| State: NY | Coach: Craig Chamberlain |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/20 | H | Cayuga | 16- | 4 | 12 | 12 | | -3.00 | 0.37 | |
3/24 | H | Mercyhurst-North East | 19- | 3 | 16 | 19 | – | -3.00 | -2.69 | |
4/01 | A | Herkimer | 12- | 7 | 5 | 1 | ++ | 3.00 | 4.21 | |
4/07 | H | Herkimer | 11- | 6 | 5 | 7 | | -3.00 | -1.79 | |
4/10 | A | Mercyhurst-North East | 20- | 3 | 17 | 13 | ++ | 3.00 | 4.31 | |
4/14 | H | Anne Arundel | 6- | 19 | -13 | -6 | ––– | -3.00 | -7.21 | |
4/15 | A | Jefferson | 17- | 2 | 15 | 13 | | 3.00 | 1.90 | |
4/21 | H | Jefferson | 16- | 1 | 15 | 19 | –– | -3.00 | -4.10 | |
4/22 | A | Erie | 20- | 1 | 19 | 12 | +++ | 3.00 | 6.99 | |
4/23 | A | Finger Lakes | 23- | 0 | 23 | 20 | + | 3.00 | 2.77 | |
4/28 | N | Springfield Tech | 20- | 0 | 20 | 16 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.26 | |
4/29 | N | Dean | 21- | 2 | 19 | 18 | | 0.00 | 1.20 | |
5/02 | H | Finger Lakes | 20- | 2 | 18 | 26 | ––– | -3.00 | -8.23 | |
5/05 | N | Erie | 18- | 0 | 18 | 15 | + | 0.00 | 2.99 | |
5/06 | A | Herkimer | 8- | 6 | 2 | 1 | | 3.00 | 1.21 | |
5/12 | N | Catonsville | 4- | 16 | -12 | -6 | ––– | 0.00 | -6.21 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/20 | H | Cayuga | 16- | 4 | -0.37 |
3/24 | H | Mercyhurst-North East | 19- | 3 | 2.69 |
4/10 | A | Mercyhurst-North East | 20- | 3 | -4.31 |
4/14 | H | Anne Arundel | 6- | 19 | 3.00 |
4/15 | A | Jefferson | 17- | 2 | -1.90 |
4/21 | H | Jefferson | 16- | 1 | 4.10 |
4/22 | A | Erie | 20- | 1 | -6.99 |
4/23 | A | Finger Lakes | 23- | 0 | -2.77 |
4/28 | N | Springfield Tech | 20- | 0 | -4.26 |
4/29 | N | Dean | 21- | 2 | -1.20 |
5/02 | H | Finger Lakes | 20- | 2 | 8.23 |
5/05 | N | Erie | 18- | 0 | -2.99 |
5/12 | N | Catonsville | 4- | 16 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.30 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 21.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 6 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 72.06 | | Local Power Rank | 3 |
| Local SOS Rating | 61.92 | | Local SOS Rank | 14 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.57 | | Local RPI Rank | 4 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 3 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -Inf | | Local Quality Win Rank | 13 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 3 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 11.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -12.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 9-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 7.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 14-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 11.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.7 |
| 
