| Conference: Ivy League | Region: Mid-Atlantic | State: NJ | Coach: Chris Sailer |
Breslin, Weymouth Lead #3 Virginia by #11 Princeton
CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. -- After allowing the visiting Tigers two goals in the first 90 seconds, the No. 3 Cavaliers gave their mothers a present for Mothers' Day as the 'Hoos (17-3) outscored Princeton 8-1 over the remainder of the first half and then won 13 of the 19 draws in the second half to claim the NCAA first round victory 19-10 today in Charlottesville. Kate Breslin and Blair Weymouth both had eight points to lead the Cavalier offense while Brittany Kalkstein had six draws. Princeton's Katie Lewis-Lamonica had five goals to lead the Tigers (10-7). [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/03 | H | Johns Hopkins | 11- | 10 | 1 | 3 | | -1.53 | -2.45 | |
3/07 | A | Rutgers | 19- | 10 | 9 | 4 | ++ | 1.53 | 5.47 | |
3/11 | A | Duke | 14- | 16 | -2 | -4 | | 1.53 | 1.76 | |
3/17 | H | Penn State | 7- | 8 | -1 | 4 | | -1.53 | -5.32 | |
3/21 | H | Loyola | 14- | 5 | 9 | 12 | | -1.53 | -2.76 | |
3/24 | A | Virginia | 7- | 9 | -2 | -4 | + | 1.53 | 2.09 | |
3/31 | A | Cornell | 18- | 9 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 1.53 | 4.15 | |
4/07 | A | Yale | 5- | 6 | -1 | 1 | | 1.53 | -2.14 | |
4/11 | H | Temple | 18- | 7 | 11 | 10 | | -1.53 | 0.69 | |
4/14 | H | Harvard | 19- | 5 | 14 | 13 | | -1.53 | 1.24 | |
4/18 | A | Penn | 10- | 14 | -4 | -3 | | 1.53 | -0.93 | |
4/21 | A | Dartmouth | 13- | 9 | 4 | 2 | + | 1.53 | 2.24 | |
4/27 | H | Columbia | 19- | 8 | 11 | 11 | | -1.53 | -0.21 | |
4/28 | H | Brown | 16- | 2 | 14 | 13 | | -1.53 | 0.97 | |
5/02 | A | Maryland | 12- | 13 | -1 | -3 | | 1.53 | 1.84 | |
5/06 | H | Georgetown | 12- | 11 | 1 | 3 | | -1.53 | -1.72 | |
5/13 | A | Virginia | 10- | 19 | -9 | -4 | | 1.53 | -4.91 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
4/11 | H | Temple | 18- | 7 | -0.69 |
4/14 | H | Harvard | 19- | 5 | -1.24 |
4/27 | H | Columbia | 19- | 8 | 0.21 |
4/28 | H | Brown | 16- | 2 | -0.97 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.16 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 27.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 10 |
| Local Poll Vote | 145. | | Local Poll Rank | 11 |
| Local Power Rating | 92.55 | | Local Power Rank | 8 |
| Local SOS Rating | 88.49 | | Local SOS Rank | 10 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.58 | | Local RPI Rank | 18 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 32 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.65 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 10 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 13 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 3-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.0 |
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