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NCAA Selection Criteria Conf. Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy


Virginia Cavaliers (19-4)

Conference: Atlantic CoastRegion: SouthState: VACoach: Julie Myers

No. 1 Northwestern Tops Virginia for 3rd Title in a Row

Philadelphia, Pa. -- The Virginia women's lacrosse team scored 13 goals on Northwestern, more than twice their average goals allowed, and more than any other team has scored on the 'Cats in 2007, but the Cavaliers still fell 15-13 in the NCAA Championship final. The two-goal deficit was also the closest any other team has come against the Wildcats in the final 21 games of the season. Virginia (19-4) had eight different players score goals, including Megan O'Malley, who had three goals; Megan Havrilla had two goals and added two assists to end up as the Cavaliers' top scorer. Kaitlin Duff had three caused turnovers to lead all players, and Brittany Kalkstein had five draw controls to lead UVa.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score* QWF
2/21VIRGINIA TECH (5-12)Atlantic Coas84.7W15- 2 0.00  
2/28RICHMOND (14-6)Atlantic 1088.9W13- 5 0.00  
3/03at Syracuse (13-6)Big East93.67W10- 8 -0.70  
3/07TEMPLE (6-11)Atlantic 1083.8W18- 8 0.00  
3/09PENN STATE (9-8)Amer. Lac. Co89.818W13- 6 -0.15  
3/13MARYLAND (16-4)Atlantic Coas94.05W15- 4 -0.80  
3/17at North Carolina (16-5)Atlantic Coas94.04L7-16 0.00  
3/21WILLIAM & MARY (3-13)Colonial84.4W12- 3 0.00  
3/24PRINCETON (10-7)Ivy League92.611W9- 7 -0.50  
3/28at James Madison (13-5)Colonial90.517W16-13 -0.20  
3/31DUKE (16-4)Atlantic Coas95.06L18-192ot0.00  
4/04at Old Dominion (7-8)Colonial87.0W10- 7 0.00  
4/11GEORGETOWN (10-8)Big East91.48W14- 7 -0.65  
4/14at Johns Hopkins (12-8)Amer. Lac. Co90.88L9-12 0.00  
4/17at George Mason (6-10)Colonial86.6W12- 6 0.00  
4/21at Boston College (6-11)Atlantic Coas85.7W13- 6 0.00  
4/26vs. Boston College # (6-11)Atlantic Coas85.7W15- 7 0.00  
4/27vs. Maryland # (16-4)Atlantic Coas94.05W10- 7 -0.80  
4/29at North Carolina (16-5)Atlantic Coas94.04W12- 6 -0.85  
5/13PRINCETON (10-7)Ivy League92.611W19-10 -0.50  
5/19NORTH CAROLINA (16-5)Atlantic Coas94.04W14- 8 -0.85  
5/25vs. Duke # (16-4)Atlantic Coas95.06W14-13 -0.75  
5/27vs. Northwestern # (21-1)Amer. Lac. Co99.91L13-15 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 90.4     -6.75  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/21HVirginia Tech15-213   12       -1.53       0.79
2/28HRichmond13-58   8       -1.53       0.07
3/03ASyracuse10-82   0       1.53       1.83
3/07HTemple18-810   13       -1.53       -2.88
3/09HPenn State13-67   7       -1.53       0.11
3/13HMaryland15-411   3       +++-1.53       8.22
3/17ANorth Carolina7-16-9   0       –––1.53       -8.52
3/21HWilliam & Mary12-39   12       -1.53       -2.94
3/24HPrinceton9-72   4       -1.53       -2.09
3/28AJames Madison16-133   3       1.53       -0.24
3/31HDuke18-19-1   2       -1.53       -2.87
4/04AOld Dominion10-73   7       1.53       -3.99
4/11HGeorgetown14-77   5       -1.53       1.71
4/14AJohns Hopkins9-12-3   3       ––1.53       -5.96
4/17AGeorge Mason12-66   7       1.53       -1.16
4/21ABoston College13-67   8       1.53       -0.91
4/26NBoston College15-78   9       0.00       -1.43
4/27NMaryland10-73   1       0.00       1.75
4/29ANorth Carolina12-66   0       +++1.53       6.48
5/13HPrinceton19-109   4       ++-1.53       4.91
5/19HNorth Carolina14-86   3       +-1.53       3.42
5/25NDuke14-131   0       0.00       0.66
5/27NNorthwestern13-15-2   -5       +0.00       3.04
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/21HVirginia Tech15-2-0.79
3/07HTemple18-82.88
3/13HMaryland15-4-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.05

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating-17.00   Local TSI Rank 2
Local Poll Vote 273.   Local Poll Rank 3
Local Power Rating 95.33   Local Power Rank 2
Local SOS Rating 90.45   Local SOS Rank 1
Local RPI Rating 0.68   Local RPI Rank 2
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 12
Local Quality Win Rating -6.75   Local Quality Win Rank 2
Local Loss Rating 0.80   Local Loss Rank 6
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 7-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 11-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.7



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