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Lycoming Lady Warriors (14-3)

Conference: Middle Atlantic

Region: Metro

State: PA

Coach: Kara Reber

Drew Holds off Lycoming in MAC Semifinals

Drew survived a second half barrage by Lycoming to book a place in the MAC Finals against FDU on Saturday. The 14-12 win today earned Drew the right to play for a spot in the NCAA Tournament as the MAC Champions. Lindsey Perno scored five goals while Courtney Cunningham scored a pair of crucial second half goals as Drew outlasted the visiting Warriors. Lycoming (14-4, 9-3) were led by Megan Wallenhorst's six goals as they fell to the host Rangers (14-3, 10-1) in the MAC Semifinals. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
2/26	vs. Catholic (DC) # (11-5)	Capital	78.5		W	13-	8		0.00
3/02	vs. Oneonta # (9-8)	SUNYAC	77.7		W	18-	14		0.00
3/08	YORK (7-10)	Capital	73.4		W	17-	11		0.00
3/11	ROCHESTER (5-9)	Liberty Leagu	78.3		W	11-	8		0.00
3/14	MESSIAH (7-9)	Middle Atlant	76.2		W	16-	11		0.00
3/20	KING'S (6-9)	Middle Atlant	72.4		W	15-	12		0.00
3/21	at Widener (3-13)	Middle Atlant	68.0		W	18-	5		0.00
3/24	FDU-FLORHAM (10-9)	Middle Atlant	77.7		W	11-	10	ot	0.00
3/29	at Scranton (6-9)	Middle Atlant	73.0		W	15-	11		0.00
4/01	at Montclair State (14-4)	Skyline	81.9	15	W	14-	7		-0.30
4/10	at Elizabethtown (13-4)	Middle Atlant	79.5		L	13-	14		0.00
4/14	MORAVIAN (2-13)	Middle Atlant	65.5		W	18-	6		0.00
4/18	SUSQUEHANNA (5-8)	Middle Atlant	72.5		W	13-	7		0.00
4/21	at Drew (16-4)	Middle Atlant	76.9		L	13-	14	ot	0.00
4/28	at Wilkes (0-15)	Middle Atlant	59.2		W	18-	6		0.00
5/01	SCRANTON (6-9)	Middle Atlant	73.0		W	25-	13		0.00
5/03	at Drew (16-4)	Middle Atlant	76.9		L	12-	14		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			74.4						-0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/26	N	Catholic (DC)	13-	8	5	0	++	0.00	4.91
3/02	N	Oneonta	18-	14	4	2	+	0.00	2.36
3/08	H	York	17-	11	6	8		-1.91	-1.81
3/11	H	Rochester	11-	8	3	3		-1.91	0.21
3/14	H	Messiah	16-	11	5	5		-1.91	-0.34
3/20	H	King's	15-	12	3	9	––	-1.91	-5.60
3/21	A	Widener	18-	5	13	10	+	1.91	3.31
3/24	H	FDU-Florham	11-	10	1	4	–	-1.91	-2.51
3/29	A	Scranton	15-	11	4	5		1.91	-1.06
4/01	A	Montclair State	14-	7	7	-5	+++	1.91	11.71
4/10	A	Elizabethtown	13-	14	-1	-2		1.91	1.44
4/14	H	Moravian	18-	6	12	15	–	-1.91	-2.97
4/18	H	Susquehanna	13-	7	6	8	–	-1.91	-2.15
4/21	A	Drew	13-	14	-1	1		1.91	-1.84
4/28	A	Wilkes	18-	6	12	18	––	1.91	-5.92
5/01	H	Scranton	25-	13	12	9	+	-1.91	3.13
5/03	A	Drew	12-	14	-2	1	–	1.91	-2.84
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	A	Widener	18-	5	-3.31
4/14	H	Moravian	18-	6	2.97
4/28	A	Wilkes	18-	6	5.92
5/01	H	Scranton	25-	13	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.21

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	124.00	Local TSI Rank	34
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	79.42	Local Power Rank	29
Local SOS Rating	74.40	Local SOS Rank	60
Local RPI Rating	0.59	Local RPI Rank	33
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	43
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.30	Local Quality Win Rank	19
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	18
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-3	Ave Goal diff (all )	5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-0	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.3


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