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Rochester Yellow Jackets (5-9)

Conference: Liberty League

Region: New York

State: NY

Coach: Elizabeth Monte

Nazareth Tops Rochester to Finish Regular Season 12-1

ROCHESTER, N.Y. (April 25, 2007) -- Senior Jessica McArdle (pictured, Lancaster HS/Depew, NY) and junior Allison Bayer (Corning East HS/Corning, NY) each scored three goals for Nazareth to lead the Golden Flyers over the University of Rochester 12-6. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*
3/11	at Lycoming (14-3)	Middle Atlant	79.4		L	8-	11
3/24	at Oneonta (9-8)	SUNYAC	77.7		L	10-	15
3/27	BROCKPORT (13-5)	SUNYAC	79.9		L	13-	15
3/30	ST. LAWRENCE (6-8)	Liberty Leagu	76.6		L	10-	13
3/31	CLARKSON (6-9)	Liberty Leagu	73.3		W	16-	12
4/06	at Skidmore (2-14)	Liberty Leagu	74.3		W	10-	3
4/07	at Union (10-5)	Liberty Leagu	84.8	12	L	4-	9
4/13	at William Smith (10-6)	Liberty Leagu	81.5		L	8-	14
4/17	HAMILTON (16-3)	Liberty Leagu	86.2	6	L	12-	13
4/20	RENSSELAER (4-10)	Liberty Leagu	74.1		W	12-	5
4/21	VASSAR (12-5)	Liberty Leagu	78.8		L	8-	9
4/26	at Geneseo (11-5)	SUNYAC	79.4		W	13-	12
4/28	at Nazareth (13-3)	Empire Eight	80.2	18	L	6-	12
5/01	at Ithaca (9-7)	Empire Eight	77.4		W	8-	7
* Click the score for the game story.			79.2

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	A	Lycoming	8-	11	-3	-3		1.91	-0.21
3/24	A	Oneonta	10-	15	-5	-1	–	1.91	-3.85
3/27	H	Brockport	13-	15	-2	0	–	-1.91	-2.26
3/30	H	St. Lawrence	10-	13	-3	4	–––	-1.91	-6.87
3/31	H	Clarkson	16-	12	4	7	–	-1.91	-2.74
4/06	A	Skidmore	10-	3	7	2	++	1.91	4.64
4/07	A	Union	4-	9	-5	-10	++	1.91	4.64
4/13	A	William Smith	8-	14	-6	-5		1.91	-0.79
4/17	H	Hamilton	12-	13	-1	-6	++	-1.91	5.32
4/20	H	Rensselaer	12-	5	7	7		-1.91	0.36
4/21	H	Vassar	8-	9	-1	2	–	-1.91	-2.79
4/26	A	Geneseo	13-	12	1	-4	++	1.91	4.51
4/28	A	Nazareth	6-	12	-6	-4	–	1.91	-2.05
5/01	A	Ithaca	8-	7	1	-1	+	1.91	2.10
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	129.00	Local TSI Rank	38
Local Poll Vote	n/a	Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	78.32	Local Power Rank	36
Local SOS Rating	79.22	Local SOS Rank	19
Local RPI Rating	0.51	Local RPI Rank	70
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	51
Local Quality Win Rating	n/a	Local Quality Win Rank	n/a
Local Loss Rating	2.20	Local Loss Rank	63
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-9	Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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