| Conference: Atlantic Coast | Region: South | State: VA | Coach: Julie Myers |
No. 1 Northwestern Tops Virginia for 3rd Title in a Row
Philadelphia, Pa. -- The Virginia women's lacrosse team scored 13 goals on Northwestern, more than twice their average goals allowed, and more than any other team has scored on the 'Cats in 2007, but the Cavaliers still fell 15-13 in the NCAA Championship final. The two-goal deficit was also the closest any other team has come against the Wildcats in the final 21 games of the season. Virginia (19-4) had eight different players score goals, including Megan O'Malley, who had three goals; Megan Havrilla had two goals and added two assists to end up as the Cavaliers' top scorer. Kaitlin Duff had three caused turnovers to lead all players, and Brittany Kalkstein had five draw controls to lead UVa. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/21 | H | Virginia Tech | 15- | 2 | 13 | 12 | | -1.53 | 0.79 | |
2/28 | H | Richmond | 13- | 5 | 8 | 8 | | -1.53 | 0.07 | |
3/03 | A | Syracuse | 10- | 8 | 2 | 0 | | 1.53 | 1.83 | |
3/07 | H | Temple | 18- | 8 | 10 | 13 | | -1.53 | -2.88 | |
3/09 | H | Penn State | 13- | 6 | 7 | 7 | | -1.53 | 0.11 | |
3/13 | H | Maryland | 15- | 4 | 11 | 3 | +++ | -1.53 | 8.22 | |
3/17 | A | North Carolina | 7- | 16 | -9 | 0 | | 1.53 | -8.52 | |
3/21 | H | William & Mary | 12- | 3 | 9 | 12 | | -1.53 | -2.94 | |
3/24 | H | Princeton | 9- | 7 | 2 | 4 | | -1.53 | -2.09 | |
3/28 | A | James Madison | 16- | 13 | 3 | 3 | | 1.53 | -0.24 | |
3/31 | H | Duke | 18- | 19 | -1 | 2 | | -1.53 | -2.87 | |
4/04 | A | Old Dominion | 10- | 7 | 3 | 7 | | 1.53 | -3.99 | |
4/11 | H | Georgetown | 14- | 7 | 7 | 5 | | -1.53 | 1.71 | |
4/14 | A | Johns Hopkins | 9- | 12 | -3 | 3 | | 1.53 | -5.96 | |
4/17 | A | George Mason | 12- | 6 | 6 | 7 | | 1.53 | -1.16 | |
4/21 | A | Boston College | 13- | 6 | 7 | 8 | | 1.53 | -0.91 | |
4/26 | N | Boston College | 15- | 7 | 8 | 9 | | 0.00 | -1.43 | |
4/27 | N | Maryland | 10- | 7 | 3 | 1 | | 0.00 | 1.75 | |
4/29 | A | North Carolina | 12- | 6 | 6 | 0 | +++ | 1.53 | 6.48 | |
5/13 | H | Princeton | 19- | 10 | 9 | 4 | ++ | -1.53 | 4.91 | |
5/19 | H | North Carolina | 14- | 8 | 6 | 3 | + | -1.53 | 3.42 | |
5/25 | N | Duke | 14- | 13 | 1 | 0 | | 0.00 | 0.66 | |
5/27 | N | Northwestern | 13- | 15 | -2 | -5 | + | 0.00 | 3.04 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
2/21 | H | Virginia Tech | 15- | 2 | -0.79 |
3/07 | H | Temple | 18- | 8 | 2.88 |
3/13 | H | Maryland | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.05 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | -17.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 2 |
| Local Poll Vote | 273. | | Local Poll Rank | 3 |
| Local Power Rating | 95.33 | | Local Power Rank | 2 |
| Local SOS Rating | 90.45 | | Local SOS Rank | 1 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.68 | | Local RPI Rank | 2 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 12 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -6.75 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 2 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 6 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 19-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 4-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 2.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 7-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 1.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 11-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
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