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Messiah Falcons (7-9)

Conference: Middle Atlantic

Region: Metro

State: PA

Coach: Robert Pepper

Drew Finishes Regular Season with Win over Messiah

Drew finished up its regular season with a solid 9-6 win over defending MAC Champs, Messiah, at Ranger Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Lindsey Perno led the way for the Rangers with four goals, including the last two for Drew, and Stef Rutkowski had a great performance in net with 16 saves. The Rangers finish the campaign at 13-3, 9-1 in the MAC while Messiah moves to the playoffs with a 7-8 record, 6-4 in conference. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
3/10	at Dickinson (11-7)	Centennial	82.1	17	W	10-	9		-0.20
3/14	at Lycoming (14-3)	Middle Atlant	79.4		L	11-	16		0.00
3/19	vs. Babson # (15-3)	NEWMAC	81.8	7	L	7-	20		0.00
3/22	vs. Wellesley # (13-6)	NEWMAC	78.1		L	9-	12		0.00
3/27	GETTYSBURG (17-4)	Centennial	86.5	4	L	6-	15		0.00
3/29	MORAVIAN (2-13)	Middle Atlant	65.5		W	18-	7		0.00
3/31	SCRANTON (6-9)	Middle Atlant	73.0		W	13-	2		0.00
4/04	at King's (6-9)	Middle Atlant	72.4		W	14-	13	2ot	0.00
4/10	SUSQUEHANNA (5-8)	Middle Atlant	72.5		W	11-	7		0.00
4/14	WIDENER (3-13)	Middle Atlant	68.0		W	13-	3		0.00
4/17	at Elizabethtown (13-4)	Middle Atlant	79.5		L	16-	19		0.00
4/20	at Wilkes (0-15)	Middle Atlant	59.2		W	16-	5		0.00
4/21	FDU-FLORHAM (10-9)	Middle Atlant	77.7		L	6-	12		0.00
4/26	at Rowan (7-9)	Independent	77.3		L	9-	10		0.00
4/28	at Drew (16-4)	Middle Atlant	76.9		L	6-	9		0.00
5/01	at FDU-Florham (10-9)	Middle Atlant	77.7		L	12-	19		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			75.9						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	A	Dickinson	10-	9	1	-9	+++	1.91	10.24
3/14	A	Lycoming	11-	16	-5	-5		1.91	0.34
3/19	N	Babson	7-	20	-13	-6	–––	0.00	-6.96
3/22	N	Wellesley	9-	12	-3	-3		0.00	-0.29
3/27	H	Gettysburg	6-	15	-9	-9		-1.91	0.18
3/29	H	Moravian	18-	7	11	12		-1.91	-0.54
3/31	H	Scranton	13-	2	11	5	++	-1.91	5.56
4/04	A	King's	14-	13	1	1		1.91	-0.36
4/10	H	Susquehanna	11-	7	4	5		-1.91	-0.71
4/14	H	Widener	13-	3	10	10		-1.91	-0.07
4/17	A	Elizabethtown	16-	19	-3	-6	+	1.91	2.88
4/20	A	Wilkes	16-	5	11	14	–	1.91	-3.49
4/21	H	FDU-Florham	6-	12	-6	0	–––	-1.91	-6.08
4/26	A	Rowan	9-	10	-1	-4	+	1.91	2.98
4/28	A	Drew	6-	9	-3	-3		1.91	-0.41
5/01	A	FDU-Florham	12-	19	-7	-4	–	1.91	-3.27
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/19	N	Babson	7-	20	3.00
3/29	H	Moravian	18-	7	0.54
3/31	H	Scranton	13-	2	-1.00
4/14	H	Widener	13-	3	0.07
4/20	A	Wilkes	16-	5	3.49
10-goal correction: 0.38

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	176.00	Local TSI Rank	53
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	76.15	Local Power Rank	54
Local SOS Rating	75.92	Local SOS Rank	40
Local RPI Rating	0.50	Local RPI Rank	76
Local Trend Rating	4.00	Local Trend Rank	132
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.20	Local Quality Win Rank	23
Local Loss Rating	2.80	Local Loss Rank	75
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9	Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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