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NCAA Selection Criteria

Penn State Nittany Lions (9-8)

Conference: Amer. Lac. Conf

Region: West/Midwest

State: PA

Coach: Suzanne Isidor

#1 Northwestern Flies by PSU to Advance to ALC Final

The Northwestern Wildcats held Penn State off the scoreboard for the first 15 minutes of the first half while Hannah Nielsen had two goals and three assists in that span to post NU to a 7-0 lead; the �Cats had a 12-1 lead at halftime and went on to a 19-7 win in the first semifinal of the ALC Tournament. Nielsen closed the day with five assists, giving her 57 for the season, a new single-season record at Northwestern that moves her to the No. 3 spot all-time in Division I women's lacrosse history for a single season. Kristen Kjellman, the ALC Player of the Year, had eight draw controls, all in the first half, and NU enjoyed a 16-12 advantage in that category for the game. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*				QWF
2/24	DELAWARE (11-6)	Colonial	88.6		W	15-	10		0.00
2/28	BUCKNELL (7-9)	Patriot Leagu	77.0		W	19-	6		0.00
3/04	COLGATE (6-12)	Patriot Leagu	81.3		W	11-	4		0.00
3/09	at Virginia (19-4)	Atlantic Coas	95.3	3	L	6-	13		0.00
3/11	at William & Mary (3-13)	Colonial	84.4		W	12-	6		0.00
3/17	at Princeton (10-7)	Ivy League	92.6	11	W	8-	7		-0.50
3/20	TEMPLE (6-11)	Atlantic 10	83.8		W	17-	5		0.00
3/25	VANDERBILT (11-6)	Amer. Lac. Co	89.9	10	L	7-	9		0.00
3/31	at Loyola (2-14)	Big East	82.9		W	20-	7		0.00
4/03	PENN (16-2)	Ivy League	94.2	2	L	5-	16		0.00
4/06	NORTH CAROLINA (16-5)	Atlantic Coas	94.0	4	W	8-	7	ot	-0.85
4/08	MARYLAND (16-4)	Atlantic Coas	94.0	5	L	9-	10		0.00
4/14	at Northwestern (21-1)	Amer. Lac. Co	99.9	1	L	8-	18		0.00
4/20	OHIO STATE (9-7)	Amer. Lac. Co	86.9	19	L	8-	9		0.00
4/27	at Johns Hopkins (12-8)	Amer. Lac. Co	90.8	8	L	10-	17		0.00
5/03	vs. Ohio State # (9-7)	Amer. Lac. Co	86.9	19	W	9-	7		-0.10
5/04	vs. Northwestern # (21-1)	Amer. Lac. Co	99.9	1	L	7-	19		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			89.2						-1.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/24	H	Delaware	15-	10	5	3	+	-1.53	2.04
2/28	H	Bucknell	19-	6	13	14		-1.53	-1.47
3/04	H	Colgate	11-	4	7	10	–	-1.53	-3.25
3/09	A	Virginia	6-	13	-7	-7		1.53	-0.11
3/11	A	William & Mary	12-	6	6	4	+	1.53	2.48
3/17	A	Princeton	8-	7	1	-4	++	1.53	5.32
3/20	H	Temple	17-	5	12	8	++	-1.53	4.48
3/25	H	Vanderbilt	7-	9	-2	2	–	-1.53	-3.80
3/31	A	Loyola	20-	7	13	6	+++	1.53	7.09
4/03	H	Penn	5-	16	-11	-3	–––	-1.53	-8.19
4/06	H	North Carolina	8-	7	1	-3	+	-1.53	3.79
4/08	H	Maryland	9-	10	-1	-3		-1.53	1.58
4/14	A	Northwestern	8-	18	-10	-12		1.53	1.93
4/20	H	Ohio State	8-	9	-1	4	––	-1.53	-5.12
4/27	A	Johns Hopkins	10-	17	-7	-2	––	1.53	-4.60
5/03	N	Ohio State	9-	7	2	3		0.00	-0.59
5/04	N	Northwestern	7-	19	-12	-10		0.00	-1.59
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/28	H	Bucknell	19-	6	1.47
3/20	H	Temple	17-	5	-2.00
3/31	A	Loyola	20-	7	-3.00
4/03	H	Penn	5-	16	1.00
4/14	A	Northwestern	8-	18	-1.93
5/04	N	Northwestern	7-	19	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.14

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	41.00	Local TSI Rank	14
Local Poll Vote	46.	Local Poll Rank	18
Local Power Rating	89.77	Local Power Rank	16
Local SOS Rating	89.23	Local SOS Rank	7
Local RPI Rating	0.59	Local RPI Rank	17
Local Trend Rating	4.00	Local Trend Rank	69
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.45	Local Quality Win Rank	13
Local Loss Rating	1.80	Local Loss Rank	22
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8	Ave Goal diff (all )	0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-7	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-8	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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