7 | 3 | 7 | | -1.53 | -4.30 | |
3/30 | A | Canisius | 9- | 6 | 3 | 4 | | 1.53 | -0.88 | |
4/01 | H | Niagara | 16- | 2 | 14 | 17 | | -1.53 | -2.61 | |
4/05 | H | Siena | 14- | 6 | 8 | 8 | | -1.53 | 0.14 | |
4/07 | H | Vermont | 19- | 8 | 11 | 5 | +++ | -1.53 | 6.06 | |
4/13 | A | Iona | 15- | 14 | 1 | 6 | | 1.53 | -5.46 | |
4/15 | A | Manhattan | 20- | 4 | 16 | 5 | +++ | 1.53 | 10.90 | |
4/20 | H | Marist | 17- | 16 | 1 | 2 | | -1.53 | -0.51 | |
4/22 | H | Fairfield | 16- | 9 | 7 | 5 | + | -1.53 | 2.01 | |
4/27 | N | Manhattan | 14- | 9 | 5 | 7 | | 0.00 | -1.63 | |
4/29 | N | Marist | 14- | 13 | 1 | 0 | | 0.00 | 1.01 | |
5/05 | H | Monmouth | 19- | 12 | 7 | 2 | ++ | -1.53 | 4.92 | |
5/13 | A | Duke | 8- | 23 | -15 | -15 | | 1.53 | -0.03 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
2/28 | A | St. Mary's (CA) | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
4/01 | H | Niagara | 16- | 2 | 2.61 |
4/07 | H | Vermont | 19- | 8 | -1.00 |
4/15 | A | Manhattan | 20- | 4 | -6.00 |
5/13 | A | Duke | 8- | 23 | 0.03 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.21 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 145.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 46 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 81.29 | | Local Power Rank | 49 |
| Local SOS Rating | 77.95 | | Local SOS Rank | 65 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.54 | | Local RPI Rank | 28 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 7 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 2.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 32 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -15.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -15.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.3 |
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